Energy

Chevron Corp (CVX) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

CVX is Chevron Corp, an Energy name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank84 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV30.4%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct8.9% down, 8.6% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall210 and 20028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bearish25 Sep
Last close206.3728 Sep
Next report30 Oct 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

CVX's IV rank is 84 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank84 of 100
At the money IV30.4%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.55
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price230,000 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price126,000 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyTight, 13.0% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among CVX's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, CVX options priced a move of 8.9 percent down and 8.6 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202643.3%3.1%199.48 to 212.72
9 Oct 2026115.1%5.0%195.77 to 216.77
23 Oct 2026257.4%7.1%191.07 to 221.07
30 Oct 2026328.9%8.6%187.97 to 224.17
20 Nov 20265311.4%10.8%182.77 to 228.67
18 Dec 20268113.4%12.8%178.67 to 232.87
19 Mar 202717219.3%20.2%166.47 to 248.07

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 206.37, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, CVX's call wall is the 210 strike and its put wall is the 200 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma210
Put wall, most open put gamma200
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign203.51
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$76.35 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$194.76 million
Close206.37

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, CVX's at the money IV is 30.4 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 24.4 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV30.4%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days24.4%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days24.3%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record865, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move26.6% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, CVX's at the money IV runs from 30.4 percent at 4 days to 27.9 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
430.4%
1128.0%
1827.8%
2530.2%
3933.7%
5329.6%
8128.0%
17227.9%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, CVX's IV ten percent below the price sits 5.7 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price36.1%+5.7 points
At the money30.4%0.0 points
10% above the price30.9%+0.6 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, CVX's surface spans 10 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 26.8 to 39.2 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more75
Lowest IV among them26.8%
Highest IV among them39.2%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, CVX has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026430.4%23,9637,121
9 Oct 20261128.0%5,4273,574
16 Oct 20261827.8%41,02821,228
23 Oct 20262530.2%3,2161,568
30 Oct 20263230.4%2,0241,225
6 Nov 20263933.7%2044
20 Nov 20265329.6%33,0538,335
18 Dec 20268128.0%46,13527,639
15 Jan 202710927.3%62,57241,139
19 Mar 202717227.9%13,03113,645

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, CVX's largest open interest sits at the 210 strike, with 51,187 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
21043,8847,30351,187
22035,4522,49137,943
20015,34615,75631,102
23030,07226630,338
18511,76412,79724,561
1907,64314,69322,336

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, CVX's at the money IV moved from 27.7 percent to 30.4 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV27.7%30.4%+2.6 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price338,113355,987+17,874
Put/call ratio, open interest0.580.54-0.04

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 53,907 CVX option contracts traded, 1.4 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded41,154
Puts traded12,753
Against its recent average1.4 times
Busier than17 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain429,561 contracts
Volume to open interest0.13
Unusual volume flagYes, 3 contracts traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contractThe 220 call expiring 20 Nov, 13,024 traded against 3,104 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of CVX's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026196.66$175.8 million200190
21 Sep 2026203.67$39.92 million210200
28 Sep 2026206.37$76.35 million210200

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of CVX was bearish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBearish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close207.12, the swing high of 4 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
Level below the close200.78, the swing low of 22 Sep 2026
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyBear call spread (sell a call spread above the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 CVX sat at the 2nd percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days41 of 100Neutral
20 trading days12 of 100Bearish
45 trading days2 of 100Bearish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 2 of 3 timeframes put CVX on the bearish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBearish1 of 2
Long45 dayBearish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 CVX had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None2 of 100
24 Sep 2026None5 of 100
23 Sep 2026None8 of 100
22 Sep 2026None12 of 100
21 Sep 2026None3 of 100
18 Sep 2026None3 of 100
17 Sep 2026None3 of 100
16 Sep 2026None13 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 17 of 56 Energy names were bullish and 33 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Energy5617336

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

CVX closed at 206.37 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close206.37
Change over 5 trading days+1.3%
Change over 21 trading days+3.3%
Change over 63 trading days+22.5%
Change over 252 trading days+28.4%
52 week high217.78
52 week low146.49
20 day moving average209.50
50 day moving average201.46
200 day moving average185.53
RSI, 14 days51

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

CVX reports next on 30 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report30 Oct 2026, before the open
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 31 Jul 2026+2.4%
Move after the report of 1 May 2026-1.4%
Move after the report of 30 Jan 2026+3.3%
Move after the report of 31 Oct 2025+2.7%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

1 of the 10 fund managers the desk tracks list CVX among the top holdings of their latest quarterly report.

Fund manager
Berkshire Hathaway

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 61.3 percent of CVX's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep61.3%
Five day average54.0%
52 week median41.8%

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 36 Septembers on record, CVX's average change was plus 0.7 percent, and it rose in 61.1 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+0.7%+0.8%61.1%36
October+0.7%-0.5%47.2%36
November+0.6%+0.5%52.8%36

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 8 headlines naming CVX in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window8
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is CVX's IV rank?
CVX's IV rank is 84 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are CVX options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, CVX options priced a move of 8.9 percent down and 8.6 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are CVX's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, CVX's call wall is the 210 strike and its put wall is the 200 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of CVX on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of CVX was bearish, paper trading.
When does CVX report earnings next?
CVX reports next on 30 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

More Energy names

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