Financials

Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

CINF is Cincinnati Financial Corp, a Financials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

Figure	Value	Date
IV rank	58 of 100	28 Sep
At the money IV	25.7%	28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct	5.8% down, 6.1% up	28 Sep
Call wall and put wall	170 and 175	28 Sep
Signal and the desk's view	No signal, view bullish	25 Sep
Last close	161.92	28 Sep
Next report	26 Oct 2026	28 Sep

Options Snapshot

CINF's IV rank is 58 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
IV rank	58 of 100
At the money IV	25.7%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest	0.28
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price	4,140 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price	1,160 contracts
Cost to trade at the money	Fair, 31.8% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among CINF's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, CINF options priced a move of 5.8 percent down and 6.1 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

Expiry	Days	Down	Up	Range
16 Oct 2026	18	5.8%	6.1%	152.45 to 171.80
20 Nov 2026	53	10.0%	11.2%	145.72 to 180.02
18 Dec 2026	81	12.0%	13.8%	142.42 to 184.22
19 Mar 2027	172	17.9%	20.1%	132.92 to 194.52

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 161.92, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, CINF's call wall is the 170 strike and its put wall is the 175 strike.

Figure	Value
Call wall, most open call gamma	170
Put wall, most open put gamma	175
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts	$1.03 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides	$2 million
Close	161.92

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 3 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, CINF's at the money IV is 25.7 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 15.4 percent.

Figure	Value
At the money IV	25.7%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days	15.4%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days	22.8%
IV against its own weekly record	In the middle
Weekly readings on record	792, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move	25.8% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, CINF's at the money IV runs from 25.7 percent at 18 days to 26.7 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiry	At the money IV
18	25.7%
53	28.7%
81	26.9%
172	26.7%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, CINF's IV ten percent below the price sits 3.6 points above at the money IV.

Strike area	Implied volatility	Against at the money
10% below the price	32.3%	+3.6 points
At the money	28.7%	0.0 points
10% above the price	26.9%	-1.9 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, CINF's surface spans 4 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 13.0 to 54.8 percent near the price.

Figure	Value
Expiries captured	4
Nearest expiry	16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry	19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more	23
Lowest IV among them	13.0%
Highest IV among them	54.8%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, CINF has 4 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

Expiry	Days	At the money IV	Call open interest	Put open interest
16 Oct 2026	18	25.7%	923	78
20 Nov 2026	53	28.7%	1,489	568
18 Dec 2026	81	26.9%	1,219	255
19 Mar 2027	172	26.7%	512	259

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, CINF's largest open interest sits at the 185 strike, with 902 contracts across the captured expiries.

Strike	Call open interest	Put open interest	Total
185	902	0	902
170	853	34	887
200	815	0	815
190	437	1	438
175	133	268	401
180	278	16	294

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, CINF's at the money IV moved from 23.2 percent to 25.7 percent.

Figure	25 Sep	28 Sep	Change
At the money IV	23.2%	25.7%	+2.5 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price	5,279	5,303	+24
Put/call ratio, open interest	0.28	0.28	-0.00

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 947 CINF option contracts traded, 0.8 times its own recent average.

Figure	Value
Calls traded	459
Puts traded	488
Against its recent average	0.8 times
Open interest, whole chain	5,497 contracts
Volume to open interest	0.17
Unusual volume flag	No

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 12 trading days of CINF's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

Date	Close	Net dollar gamma	Top call strike	Top put strike
11 Aug 2026	173.21	$1.92 million	180	180
20 Aug 2026	168.19	$1.33 million	180	165
28 Sep 2026	161.92	$1.03 million	170	175

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of CINF was bullish, paper trading.

Figure	Value
Side	Bullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close	167.45, the swing high of 8 Sep 2026
Level below the close	161.17, the swing low of 25 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chart	Sits against the view
Strategy family	Cash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price target	None. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 CINF sat at the 86th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

Timeframe	Percentile	Side
10 trading days	51 of 100	Neutral
20 trading days	45 of 100	Neutral
45 trading days	86 of 100	Bullish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 1 of 3 timeframes put CINF on the bullish side, paper trading.

Group	Timeframes	Side	On that side
Near	10 day, 20 day	Neutral	0 of 2
Long	45 day	Bullish	1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 CINF had carried no signal for at least 3 trading days, paper trading.

Trading day	Signal	45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026	None	86 of 100
24 Sep 2026	None	66 of 100
23 Sep 2026	None	81 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Signal History in RingMaster The Signal History guide

Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 63 of 135 Financials names were bullish and 32 were bearish, paper trading.

Sector	Names	Bullish	Bearish	Neutral
Financials	135	63	32	40

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

CINF closed at 161.92 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Last close	161.92
Change over 5 trading days	-3.0%
Change over 21 trading days	-6.1%
Change over 63 trading days	-13.0%
Change over 252 trading days	+4.9%
52 week high	194.81
52 week low	150.00
20 day moving average	168.55
50 day moving average	172.74
200 day moving average	167.54
RSI, 14 days	29

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

CINF reports next on 26 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

Figure	Value
Next report	26 Oct 2026, after the close
Date	Worked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 27 Jul 2026	-0.9%
Move after the report of 27 Apr 2026	-0.4%
Move after the report of 9 Feb 2026	-3.3%
Move after the report of 27 Oct 2025	-3.7%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Company Events

CINF filed 1 current report in the 14 days to 28 Sep 2026, the latest on 28 Sep 2026.

Filed	Report	What it covers
28 Sep 2026	Current report	Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement; Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 74.0 percent of CINF's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

Figure	Value
Short sale share, 25 Sep	74.0%
Five day average	66.2%
52 week median	67.3%
Short interest, share of shares outstanding	2.5% at the 15 Sep 2026 settlement
Days to cover	8.1

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 36 Septembers on record, CINF's average change was minus 1.1 percent, and it rose in 44.4 percent of them.

Month	Average change	Middle change	Share of years up	Years
September	-1.1%	-0.8%	44.4%	36
October	+1.5%	+1.9%	58.3%	36
November	+3.2%	+2.8%	77.8%	36

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is CINF's IV rank?: CINF's IV rank is 58 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are CINF options pricing?: On 28 Sep 2026, CINF options priced a move of 5.8 percent down and 6.1 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are CINF's call wall and put wall?: On 28 Sep 2026, CINF's call wall is the 170 strike and its put wall is the 175 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of CINF on the Free plan?: On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of CINF was bullish, paper trading.
When does CINF report earnings next?: CINF reports next on 26 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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Strike	Call open interest	Put open interest	Total
185	902	0	902
170	853	34	887
200	815	0	815
190	437	1	438
175	133	268	401
180	278	16	294

Strike	Call open interest	Put open interest	Total
185	902	0	902
170	853	34	887
200	815	0	815
190	437	1	438
175	133	268	401
180	278	16	294

Strike	Call open interest	Put open interest	Total
185	902	0	902
170	853	34	887
200	815	0	815
190	437	1	438
175	133	268	401
180	278	16	294