Materials

Freeport-McMoRan Inc (FCX) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

FCX is Freeport-McMoRan Inc, a Materials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
Trade CardBull put spread, 18 Dec25 Sep
IV rank88 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV56.9%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct14.7% down, 15.3% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall80 and 7028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bullish25 Sep
Last close71.9628 Sep
Next report22 Oct 202628 Sep

Trade Cards

On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for FCX was a bull put spread expiring 18 Dec 2026, paper trading.

FigureValue
SignalNeutral
StrategyBull put spread, credit
LegsSell the 65 put, Buy the 55 put
Expiry18 Dec 2026, 84 days to expiry
LimitA credit of at least $2.26
Probability of profit71%, the option market's odds at expiry, from delta
Max loss$774 per contract
Max profit$226 per contract
Breakeven62.74
IV rank at that expiry69 of 100

Probability of profit is the option market's own odds from delta, not the model's.

Priced on the option chain at the close on 25 Sep 2026.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Options Snapshot

FCX's IV rank is 88 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank88 of 100
At the money IV56.9%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.72
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price344,000 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price249,000 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyWide, 46.8% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among FCX's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, FCX options priced a move of 14.7 percent down and 15.3 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202645.2%5.5%68.20 to 75.90
9 Oct 2026118.4%8.3%65.92 to 77.91
23 Oct 20262512.7%12.6%62.83 to 81.04
30 Oct 20263214.7%15.3%61.36 to 82.96
20 Nov 20265317.9%18.3%59.06 to 85.16
18 Dec 20268121.5%23.6%56.46 to 88.96
19 Feb 202714429.6%31.7%50.66 to 94.76

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 71.96, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, FCX's call wall is the 80 strike and its put wall is the 70 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma80
Put wall, most open put gamma70
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$16.58 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$61.13 million
Close71.96

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 3 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, FCX's at the money IV is 56.9 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 41.3 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV56.9%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days41.3%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days46.1%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record865, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move32.5% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, FCX's at the money IV runs from 49.2 percent at 4 days to 48.8 percent at 144 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
449.2%
1150.5%
1849.3%
2549.4%
3952.8%
5349.1%
8148.3%
14448.8%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, FCX's IV ten percent below the price sits 2.1 points below at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price54.8%-2.1 points
At the money56.9%0.0 points
10% above the price51.2%-5.7 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, FCX's surface spans 10 expiries out to 144 days, with IV from 46.8 to 59.1 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Feb 2027, 144 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more90
Lowest IV among them46.8%
Highest IV among them59.1%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, FCX has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Feb 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026449.2%12,19111,255
9 Oct 20261150.5%5,9722,682
16 Oct 20261849.3%60,31529,810
23 Oct 20262549.4%2,6441,388
30 Oct 20263256.9%1,136692
6 Nov 20263952.8%3125
20 Nov 20265349.1%48,28328,437
18 Dec 20268148.3%58,61944,511
15 Jan 202710948.0%147,553123,762
19 Feb 202714448.8%7,4626,303

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, FCX's largest open interest sits at the 80 strike, with 65,631 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
8061,9593,67265,631
6020,86840,80361,671
7029,23028,54857,778
6517,71236,75554,467
5519,70330,98850,691
7538,7706,65745,427

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, FCX's at the money IV moved from 48.5 percent to 56.9 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV48.5%56.9%+8.4 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price630,404593,071-37,333
Put/call ratio, open interest0.740.72-0.01

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 32,948 FCX option contracts traded, 0.9 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded17,675
Puts traded15,273
Against its recent average0.9 times
Busier than2 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain825,035 contracts
Volume to open interest0.04
Unusual volume flagYes, 1 contract traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contractThe 72 call expiring 2 Oct, 1,475 traded against 636 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of FCX's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202668.87$26.17 million7065
21 Sep 202672.16$14.82 million8070
28 Sep 202671.96$16.58 million8070

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of FCX was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close74.90, the swing high of 22 Sep 2026
Level below the close71.45, the swing low of 4 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chartSits with the view
Strategy familyBull put spread (sell a put spread below the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 FCX sat at the 81st percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days98 of 100Bullish
20 trading days91 of 100Bullish
45 trading days81 of 100Bullish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 3 of 3 timeframes put FCX on the bullish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBullish2 of 2
Long45 dayBullish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 FCX had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None81 of 100
24 Sep 2026None87 of 100
23 Sep 2026None69 of 100
22 Sep 2026None76 of 100
21 Sep 2026None80 of 100
18 Sep 2026None75 of 100
17 Sep 2026None54 of 100
16 Sep 2026None71 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 35 of 62 Materials names were bullish and 11 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Materials62351116

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

FCX closed at 71.96 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close71.96
Change over 5 trading days-0.3%
Change over 21 trading days-8.2%
Change over 63 trading days+16.8%
Change over 252 trading days+103.6%
52 week high80.24
52 week low35.29
20 day moving average72.42
50 day moving average69.89
200 day moving average63.15
RSI, 14 days50

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

FCX reports next on 22 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report22 Oct 2026, before the open
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 24 Apr 2026-0.8%
Move after the report of 22 Jan 2026+2.6%
Move after the report of 24 Apr 2025+6.9%
Move after the report of 23 Jan 2025-1.5%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 41.7 percent of FCX's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep41.7%
Five day average43.3%
52 week median39.3%

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, FCX's average change was minus 0.8 percent, and it rose in 52.2 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-0.8%+0.2%52.2%23
October+3.1%+6.3%65.2%23
November+4.3%+3.1%60.9%23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is FCX's IV rank?
FCX's IV rank is 88 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are FCX options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, FCX options priced a move of 14.7 percent down and 15.3 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are FCX's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, FCX's call wall is the 80 strike and its put wall is the 70 strike.
What was the latest Trade Card for FCX on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for FCX was a bull put spread expiring 18 Dec 2026, paper trading.
When does FCX report earnings next?
FCX reports next on 22 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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