Industrials

FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

FCEL is FuelCell Energy Inc., an Industrials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank10 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV93.1%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct27.2% down, 27.6% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall20 and 1428 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close16.1428 Sep

Options Snapshot

FCEL's IV rank is 10 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank10 of 100
At the money IV93.1%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.62
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price54,900 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price33,800 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 20.9% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among FCEL's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, FCEL options priced a move of 27.2 percent down and 27.6 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202648.4%9.4%14.79 to 17.66
9 Oct 20261115.0%13.7%13.72 to 18.35
16 Oct 20261820.4%19.7%12.85 to 19.32
30 Oct 20263227.2%27.6%11.75 to 20.60
6 Nov 20263931.4%29.6%11.08 to 20.92
20 Nov 20265336.1%36.2%10.31 to 21.99
16 Apr 202720071.9%76.8%4.54 to 28.54

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 16.14, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, FCEL's call wall is the 20 strike and its put wall is the 14 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma20
Put wall, most open put gamma14
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$266,213
Total dollar gamma, both sides$1.59 million
Close16.14

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 7 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, FCEL's at the money IV is 93.1 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 111.2 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV93.1%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days111.2%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days127.2%
IV against its own weekly recordLow, in the bottom fifth
Weekly readings on record838, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move17.2% of 233 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, FCEL's at the money IV runs from 86.3 percent at 4 days to 101.0 percent at 200 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
486.3%
1189.7%
1885.0%
2585.9%
3293.1%
3995.9%
5393.0%
200101.0%

Far expiries price more volatility than near ones, an upward sloping term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, FCEL's IV ten percent below the price sits 1.6 points below at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price91.5%-1.6 points
At the money93.1%0.0 points
10% above the price94.9%+1.8 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, FCEL's surface spans 9 expiries out to 200 days, with IV from 81.2 to 100.6 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured9
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry16 Apr 2027, 200 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more29
Lowest IV among them81.2%
Highest IV among them100.6%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, FCEL has 9 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 16 Apr 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026486.3%6,0312,456
9 Oct 20261189.7%5,1431,882
16 Oct 20261885.0%19,43214,103
23 Oct 20262585.9%7454,402
30 Oct 20263293.1%426365
6 Nov 20263995.9%37
20 Nov 20265393.0%888861
15 Jan 202710996.1%20,8118,532
16 Apr 2027200101.0%1,3731,143

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, FCEL's largest open interest sits at the 20 strike, with 16,822 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
2014,6992,12316,822
196,6583,45810,116
153,5544,2907,844
146685,7776,445
172,9992,5485,547
255,2233195,542

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, FCEL's at the money IV moved from 93.7 percent to 93.1 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV93.7%93.1%-0.7 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price86,58488,603+2,019
Put/call ratio, open interest0.560.62+0.06

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 11,669 FCEL option contracts traded, 1.1 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded8,546
Puts traded3,123
Against its recent average1.1 times
Busier than8 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain131,492 contracts
Volume to open interest0.09
Unusual volume flagYes, 1 contract traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contractThe 20 call expiring 23 Oct, 3,312 traded against 137 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of FCEL's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202619.20$163,3572020
21 Sep 202617.96$856,1232019
28 Sep 202616.14$266,2132014

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of FCEL was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close18.33, the swing high of 9 Sep 2026
Level below the close14.71, the swing low of 14 Sep 2026
Strategy familyLong straddle (buy a call and a put at the same strike)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 FCEL sat at the 63rd percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days28 of 100Neutral
20 trading days39 of 100Neutral
45 trading days63 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 FCEL's near timeframes were neutral and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 FCEL had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None63 of 100
24 Sep 2026None86 of 100
23 Sep 2026None41 of 100
22 Sep 2026None40 of 100
21 Sep 2026None68 of 100
18 Sep 2026None76 of 100
17 Sep 2026None50 of 100
16 Sep 2026None52 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 51 of 147 Industrials names were bullish and 37 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Industrials147513759

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

FCEL closed at 16.14 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close16.14
Change over 5 trading days-10.1%
Change over 21 trading days-16.5%
Change over 63 trading days-45.8%
Change over 252 trading days+104.8%
52 week high37.88
52 week low5.71
20 day moving average16.40
50 day moving average18.93
200 day moving average14.15
RSI, 14 days44

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, FCEL's average change was minus 1.0 percent, and it rose in 39.1 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-1.0%-5.0%39.1%23
October-1.5%-6.5%43.5%23
November+19.2%-7.5%30.4%23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 2 headlines naming FCEL in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window2
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is FCEL's IV rank?
FCEL's IV rank is 10 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are FCEL options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, FCEL options priced a move of 27.2 percent down and 27.6 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are FCEL's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, FCEL's call wall is the 20 strike and its put wall is the 14 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of FCEL on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of FCEL was neutral, paper trading.

More Industrials names

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