Materials

Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

AGI is Alamos Gold Inc., a Materials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank30 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV52.3%28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct10.7% down, 12.2% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wallBoth 3528 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close32.7228 Sep
Next report28 Oct 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

AGI's IV rank is 30 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank30 of 100
At the money IV52.3%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.42
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price74,800 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price31,500 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 17.1% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among AGI's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, AGI options priced a move of 10.7 percent down and 12.2 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 20261810.7%12.2%29.22 to 36.70
20 Nov 20265319.3%19.9%26.42 to 39.23
18 Dec 20268123.0%24.5%25.20 to 40.74
15 Jan 202710927.8%29.3%23.61 to 42.32
19 Feb 202714432.4%33.6%22.12 to 43.72
19 Mar 202717235.5%36.4%21.12 to 44.62
16 Apr 202720041.0%41.3%19.32 to 46.22

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 32.72, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, AGI's call wall and put wall are both at the 35 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma35
Put wall, most open put gamma35
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$722,295
Total dollar gamma, both sides$4.47 million
Close32.72

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 3 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, AGI's at the money IV is 52.3 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 45.1 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV52.3%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days45.1%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days47.8%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record643, from 13 Sep 2013
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move24.2% of 236 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, AGI's at the money IV runs from 52.3 percent at 18 days to 56.0 percent at 200 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1852.3%
5353.3%
8153.0%
10953.6%
14452.1%
17253.5%
20056.0%

Far expiries price more volatility than near ones, an upward sloping term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, AGI's IV ten percent below the price sits 0.8 points below at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price52.5%-0.8 points
At the money53.3%0.0 points
10% above the price53.8%+0.4 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, AGI's surface spans 7 expiries out to 200 days, with IV from 49.2 to 56.6 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured7
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry16 Apr 2027, 200 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more41
Lowest IV among them49.2%
Highest IV among them56.6%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, AGI has 7 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 16 Apr 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261852.3%5,18113,301
20 Nov 20265353.3%1,224391
18 Dec 20268153.0%23,4504,064
15 Jan 202710953.6%42,20313,022
19 Feb 202714452.1%1,230289
19 Mar 202717253.5%1,008409
16 Apr 202720056.0%54547

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, AGI's largest open interest sits at the 35 strike, with 16,058 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
358,0697,98916,058
4513,16919513,364
438,601318,632
407,4168678,283
304,0032,7476,750
365,6794196,098

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, AGI's at the money IV moved from 51.1 percent to 52.3 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV51.1%52.3%+1.2 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price105,131106,364+1,233
Put/call ratio, open interest0.390.42+0.03

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 44,884 AGI option contracts traded, 8.3 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded42,476
Puts traded2,408
Against its recent average8.3 times
Busier than20 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain110,182 contracts
Volume to open interest0.41
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of AGI's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202633.45$1.34 million3530
21 Sep 202635.21$342,5723535
28 Sep 202632.72$722,2953535

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of AGI was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close33.97, the swing high of 16 Sep 2026
Level below the close27.05, the swing low of 31 Jul 2026
Strategy familyLong straddle (buy a call and a put at the same strike)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 AGI sat at the 40th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days83 of 100Bullish
20 trading days56 of 100Neutral
45 trading days40 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 AGI's near timeframes were bullish and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBullish1 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 AGI had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None40 of 100
24 Sep 2026None60 of 100
23 Sep 2026None57 of 100
22 Sep 2026None63 of 100
21 Sep 2026None53 of 100
18 Sep 2026None64 of 100
17 Sep 2026None47 of 100
16 Sep 2026None40 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 35 of 62 Materials names were bullish and 11 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Materials62351116

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

AGI closed at 32.72 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close32.72
Change over 5 trading days-7.1%
Change over 21 trading days-13.6%
Change over 63 trading days+6.4%
Change over 252 trading days-1.8%
52 week high55.41
52 week low27.05
20 day moving average35.57
50 day moving average33.76
200 day moving average39.13
RSI, 14 days40

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

AGI reports next on 28 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report28 Oct 2026, after the close
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 29 Jul 2026-0.6%
Move after the report of 18 Feb 2026+4.8%
Move after the report of 23 Dec 2025-0.7%
Move after the report of 22 Sep 2025+1.5%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, AGI's average change was plus 1.2 percent, and it rose in 56.5 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+1.2%+3.0%56.5%23
October+1.6%+0.8%52.2%23
November+1.3%+0.2%52.2%23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 2 headlines naming AGI in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window2
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is AGI's IV rank?
AGI's IV rank is 30 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are AGI options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, AGI options priced a move of 10.7 percent down and 12.2 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are AGI's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, AGI's call wall and put wall are both at the 35 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of AGI on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of AGI was neutral, paper trading.
When does AGI report earnings next?
AGI reports next on 28 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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