Consumer Staples

Casey's General Stores Inc (CASY) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

CASY is Casey's General Stores Inc, a Consumer Staples name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank96 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV39.1%28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct8.3% down, 8.2% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall620 and 67028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bearish25 Sep
Last close606.2428 Sep
Next report8 Dec 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

CASY's IV rank is 96 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank96 of 100
At the money IV39.1%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest1.13
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price4,440 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price5,020 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 38.6% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among CASY's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, CASY options priced a move of 8.3 percent down and 8.2 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 2026188.3%8.2%555.64 to 656.14
20 Nov 20265313.9%15.7%521.94 to 701.54
19 Feb 202714422.9%26.4%467.24 to 766.24

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 606.24, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, CASY's call wall is the 620 strike and its put wall is the 670 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma620
Put wall, most open put gamma670
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $623,204
Total dollar gamma, both sides$12.23 million
Close606.24

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 5 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, CASY's at the money IV is 39.1 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 61.9 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV39.1%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days61.9%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days46.7%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record859, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move24.6% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, CASY's at the money IV runs from 39.1 percent at 18 days to 39.3 percent at 144 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1839.1%
5336.8%
14439.3%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, CASY's IV ten percent below the price sits 4.7 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price41.5%+4.7 points
At the money36.8%0.0 points
10% above the price38.7%+1.9 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, CASY's surface spans 3 expiries out to 144 days, with IV from 36.6 to 47.6 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured3
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry19 Feb 2027, 144 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more35
Lowest IV among them36.6%
Highest IV among them47.6%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, CASY has 3 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 19 Feb 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261839.1%1,8481,060
20 Nov 20265336.8%1,8132,455
19 Feb 202714439.3%7771,500

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, CASY's largest open interest sits at the 620 strike, with 673 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
620466207673
670192468660
610347245592
660423102525
68086422508
52011491502

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, CASY's at the money IV moved from 34.7 percent to 39.1 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV34.7%39.1%+4.4 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price9,1609,453+293
Put/call ratio, open interest1.201.13-0.07

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 2,180 CASY option contracts traded, 1.2 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded1,291
Puts traded889
Against its recent average1.2 times
Busier than11 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain11,406 contracts
Volume to open interest0.19
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of CASY's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026829.91$57,400900800
21 Sep 2026585.34minus $2.81 million620670
28 Sep 2026606.24minus $623,204620670

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of CASY was bearish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBearish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close609.25, the swing high of 23 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
Level below the close586.25, the swing low of 16 Sep 2026
The chartSits with the view
Strategy familyBear call spread (sell a call spread above the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 CASY sat at the 19th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days87 of 100Bullish
20 trading days22 of 100Neutral
45 trading days19 of 100Bearish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 1 of 3 timeframes put CASY on the bearish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBullish1 of 2
Long45 dayBearish1 of 1

The near timeframes and the long ones were on opposite sides, and the desk states both.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 CASY had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None19 of 100
24 Sep 2026None13 of 100
23 Sep 2026None21 of 100
22 Sep 2026None26 of 100
21 Sep 2026None62 of 100
18 Sep 2026None57 of 100
17 Sep 2026None59 of 100
16 Sep 2026None66 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 9 of 50 Consumer Staples names were bullish and 22 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Consumer Staples5092219

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

CASY closed at 606.24 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close606.24
Change over 5 trading days+3.6%
Change over 21 trading days-20.6%
Change over 63 trading days-22.3%
Change over 252 trading days+11.6%
52 week high927.85
52 week low497.38
20 day moving average648.33
50 day moving average765.70
200 day moving average730.93
RSI, 14 days31

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

CASY reports next on 8 Dec 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report8 Dec 2026
DateWorked out from past quarters

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 74.8 percent of CASY's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep74.8%
Five day average56.9%
52 week median58.0%
Short interest, share of shares outstanding4.1% at the 15 Sep 2026 settlement
Days to cover1.8

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 36 Septembers on record, CASY's average change was plus 4.2 percent, and it rose in 61.1 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+4.2%+3.8%61.1%36
October+0.9%+0.9%58.3%36
November+3.6%+2.6%72.2%36

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is CASY's IV rank?
CASY's IV rank is 96 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are CASY options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, CASY options priced a move of 8.3 percent down and 8.2 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are CASY's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, CASY's call wall is the 620 strike and its put wall is the 670 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of CASY on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of CASY was bearish, paper trading.
When does CASY report earnings next?
CASY reports next on 8 Dec 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

More Consumer Staples names

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