Industrials

BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

BWXT is BWX Technologies, Inc., an Industrials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

Figure	Value	Date
Trade Card	Cash-secured put, 20 Nov	25 Sep
IV rank	75 of 100	28 Sep
At the money IV	45.2%	28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct	10.0% down, 10.3% up	28 Sep
Call wall and put wall	150 and 135	28 Sep
Signal and the desk's view	Bullish signal, view bullish	25 Sep
Last close	134.35	28 Sep
Next report	2 Nov 2026	28 Sep

Trade Cards

On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for BWXT was a cash-secured put expiring 20 Nov 2026, paper trading.

Figure	Value
Signal	Bullish, over 20 trading days
Strategy	Cash-secured put, credit
Legs	Sell the 125 put
Expiry	20 Nov 2026, 56 days to expiry
Limit	A credit of at least $3.90
Probability of profit	68%, the option market's odds at expiry, from delta
Max loss	$12,110 per contract
Max profit	$390 per contract
Breakeven	121.10
IV rank at that expiry	76 of 100

Probability of profit is the option market's own odds from delta, not the model's.

Priced on the option chain at the close on 25 Sep 2026.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Options Snapshot

BWXT's IV rank is 75 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
IV rank	75 of 100
At the money IV	45.2%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest	0.79
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price	9,310 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price	7,310 contracts
Cost to trade at the money	Tight, 10.6% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among BWXT's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, BWXT options priced a move of 10.0 percent down and 10.3 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

Expiry	Days	Down	Up	Range
16 Oct 2026	18	10.0%	10.3%	120.95 to 148.15
20 Nov 2026	53	18.1%	18.6%	110.05 to 159.35
15 Jan 2027	109	23.2%	26.3%	103.15 to 169.75
19 Feb 2027	144	28.4%	31.4%	96.15 to 176.55

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 134.35, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, BWXT's call wall is the 150 strike and its put wall is the 135 strike.

Figure	Value
Call wall, most open call gamma	150
Put wall, most open put gamma	135
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts	minus $387,028
Total dollar gamma, both sides	$3.78 million
Close	134.35

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 3 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, BWXT's at the money IV is 45.2 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 35.6 percent.

Figure	Value
At the money IV	45.2%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days	35.6%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days	39.6%
IV against its own weekly record	In the middle
Weekly readings on record	504, from 3 Jul 2015
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move	22.5% of 227 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, BWXT's at the money IV runs from 45.2 percent at 18 days to 47.8 percent at 144 days.

Days to expiry	At the money IV
18	45.2%
53	46.8%
109	46.0%
144	47.8%

Far expiries price more volatility than near ones, an upward sloping term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, BWXT's IV ten percent below the price sits 3.6 points above at the money IV.

Strike area	Implied volatility	Against at the money
10% below the price	50.5%	+3.6 points
At the money	46.8%	0.0 points
10% above the price	49.3%	+2.5 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, BWXT's surface spans 4 expiries out to 144 days, with IV from 45.1 to 50.7 percent near the price.

Figure	Value
Expiries captured	4
Nearest expiry	16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry	19 Feb 2027, 144 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more	20
Lowest IV among them	45.1%
Highest IV among them	50.7%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, BWXT has 4 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 19 Feb 2027.

Expiry	Days	At the money IV	Call open interest	Put open interest
16 Oct 2026	18	45.2%	4,271	2,457
20 Nov 2026	53	46.8%	1,797	2,598
15 Jan 2027	109	46.0%	2,471	1,869
19 Feb 2027	144	47.8%	775	384

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, BWXT's largest open interest sits at the 150 strike, with 2,041 contracts across the captured expiries.

Strike	Call open interest	Put open interest	Total
150	1,256	785	2,041
135	503	1,370	1,873
160	1,476	301	1,777
170	820	400	1,220
165	792	370	1,162
155	540	398	938

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, BWXT's at the money IV moved from 42.2 percent to 45.2 percent.

Figure	25 Sep	28 Sep	Change
At the money IV	42.2%	45.2%	+3.0 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price	15,900	16,622	+722
Put/call ratio, open interest	0.63	0.78	+0.15

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 3,169 BWXT option contracts traded, 1.4 times its own recent average.

