Communication Services

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

ASTS is AST SpaceMobile, Inc., a Communication Services name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

Figure	Value	Date
Trade Card	Long straddle, 30 Oct	25 Sep
IV rank	3 of 100	28 Sep
At the money IV	77.0%	28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct	19.7% down, 23.1% up	28 Sep
Call wall and put wall	65 and 55	28 Sep
Signal and the desk's view	No signal, view neutral	25 Sep
Last close	61.00	28 Sep
Next report	9 Nov 2026	28 Sep

Trade Cards

On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for ASTS was a long straddle expiring 30 Oct 2026, paper trading.

Figure	Value
Signal	Neutral
Strategy	Long straddle, debit
Legs	Buy the 61 call, Buy the 61 put
Expiry	30 Oct 2026, 35 days to expiry
Limit	A debit of at most $10.28
Probability of profit	42%, the option market's odds at expiry, from delta
Max loss	$1,028 per contract
Breakeven	50.72 and 71.28
IV rank at that expiry	1 of 100

Probability of profit is the option market's own odds from delta, not the model's.

Priced on the option chain at the close on 25 Sep 2026.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Options Snapshot

ASTS's IV rank is 3 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
IV rank	3 of 100
At the money IV	77.0%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest	0.72
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price	285,000 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price	205,000 contracts
Cost to trade at the money	Fair, 31.1% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among ASTS's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, ASTS options priced a move of 19.7 percent down and 23.1 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

Expiry	Days	Down	Up	Range
2 Oct 2026	4	7.4%	7.8%	56.49 to 65.75
9 Oct 2026	11	12.0%	12.7%	53.68 to 68.76
23 Oct 2026	25	18.4%	20.5%	49.80 to 73.50
30 Oct 2026	32	19.7%	23.1%	49.00 to 75.10
20 Nov 2026	53	30.8%	32.1%	42.20 to 80.60
15 Jan 2027	109	42.5%	44.4%	35.10 to 88.10
19 Mar 2027	172	55.1%	58.4%	27.40 to 96.60

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 61.00, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, ASTS's call wall is the 65 strike and its put wall is the 55 strike.

Figure	Value
Call wall, most open call gamma	65
Put wall, most open put gamma	55
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign	62.84
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts	$2.06 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides	$35.54 million
Close	61.00

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, ASTS's at the money IV is 77.0 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 73.9 percent.

Figure	Value
At the money IV	77.0%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days	73.9%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days	86.5%
IV against its own weekly record	Low, in the bottom fifth
Weekly readings on record	261, from 16 Apr 2021
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move	22.9% of 236 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

Open Volatility History in RingMaster The Volatility History guide

Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, ASTS's at the money IV runs from 71.7 percent at 4 days to 80.3 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiry	At the money IV
4	71.7%
11	74.0%
18	66.5%
25	75.7%
39	76.4%
53	80.8%
109	77.8%
172	80.3%

Far expiries price more volatility than near ones, an upward sloping term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, ASTS's IV ten percent below the price sits 5.1 points below at the money IV.

Strike area	Implied volatility	Against at the money
10% below the price	71.9%	-5.1 points
At the money	77.0%	0.0 points
10% above the price	77.9%	+0.9 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, ASTS's surface spans 10 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 65.9 to 80.4 percent near the price.

Figure	Value
Expiries captured	10
Nearest expiry	2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry	19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more	77
Lowest IV among them	65.9%
Highest IV among them	80.4%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, ASTS has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

Expiry	Days	At the money IV	Call open interest	Put open interest
2 Oct 2026	4	71.7%	21,469	22,581
9 Oct 2026	11	74.0%	8,578	9,491
16 Oct 2026	18	66.5%	48,998	50,226
23 Oct 2026	25	75.7%	7,254	5,209
30 Oct 2026	32	77.0%	4,761	10,442
6 Nov 2026	39	76.4%	124	414
20 Nov 2026	53	80.8%	51,778	34,513
15 Jan 2027	109	77.8%	96,100	42,398
19 Feb 2027	144	80.5%	6,117	6,633
19 Mar 2027	172	80.3%	39,658	22,682

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, ASTS's largest open interest sits at the 65 strike, with 49,663 contracts across the captured expiries.

Strike	Call open interest	Put open interest	Total
65	29,979	19,684	49,663
70	33,082	14,872	47,954
75	30,453	16,601	47,054
80	29,746	8,190	37,936
55	6,098	30,970	37,068
50	11,652	25,386	37,038

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, ASTS's at the money IV moved from 72.3 percent to 77.0 percent.

