Financials

HSBC Holdings plc (HSBC) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

HSBC is HSBC Holdings plc, a Financials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank98 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV40.2%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct14.3% down, 11.6% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wallBoth 10528 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close101.1828 Sep
Next report27 Oct 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

HSBC's IV rank is 98 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank98 of 100
At the money IV40.2%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest1.17
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price25,000 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price29,300 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyWide, 71.8% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among HSBC's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, HSBC options priced a move of 14.3 percent down and 11.6 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202645.1%5.0%96.02 to 106.23
9 Oct 2026117.0%5.0%94.09 to 106.19
16 Oct 2026186.1%5.4%94.98 to 106.66
30 Oct 20263214.3%11.6%86.68 to 112.88
20 Nov 20265311.5%15.2%89.58 to 116.58
18 Dec 20268116.9%13.0%84.08 to 114.38
19 Mar 202717223.4%19.4%77.48 to 120.78

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 101.18, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, HSBC's call wall and put wall are both at the 105 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma105
Put wall, most open put gamma105
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $143,275
Total dollar gamma, both sides$14.27 million
Close101.18

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 5 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, HSBC's at the money IV is 40.2 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 19.4 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV40.2%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days19.4%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days21.0%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record648, from 15 Nov 2013
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move27.1% of 236 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, HSBC's at the money IV runs from 47.7 percent at 4 days to 33.0 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
447.7%
1136.7%
1835.0%
2541.9%
3240.2%
5336.9%
8128.8%
17233.0%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, HSBC's IV ten percent below the price sits 18.6 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price58.7%+18.6 points
At the money40.2%0.0 points
10% above the price56.4%+16.2 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, HSBC's surface spans 9 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 23.8 to 66.0 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured9
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more77
Lowest IV among them23.8%
Highest IV among them66.0%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, HSBC has 9 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026447.7%2,8122,775
9 Oct 20261136.7%130104
16 Oct 20261835.0%3,3612,595
23 Oct 20262541.9%6028
30 Oct 20263240.2%32756
20 Nov 20265336.9%34363
18 Dec 20268128.8%6,64515,999
15 Jan 202710931.7%7,7375,469
19 Mar 202717233.0%3,5822,208

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, HSBC's largest open interest sits at the 105 strike, with 15,736 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
1059,0156,72115,736
1002,5333,3765,909
809334,8635,796
751794,8645,043
901,4752,9144,389
1104,038194,057

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, HSBC's at the money IV moved from 30.6 percent to 40.2 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV30.6%40.2%+9.6 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price53,97754,294+317
Put/call ratio, open interest1.171.17-0.00

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 49,510 HSBC option contracts traded, 1.0 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded47,839
Puts traded1,671
Against its recent average1.0 times
Busier than11 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain69,337 contracts
Volume to open interest0.71
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of HSBC's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026103.21$3.18 million10595
21 Sep 2026103.21$680,906105105
28 Sep 2026101.18minus $143,275105105

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of HSBC was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close103.76, the swing high of 21 Sep 2026
Level below the close99.87, the swing low of 16 Sep 2026
Strategy familyIron condor (sell both sides, defined risk)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 HSBC sat at the 51st percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days53 of 100Neutral
20 trading days75 of 100Neutral
45 trading days51 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 HSBC's near timeframes were neutral and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Timeframe Agreement in RingMasterThe Timeframe Agreement guide

Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 HSBC had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None51 of 100
24 Sep 2026None49 of 100
23 Sep 2026None47 of 100
22 Sep 2026None47 of 100
21 Sep 2026None55 of 100
18 Sep 2026None49 of 100
17 Sep 2026None68 of 100
16 Sep 2026None65 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 63 of 135 Financials names were bullish and 32 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Financials135633240

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

HSBC closed at 101.18 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close101.18
Change over 5 trading days-2.0%
Change over 21 trading days-1.6%
Change over 63 trading days+6.4%
Change over 252 trading days+46.8%
52 week high107.92
52 week low64.65
20 day moving average103.22
50 day moving average103.44
200 day moving average91.68
RSI, 14 days45

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

HSBC reports next on 27 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

FigureValue
Next report27 Oct 2026, before the open
DateConfirmed by the company
Move after the report of 4 Aug 2026-1.7%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026+0.1%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, HSBC's average change was plus 0.4 percent, and it rose in 69.6 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+0.4%+2.1%69.6%23
October+1.2%+1.4%60.9%23
November+1.5%+1.6%65.2%23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 1 headline naming HSBC in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window1
Latest26 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is HSBC's IV rank?
HSBC's IV rank is 98 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are HSBC options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, HSBC options priced a move of 14.3 percent down and 11.6 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are HSBC's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, HSBC's call wall and put wall are both at the 105 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of HSBC on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of HSBC was neutral, paper trading.
When does HSBC report earnings next?
HSBC reports next on 27 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

More Financials names

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