Information Technology

Adobe Inc (ADBE) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

ADBE is Adobe Inc, an Information Technology name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
Trade CardBear call spread, 18 Dec25 Sep
IV rank92 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV41.8%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct12.3% down, 12.7% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall250 and 21028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewBearish signal, view bearish25 Sep
Last close231.0128 Sep
Next report9 Dec 202628 Sep

Trade Cards

On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for ADBE was a bear call spread expiring 18 Dec 2026, paper trading.

FigureValue
SignalBearish, over 45 trading days
StrategyBear call spread, credit
LegsSell the 270 call, Buy the 300 call
Expiry18 Dec 2026, 84 days to expiry
LimitA credit of at least $5.05
Probability of profit72%, the option market's odds at expiry, from delta
Max loss$2,495 per contract
Max profit$505 per contract
Breakeven275.05
IV rank at that expiry96 of 100

Probability of profit is the option market's own odds from delta, not the model's.

Priced on the option chain at the close on 25 Sep 2026.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Options Snapshot

ADBE's IV rank is 92 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank92 of 100
At the money IV41.8%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest1.60
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price97,800 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price156,000 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyTight, 12.0% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among ADBE's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, ADBE options priced a move of 12.3 percent down and 12.7 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202644.4%4.5%220.81 to 241.51
9 Oct 2026117.0%7.3%214.81 to 247.91
23 Oct 20262511.2%10.8%205.21 to 255.91
30 Oct 20263212.3%12.7%202.51 to 260.41
20 Nov 20265315.4%16.8%195.41 to 269.71
18 Dec 20268120.4%22.7%183.91 to 283.51
19 Feb 202714427.5%29.2%167.41 to 298.51

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 231.01, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, ADBE's call wall is the 250 strike and its put wall is the 210 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma250
Put wall, most open put gamma210
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $36.06 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$105.97 million
Close231.01

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 5 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, ADBE's at the money IV is 41.8 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 42.0 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV41.8%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days42.0%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days48.1%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record865, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move28.2% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, ADBE's at the money IV runs from 44.8 percent at 4 days to 44.9 percent at 144 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
444.8%
1148.2%
1843.0%
2545.7%
3943.9%
5342.0%
8146.4%
14444.9%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, ADBE's IV ten percent below the price sits 4.0 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price45.8%+4.0 points
At the money41.8%0.0 points
10% above the price43.0%+1.2 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, ADBE's surface spans 10 expiries out to 144 days, with IV from 40.9 to 52.7 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Feb 2027, 144 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more93
Lowest IV among them40.9%
Highest IV among them52.7%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, ADBE has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Feb 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026444.8%6,8528,190
9 Oct 20261148.2%2,2473,731
16 Oct 20261843.0%16,58545,443
23 Oct 20262545.7%1,2782,312
30 Oct 20263241.8%1,8732,195
6 Nov 20263943.9%109764
20 Nov 20265342.0%15,85317,843
18 Dec 20268146.4%24,38631,712
15 Jan 202710945.4%24,10540,224
19 Feb 202714444.9%4,5443,467

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, ADBE's largest open interest sits at the 210 strike, with 31,103 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
2104,63126,47231,103
25010,28813,66823,956
26012,2605,40017,660
2406,2697,01213,281
2301,92910,34212,271
2706,4513,58210,033

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, ADBE's at the money IV moved from 39.5 percent to 41.8 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV39.5%41.8%+2.3 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price274,472253,713-20,759
Put/call ratio, open interest1.431.59+0.17

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 50,842 ADBE option contracts traded, 1.2 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded29,500
Puts traded21,342
Against its recent average1.2 times
Busier than10 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain506,618 contracts
Volume to open interest0.10
Unusual volume flagYes, 6 contracts traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contractThe 290 call expiring 18 Dec, 2,234 traded against 1,040 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of ADBE's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026263.71$29.38 million260250
21 Sep 2026249.52minus $15.47 million260250
28 Sep 2026231.01minus $36.06 million250210

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of ADBE was bearish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBearish at 45 trading days, signal on
Level above the close241.51, the swing high of 11 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
Level below the close201.31, the swing low of 30 Jun 2026
The chartSits with the view
Strategy familyBear call spread (sell a call spread above the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 ADBE sat at the 2nd percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days33 of 100Neutral
20 trading days14 of 100Bearish
45 trading days2 of 100Bearish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 2 of 3 timeframes put ADBE on the bearish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBearish1 of 2
Long45 dayBearish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 ADBE's bearish signal had held 5 trading days in a row, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026Bearish2 of 100
24 Sep 2026Bearish1 of 100
23 Sep 2026Bearish2 of 100
22 Sep 2026Bearish3 of 100
21 Sep 2026Bearish5 of 100
18 Sep 2026None12 of 100
17 Sep 2026None6 of 100
16 Sep 2026Bearish2 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 80 of 187 Information Technology names were bullish and 61 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Information Technology187806146

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

ADBE closed at 231.01 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close231.01
Change over 5 trading days-7.4%
Change over 21 trading days-20.1%
Change over 63 trading days+11.9%
Change over 252 trading days-34.8%
52 week high363.70
52 week low190.12
20 day moving average256.67
50 day moving average257.29
200 day moving average262.12
RSI, 14 days34

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

ADBE reports next on 9 Dec 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

FigureValue
Next report9 Dec 2026
DateConfirmed by the company

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 46.0 percent of ADBE's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep46.0%
Five day average52.3%
52 week median49.2%
Short interest, share of shares outstanding4.7% at the 15 Sep 2026 settlement
Days to cover3.2

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 36 Septembers on record, ADBE's average change was plus 0.0 percent, and it rose in 52.8 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+0.0%+1.1%52.8%36
October+6.3%+7.3%72.2%36
November+2.9%+3.4%63.9%36

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 6 headlines naming ADBE in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window6
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is ADBE's IV rank?
ADBE's IV rank is 92 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are ADBE options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, ADBE options priced a move of 12.3 percent down and 12.7 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are ADBE's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, ADBE's call wall is the 250 strike and its put wall is the 210 strike.
What was the latest Trade Card for ADBE on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for ADBE was a bear call spread expiring 18 Dec 2026, paper trading.
When does ADBE report earnings next?
ADBE reports next on 9 Dec 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

More Information Technology names

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