Consumer Discretionary

Expedia Group Inc (EXPE) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

EXPE is Expedia Group Inc, a Consumer Discretionary name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank91 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV52.0%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct15.5% down, 15.8% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall330 and 26528 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bearish25 Sep
Last close264.2328 Sep
Next report5 Nov 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

EXPE's IV rank is 91 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank91 of 100
At the money IV52.0%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest1.41
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price23,100 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price32,600 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 26.5% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among EXPE's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, EXPE options priced a move of 15.5 percent down and 15.8 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202645.3%6.1%250.23 to 280.43
9 Oct 2026118.8%9.1%240.93 to 288.33
23 Oct 20262514.0%13.9%227.23 to 300.83
30 Oct 20263215.5%15.8%223.23 to 305.93
20 Nov 20265320.2%21.1%210.93 to 319.93
18 Dec 20268124.8%24.6%198.83 to 329.23
19 Mar 202717233.8%35.7%175.03 to 358.53

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 264.23, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, EXPE's call wall is the 330 strike and its put wall is the 265 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma330
Put wall, most open put gamma265
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $6.45 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$23.07 million
Close264.23

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 4 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, EXPE's at the money IV is 52.0 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 47.7 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV52.0%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days47.7%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days45.3%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record863, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move30.2% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, EXPE's at the money IV runs from 51.5 percent at 4 days to 50.5 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
451.5%
1154.3%
1852.7%
2551.8%
3955.5%
5354.6%
8152.5%
17250.5%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, EXPE's IV ten percent below the price sits 2.5 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price54.5%+2.5 points
At the money52.0%0.0 points
10% above the price51.7%-0.3 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, EXPE's surface spans 10 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 49.1 to 60.1 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more89
Lowest IV among them49.1%
Highest IV among them60.1%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, EXPE has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026451.5%8213,268
9 Oct 20261154.3%224382
16 Oct 20261852.7%2,3106,189
23 Oct 20262551.8%198321
30 Oct 20263252.0%987288
6 Nov 20263955.5%676
20 Nov 20265354.6%2,141961
18 Dec 20268152.5%4,0912,536
15 Jan 202710950.2%6,09010,557
19 Mar 202717250.5%6,1877,998

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, EXPE's largest open interest sits at the 220 strike, with 6,331 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
2202896,0426,331
3305,525845,609
2304764,6435,119
3101,2702,0093,279
2701,3881,4422,830
2501,1161,4232,539

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, EXPE's at the money IV moved from 49.8 percent to 52.0 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV49.8%52.0%+2.2 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price53,73555,631+1,896
Put/call ratio, open interest1.471.41-0.05

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 4,622 EXPE option contracts traded, 0.5 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded2,124
Puts traded2,498
Against its recent average0.5 times
Busier than0 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain62,670 contracts
Volume to open interest0.07
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of EXPE's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026321.07$3.73 million310318
21 Sep 2026281.02minus $1.53 million320310
28 Sep 2026264.23minus $6.45 million330265

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of EXPE was bearish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBearish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close294.84, the swing high of 15 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
Level below the close261.43, the swing low of 9 Sep 2026
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyBear call spread (sell a call spread above the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 EXPE sat at the 10th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days21 of 100Neutral
20 trading days23 of 100Neutral
45 trading days10 of 100Bearish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 1 of 3 timeframes put EXPE on the bearish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayBearish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 EXPE had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None10 of 100
24 Sep 2026None17 of 100
23 Sep 2026None34 of 100
22 Sep 2026None15 of 100
21 Sep 2026None15 of 100
18 Sep 2026None26 of 100
17 Sep 2026None24 of 100
16 Sep 2026None14 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 27 of 106 Consumer Discretionary names were bullish and 33 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Consumer Discretionary106273346

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

EXPE closed at 264.23 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close264.23
Change over 5 trading days-6.0%
Change over 21 trading days-17.1%
Change over 63 trading days-0.4%
Change over 252 trading days+22.8%
52 week high342.00
52 week low185.34
20 day moving average283.91
50 day moving average297.85
200 day moving average260.35
RSI, 14 days36

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

EXPE reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report5 Nov 2026, after the close
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 5 Aug 2026-4.1%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026+1.4%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026+2.6%
Move after the report of 8 May 2025-7.3%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 77.6 percent of EXPE's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep77.6%
Five day average75.8%
52 week median66.1%
Short interest, share of shares outstanding5.5% at the 15 Sep 2026 settlement
Days to cover3.1

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 21 Septembers on record, EXPE's average change was plus 1.1 percent, and it rose in 52.4 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+1.1%+2.0%52.4%21
October-0.4%+2.0%61.9%21
November+6.3%+4.6%57.1%21

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 3 headlines naming EXPE in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window3
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is EXPE's IV rank?
EXPE's IV rank is 91 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are EXPE options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, EXPE options priced a move of 15.5 percent down and 15.8 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are EXPE's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, EXPE's call wall is the 330 strike and its put wall is the 265 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of EXPE on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of EXPE was bearish, paper trading.
When does EXPE report earnings next?
EXPE reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

More Consumer Discretionary names

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