Financials

HDFC Bank Limited (HDB) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

HDB is HDFC Bank Limited, a Financials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank76 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV35.4%28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct7.9% down, 7.9% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall25 and 22.528 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bullish25 Sep
Last close22.4128 Sep
Next report17 Oct 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

HDB's IV rank is 76 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank76 of 100
At the money IV35.4%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.50
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price17,400 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price8,750 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyWide, 75.6% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among HDB's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, HDB options priced a move of 7.9 percent down and 7.9 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 2026187.9%7.9%20.65 to 24.17
20 Nov 20265315.2%15.2%19.00 to 25.82
15 Jan 202710918.3%18.3%18.30 to 26.52
16 Apr 202720024.9%24.9%16.84 to 27.98

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 22.41, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, HDB's call wall is the 25 strike and its put wall is the 22.5 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma25
Put wall, most open put gamma22.5
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign23.27
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$208,547
Total dollar gamma, both sides$1.33 million
Close22.41

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, HDB's at the money IV is 35.4 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 35.7 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV35.4%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days35.7%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days36.8%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record809, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move29.0% of 217 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, HDB's at the money IV runs from 35.4 percent at 18 days to 33.6 percent at 200 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1835.4%
5339.9%
10933.6%
20033.6%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, HDB's IV ten percent below the price sits 20.6 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price60.5%+20.6 points
At the money39.9%0.0 points
10% above the price39.6%-0.3 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, HDB's surface spans 4 expiries out to 200 days, with IV from 33.6 to 39.9 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured4
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry16 Apr 2027, 200 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more4
Lowest IV among them33.6%
Highest IV among them39.9%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, HDB has 4 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 16 Apr 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261835.4%9,0724,010
20 Nov 20265339.9%45162
15 Jan 202710933.6%7,0704,417
16 Apr 202720033.6%1,210159

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, HDB's largest open interest sits at the 25 strike, with 11,898 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
2510,1171,78111,898
22.54,4894,7689,257
201,5402,0353,575
308590859
27.528432316
17.522132154

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, HDB's at the money IV moved from 39.6 percent to 35.4 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV39.6%35.4%-4.2 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price33,77226,145-7,627
Put/call ratio, open interest0.360.50+0.14

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 1,226 HDB option contracts traded, 0.7 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded868
Puts traded358
Against its recent average0.7 times
Busier than9 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain35,478 contracts
Volume to open interest0.03
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of HDB's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202623.29$111,34427.522.5
21 Sep 202623.65$681,5582522.5
28 Sep 202622.41$208,5472522.5

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of HDB was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close22.75, the swing high of 23 Sep 2026
Level below the close22.26, the swing low of 16 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyCash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 HDB sat at the 81st percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days69 of 100Neutral
20 trading days80 of 100Neutral
45 trading days81 of 100Bullish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 1 of 3 timeframes put HDB on the bullish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayBullish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 HDB had carried no signal for 3 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None81 of 100
24 Sep 2026None94 of 100
23 Sep 2026None95 of 100
22 Sep 2026Bullish99 of 100
21 Sep 2026Bullish96 of 100
18 Sep 2026Bullish98 of 100
17 Sep 2026None92 of 100
16 Sep 2026Bullish98 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 63 of 135 Financials names were bullish and 32 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Financials135633240

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

HDB closed at 22.41 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close22.41
Change over 5 trading days-5.2%
Change over 21 trading days-0.2%
Change over 63 trading days-13.5%
Change over 252 trading days-34.6%
52 week high37.45
52 week low21.77
20 day moving average22.84
50 day moving average23.21
200 day moving average27.33
RSI, 14 days44

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

HDB reports next on 17 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

FigureValue
Next report17 Oct 2026, after the close
DateConfirmed by the company
Move after the report of 18 Jul 2026-10.5%
Move after the report of 19 Apr 2026-3.4%
Move after the report of 17 Jan 2026-0.9%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, HDB's average change was plus 3.1 percent, and it rose in 56.5 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+3.1%+0.7%56.5%23
October+3.3%+0.8%56.5%23
November+3.7%+2.0%69.6%23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is HDB's IV rank?
HDB's IV rank is 76 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are HDB options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, HDB options priced a move of 7.9 percent down and 7.9 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are HDB's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, HDB's call wall is the 25 strike and its put wall is the 22.5 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of HDB on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of HDB was bullish, paper trading.
When does HDB report earnings next?
HDB reports next on 17 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

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