Figure	25 Sep	28 Sep	Change
At the money IV	72.3%	77.0%	+4.8 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price	480,844	489,426	+8,582
Put/call ratio, open interest	0.67	0.72	+0.04

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 59,258 ASTS option contracts traded, 0.6 times its own recent average.

Figure	Value
Calls traded	39,306
Puts traded	19,952
Against its recent average	0.6 times
Busier than	1 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain	710,814 contracts
Volume to open interest	0.08
Unusual volume flag	Yes, 1 contract traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contract	The 71 call expiring 16 Oct, 658 traded against 308 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of ASTS's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

Date	Close	Net dollar gamma	Top call strike	Top put strike
11 Aug 2026	71.63	$5.3 million	75	70
21 Sep 2026	61.89	$1.11 million	65	55
28 Sep 2026	61.00	$2.06 million	65	55

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of ASTS was neutral, paper trading.

Figure	Value
Side	Neutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close	63.70, the swing high of 17 Sep 2026
Level below the close	58.32, the swing low of 24 Sep 2026
Strategy family	Long straddle (buy a call and a put at the same strike)
Price target	None. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 ASTS sat at the 41st percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

Timeframe	Percentile	Side
10 trading days	11 of 100	Bearish
20 trading days	65 of 100	Neutral
45 trading days	41 of 100	Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 ASTS's near timeframes were bearish and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

Group	Timeframes	Side	On that side
Near	10 day, 20 day	Bearish	1 of 2
Long	45 day	Neutral	0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 ASTS had carried no signal for 12 trading days, paper trading.

Trading day	Signal	45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026	None	41 of 100
24 Sep 2026	None	81 of 100
23 Sep 2026	None	18 of 100
22 Sep 2026	None	8 of 100
21 Sep 2026	None	90 of 100
18 Sep 2026	None	90 of 100
17 Sep 2026	None	57 of 100
16 Sep 2026	None	6 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 10 of 37 Communication Services names were bullish and 12 were bearish, paper trading.

Sector	Names	Bullish	Bearish	Neutral
Communication Services	37	10	12	15

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

ASTS closed at 61.00 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Last close	61.00
Change over 5 trading days	-1.4%
Change over 21 trading days	-0.7%
Change over 63 trading days	-29.7%
Change over 252 trading days	+23.5%
52 week high	133.86
52 week low	47.50
20 day moving average	60.94
50 day moving average	62.86
200 day moving average	81.47
RSI, 14 days	48

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

ASTS reports next on 9 Nov 2026, and options priced an earnings move of 24.3 percent through 20 Nov 2026.

Figure	Value
Next report	9 Nov 2026, after the close
Date	Confirmed by the company
Priced earnings move	24.3%, a straddle of $14.82 at the 60 strike, expiring 20 Nov 2026
Move after the report of 10 Aug 2026	+4.2%
Move after the report of 11 May 2026	-11.6%
Move after the report of 2 Mar 2026	+6.6%
Move after the report of 10 Nov 2025	-1.2%

The priced earnings move is the straddle's cost over the share price. It restates option prices and says nothing certain about the report.

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Company Events

ASTS filed 1 current report in the 14 days to 28 Sep 2026, the latest on 28 Sep 2026.

Filed	Report	What it covers
28 Sep 2026	Current report	Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 6 Septembers on record, ASTS's average change was minus 10.9 percent, and it rose in 16.7 percent of them.

Month	Average change	Middle change	Share of years up	Years
September	-10.9%	-6.5%	16.7%	6
October	+7.5%	-0.0%	50.0%	6
November	-2.3%	-5.5%	33.3%	6

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 6 headlines naming ASTS in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Headlines in the window	6
Latest	28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is ASTS's IV rank?: ASTS's IV rank is 3 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are ASTS options pricing?: On 28 Sep 2026, ASTS options priced a move of 19.7 percent down and 23.1 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are ASTS's call wall and put wall?: On 28 Sep 2026, ASTS's call wall is the 65 strike and its put wall is the 55 strike.
What was the latest Trade Card for ASTS on the Free plan?: On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for ASTS was a long straddle expiring 30 Oct 2026, paper trading.
When does ASTS report earnings next?: ASTS reports next on 9 Nov 2026, and options priced an earnings move of 24.3 percent through 20 Nov 2026.

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