Consumer Staples

Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

DLTR is Dollar Tree Inc, a Consumer Staples name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank96 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV49.5%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct13.9% down, 14.0% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall135 and 12528 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bearish25 Sep
Last close116.0228 Sep

Options Snapshot

DLTR's IV rank is 96 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank96 of 100
At the money IV49.5%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.51
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price32,100 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price16,300 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyWide, 55.8% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among DLTR's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, DLTR options priced a move of 13.9 percent down and 14.0 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202645.6%6.3%109.47 to 123.30
9 Oct 20261110.0%11.3%104.42 to 129.12
23 Oct 20262511.9%12.9%102.22 to 131.02
30 Oct 20263213.9%14.0%99.92 to 132.22
18 Dec 20268121.5%21.3%91.12 to 140.72
15 Jan 202710923.4%23.7%88.82 to 143.52
19 Mar 202717228.7%32.5%82.72 to 153.72

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 116.02, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, DLTR's call wall is the 135 strike and its put wall is the 125 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma135
Put wall, most open put gamma125
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$2.32 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$8.93 million
Close116.02

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 6 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, DLTR's at the money IV is 49.5 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 39.7 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV49.5%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days39.7%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days34.0%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record864, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move23.8% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, DLTR's at the money IV runs from 66.2 percent at 4 days to 45.4 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
466.2%
1157.1%
1848.4%
2544.2%
5339.2%
8143.3%
10945.3%
17245.4%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, DLTR's IV ten percent below the price sits 10.2 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price59.7%+10.2 points
At the money49.5%0.0 points
10% above the price37.6%-11.9 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, DLTR's surface spans 10 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 37.6 to 72.6 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more107
Lowest IV among them37.6%
Highest IV among them72.6%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, DLTR has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026466.2%1,049626
9 Oct 20261157.1%577341
16 Oct 20261848.4%2,4692,193
23 Oct 20262544.2%68129
30 Oct 20263249.5%11562
20 Nov 20265339.2%1,8391,876
18 Dec 20268143.3%4,0672,573
15 Jan 202710945.3%20,4677,128
19 Feb 202714443.6%319253
19 Mar 202717245.4%1,0971,146

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, DLTR's largest open interest sits at the 135 strike, with 7,941 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
1357,7421997,941
1404,4551644,619
1251,7752,2163,991
1152,7271,2483,975
1452,8811393,020
1001,4861,4722,958

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, DLTR's at the money IV moved from 43.4 percent to 49.5 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV43.4%49.5%+6.1 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price47,42648,394+968
Put/call ratio, open interest0.500.51+0.00

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 4,891 DLTR option contracts traded, 0.9 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded2,150
Puts traded2,741
Against its recent average0.9 times
Busier than2 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain57,445 contracts
Volume to open interest0.09
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of DLTR's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026128.06$6.56 million125130
21 Sep 2026112.33minus $594,773115125
28 Sep 2026116.02$2.32 million135125

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of DLTR was bearish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBearish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close117.38, the swing high of 22 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
Level below the close111.43, the swing low of 16 Sep 2026
The chartSits with the view
Strategy familyBear call spread (sell a call spread above the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 DLTR sat at the 18th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days25 of 100Neutral
20 trading days9 of 100Bearish
45 trading days18 of 100Bearish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 2 of 3 timeframes put DLTR on the bearish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBearish1 of 2
Long45 dayBearish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 DLTR had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None18 of 100
24 Sep 2026None20 of 100
23 Sep 2026None28 of 100
22 Sep 2026None41 of 100
21 Sep 2026None35 of 100
18 Sep 2026None50 of 100
17 Sep 2026None26 of 100
16 Sep 2026None29 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 9 of 50 Consumer Staples names were bullish and 22 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Consumer Staples5092219

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

DLTR closed at 116.02 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close116.02
Change over 5 trading days+3.3%
Change over 21 trading days-8.6%
Change over 63 trading days-5.4%
Change over 252 trading days+23.4%
52 week high142.40
52 week low84.71
20 day moving average119.34
50 day moving average124.82
200 day moving average117.59
RSI, 14 days43

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Company Events

DLTR filed 1 current report in the 14 days to 28 Sep 2026, the latest on 25 Sep 2026.

FiledReportWhat it covers
25 Sep 2026Current reportAmendments to Articles of Incorporation or Bylaws; Change in Fiscal Year

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 69.9 percent of DLTR's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep69.9%
Five day average60.3%
52 week median59.9%
Short interest, share of shares outstanding3.8% at the 15 Sep 2026 settlement
Days to cover2.7

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 31 Septembers on record, DLTR's average change was plus 0.6 percent, and it rose in 54.8 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+0.6%+0.3%54.8%31
October+2.8%+3.4%58.1%31
November+5.2%+6.4%74.2%31

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 1 headline naming DLTR in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window1
Latest27 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is DLTR's IV rank?
DLTR's IV rank is 96 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are DLTR options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, DLTR options priced a move of 13.9 percent down and 14.0 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are DLTR's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, DLTR's call wall is the 135 strike and its put wall is the 125 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of DLTR on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of DLTR was bearish, paper trading.

More Consumer Staples names

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