Information Technology

Fastly, Inc. (FSLY) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

FSLY is Fastly, Inc., an Information Technology name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
Trade CardBear call spread, 20 Nov25 Sep
IV rank77 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV87.7%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct26.0% down, 26.6% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall25 and 2028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewBearish signal, view bearish25 Sep
Last close24.9228 Sep
Next report4 Nov 202628 Sep

Trade Cards

On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for FSLY was a bear call spread expiring 20 Nov 2026, paper trading.

FigureValue
SignalBearish, over 20 trading days
StrategyBear call spread, credit
LegsSell the 35 call, Buy the 40 call
Expiry20 Nov 2026, 56 days to expiry
LimitA credit of at least $0.58
Probability of profit72%, the option market's odds at expiry, from delta
Max loss$442 per contract
Max profit$58 per contract
Breakeven35.58
IV rank at that expiry93 of 100

Probability of profit is the option market's own odds from delta, not the model's.

Priced on the option chain at the close on 25 Sep 2026.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Options Snapshot

FSLY's IV rank is 77 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank77 of 100
At the money IV87.7%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.52
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price89,400 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price46,800 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 29.6% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among FSLY's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, FSLY options priced a move of 26.0 percent down and 26.6 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 2026410.4%10.5%22.33 to 27.53
9 Oct 20261115.4%16.4%21.07 to 29.01
23 Oct 20262523.0%23.8%19.18 to 30.84
30 Oct 20263226.0%26.6%18.43 to 31.54
20 Nov 20265339.0%39.0%15.20 to 34.64
18 Dec 20268144.9%44.9%13.72 to 36.12
19 Mar 202717263.4%63.4%9.12 to 40.72

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 24.92, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, FSLY's call wall is the 25 strike and its put wall is the 20 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma25
Put wall, most open put gamma20
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$1.75 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$3.97 million
Close24.92

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 7 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, FSLY's at the money IV is 87.7 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 102.3 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV87.7%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days102.3%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days95.7%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record354, from 7 Jun 2019
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move31.5% of 232 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, FSLY's at the money IV runs from 100.1 percent at 4 days to 92.3 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
4100.1%
1191.8%
1890.0%
2590.1%
39109.0%
53102.4%
8195.5%
17292.3%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, FSLY's IV ten percent below the price sits 0.7 points below at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price86.9%-0.7 points
At the money87.7%0.0 points
10% above the price89.4%+1.7 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, FSLY's surface spans 10 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 86.2 to 111.5 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more57
Lowest IV among them86.2%
Highest IV among them111.5%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, FSLY has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 20264100.1%15,2335,279
9 Oct 20261191.8%7,0008,655
16 Oct 20261890.0%24,7518,736
23 Oct 20262590.1%1,3441,499
30 Oct 20263287.7%9971,579
6 Nov 202639109.0%95240
20 Nov 202653102.4%7,8931,601
18 Dec 20268195.5%7,3892,044
15 Jan 202710988.3%22,86616,527
19 Mar 202717292.3%1,782640

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, FSLY's largest open interest sits at the 20 strike, with 13,061 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
205,9017,16013,061
3010,8921,09011,982
151,7939,64111,434
258,5542,65611,210
22.58,4632,52010,983
359,88318910,072

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, FSLY's at the money IV moved from 88.1 percent to 87.7 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV88.1%87.7%-0.4 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price128,250136,150+7,900
Put/call ratio, open interest0.510.52+0.01

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 29,186 FSLY option contracts traded, 0.5 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded22,639
Puts traded6,547
Against its recent average0.5 times
Busier than16 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain204,147 contracts
Volume to open interest0.14
Unusual volume flagYes, 3 contracts traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contractThe 30 call expiring 15 Jan, 6,138 traded against 1,606 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of FSLY's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202628.78$1.16 million3025
21 Sep 202627.42$1.28 million2525
28 Sep 202624.92$1.75 million2520

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of FSLY was bearish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBearish at 20 trading days, signal on
Level above the close31.33, the swing high of 23 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
Level below the close24.59, the swing low of 9 Sep 2026
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyBear call spread (sell a call spread above the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 FSLY sat at the 2nd percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days1 of 100Bearish
20 trading days1 of 100Bearish
45 trading days2 of 100Bearish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 3 of 3 timeframes put FSLY on the bearish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBearish2 of 2
Long45 dayBearish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 FSLY's bearish signal had held 5 trading days in a row, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026Bearish2 of 100
24 Sep 2026Bearish1 of 100
23 Sep 2026Bearish1 of 100
22 Sep 2026Bearish4 of 100
21 Sep 2026Bearish10 of 100
18 Sep 2026None27 of 100
17 Sep 2026None8 of 100
16 Sep 2026Bearish3 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 80 of 187 Information Technology names were bullish and 61 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Information Technology187806146

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

FSLY closed at 24.92 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close24.92
Change over 5 trading days-9.1%
Change over 21 trading days+1.1%
Change over 63 trading days+38.4%
Change over 252 trading days+198.8%
52 week high34.82
52 week low7.74
20 day moving average23.83
50 day moving average23.84
200 day moving average19.65
RSI, 14 days51

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

FSLY reports next on 4 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report4 Nov 2026, after the close
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 5 Aug 2026-12.9%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026+11.2%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026-3.0%
Move after the report of 7 May 2025+26.4%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

Company insiders reported 0 purchases and 4 sales of FSLY in the filings the desk holds.

FiledWhoTradeSize
23 Sep 2026Bergman Artur, director, Chief Technology OfficerSold7,600 shares, $213,104
23 Sep 2026Bergman Artur, director, Chief Technology OfficerSold24,300 shares, $708,831
23 Sep 2026Bergman Artur, director, Chief Technology OfficerSold262,185 shares, $7.9 million
23 Sep 2026Bergman Artur, director, Chief Technology OfficerSold85,517 shares, $2.62 million

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 7 Septembers on record, FSLY's average change was minus 2.0 percent, and it rose in 42.9 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-2.0%-2.0%42.9%7
October-8.8%-7.3%14.3%7
November+14.4%+13.8%85.7%7

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 3 headlines naming FSLY in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window3
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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The Desk Analyst

The Free plan shows the first paragraph of The Desk Analyst's column on FSLY for 25 Sep 2026, quoted below.

The close is 24.96, which is 27.5% above the 200-day simple moving average of 19.58.

Other moving averages include the SMA5 at 26.96, SMA20 at 23.74, SMA50 at 23.76, and SMA100 at 21.34.

Paper trading. Column for 25 Sep 2026, general commentary published the same way to every reader.

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Questions

What is FSLY's IV rank?
FSLY's IV rank is 77 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are FSLY options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, FSLY options priced a move of 26.0 percent down and 26.6 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are FSLY's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, FSLY's call wall is the 25 strike and its put wall is the 20 strike.
What was the latest Trade Card for FSLY on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for FSLY was a bear call spread expiring 20 Nov 2026, paper trading.
When does FSLY report earnings next?
FSLY reports next on 4 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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