Figure	Value
Calls traded	2,154
Puts traded	1,015
Against its recent average	1.4 times
Busier than	18 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain	26,204 contracts
Volume to open interest	0.12
Unusual volume flag	No

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of BWXT's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

Date	Close	Net dollar gamma	Top call strike	Top put strike
11 Aug 2026	169.71	minus $1.13 million	170	170
21 Sep 2026	147.47	$229,122	160	150
28 Sep 2026	134.35	minus $387,028	150	135

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of BWXT was bullish, paper trading.

Figure	Value
Side	Bullish at 20 trading days, signal on
Level above the close	144.33, the swing high of 16 Sep 2026
Level below the close	133.90, the swing low of 28 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chart	Sits against the view
Strategy family	Cash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price target	None. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 BWXT sat at the 95th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

Timeframe	Percentile	Side
10 trading days	96 of 100	Bullish
20 trading days	100 of 100	Bullish
45 trading days	95 of 100	Bullish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 3 of 3 timeframes put BWXT on the bullish side, paper trading.

Group	Timeframes	Side	On that side
Near	10 day, 20 day	Bullish	2 of 2
Long	45 day	Bullish	1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 BWXT's bullish signal had held 3 trading days in a row, paper trading.

Trading day	Signal	45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026	Bullish	95 of 100
24 Sep 2026	Bullish	82 of 100
23 Sep 2026	Bullish	92 of 100
22 Sep 2026	None	79 of 100
21 Sep 2026	Bullish	99 of 100
18 Sep 2026	Bullish	94 of 100
17 Sep 2026	Bullish	99 of 100
16 Sep 2026	Bullish	97 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 51 of 147 Industrials names were bullish and 37 were bearish, paper trading.

Sector	Names	Bullish	Bearish	Neutral
Industrials	147	51	37	59

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

BWXT closed at 134.35 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Last close	134.35
Change over 5 trading days	-8.9%
Change over 21 trading days	-13.8%
Change over 63 trading days	-29.0%
Change over 252 trading days	-23.8%
52 week high	241.82
52 week low	133.90
20 day moving average	149.36
50 day moving average	159.46
200 day moving average	190.54
RSI, 14 days	26

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

BWXT reports next on 2 Nov 2026, and options priced an earnings move of 13.9 percent through 20 Nov 2026.

Figure	Value
Next report	2 Nov 2026, after the close
Date	Confirmed by the company
Priced earnings move	13.9%, a straddle of $18.65 at the 135 strike, expiring 20 Nov 2026
Move after the report of 3 Aug 2026	-0.8%
Move after the report of 4 May 2026	-4.9%
Move after the report of 23 Feb 2026	+3.0%
Move after the report of 3 Nov 2025	-7.2%

The priced earnings move is the straddle's cost over the share price. It restates option prices and says nothing certain about the report.

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

The filings the desk holds carry 1 recent trade in BWXT shares.

Filed	Who	Trade	Size
9 Sep 2026	. April McClain Delaney, member of Congress	Bought	$1,001 to $15,000

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 16 Septembers on record, BWXT's average change was minus 0.1 percent, and it rose in 50.0 percent of them.

Month	Average change	Middle change	Share of years up	Years
September	-0.1%	+0.3%	50.0%	16
October	+4.7%	+4.3%	75.0%	16
November	-0.3%	+3.5%	68.8%	16

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 2 headlines naming BWXT in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Headlines in the window	2
Latest	28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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The Desk Analyst

The Free plan shows the first paragraph of The Desk Analyst's column on BWXT for 25 Sep 2026, quoted below.

The close for BWXT is 138.47.

This price is 27.4% below the 200-day simple moving average of 190.75.

Other moving averages are all above the current price: the SMA5 is 142.19, the SMA20 is 150.28, the SMA50 is 160.2, and the SMA100 is 178.18.

Paper trading. Column for 25 Sep 2026, general commentary published the same way to every reader.

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Questions

What is BWXT's IV rank?: BWXT's IV rank is 75 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are BWXT options pricing?: On 28 Sep 2026, BWXT options priced a move of 10.0 percent down and 10.3 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are BWXT's call wall and put wall?: On 28 Sep 2026, BWXT's call wall is the 150 strike and its put wall is the 135 strike.
What was the latest Trade Card for BWXT on the Free plan?: On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for BWXT was a cash-secured put expiring 20 Nov 2026, paper trading.
When does BWXT report earnings next?: BWXT reports next on 2 Nov 2026, and options priced an earnings move of 13.9 percent through 20 Nov 2026.

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