Financials

Markel Group Inc. (MKL) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

MKL is Markel Group Inc., a Financials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank56 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV19.3%28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct4.2% down, 6.8% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall1,940 and 1,72028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bullish25 Sep
Last close1,740.4028 Sep
Next report28 Oct 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

MKL's IV rank is 56 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank56 of 100
At the money IV19.3%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.40
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price508 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price205 contracts

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among MKL's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, MKL options priced a move of 4.2 percent down and 6.8 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 2026184.2%6.8%1,666.50 to 1,859.40
20 Nov 2026538.2%8.4%1,597.40 to 1,887.40
15 Jan 202710910.7%12.5%1,554.40 to 1,957.40
16 Apr 202720013.4%17.4%1,507.40 to 2,043.40

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 1,740.40, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, MKL's call wall is the 1,940 strike and its put wall is the 1,720 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma1,940
Put wall, most open put gamma1,720
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign1,729.97
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $852,574
Total dollar gamma, both sides$4.13 million
Close1,740.40

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, MKL's at the money IV is 19.3 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 13.1 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV19.3%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days13.1%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days19.4%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record669, from 22 Jun 2012
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move27.5% of 236 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, MKL's at the money IV runs from 19.3 percent at 18 days to 19.4 percent at 200 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1819.3%
5321.6%
10942.3%
20019.4%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, MKL's surface spans 4 expiries out to 200 days, with IV from 17.2 to 68.4 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured4
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry16 Apr 2027, 200 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more51
Lowest IV among them17.2%
Highest IV among them68.4%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, MKL has 4 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 16 Apr 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261819.3%127136
20 Nov 20265321.6%68
15 Jan 202710942.3%31057
16 Apr 202720019.4%654

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, MKL's largest open interest sits at the 1,720 strike, with 60 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
1,72035760
2,06056056
2,20055055
1,70005151
2,30050050
1,94036036

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, MKL's at the money IV moved from 18.2 percent to 19.3 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV18.2%19.3%+1.1 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price746713-33
Put/call ratio, open interest0.360.40+0.04

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 463 MKL option contracts traded, 1.0 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded373
Puts traded90
Against its recent average1.0 times
Busier than15 of its last 18 trading days
Open interest, whole chain976 contracts
Volume to open interest0.47
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 22 trading days of MKL's option positioning, from 12 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
12 Aug 20261,842.46$328,1471,9401,740
21 Sep 20261,774.64minus $104,8901,9401,720
28 Sep 20261,740.40minus $852,5741,9401,720

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of MKL was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close1,767.60, the swing high of 10 Sep 2026
Level below the close1,716.00, the swing low of 25 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyCash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 MKL sat at the 72nd percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days30 of 100Neutral
20 trading days45 of 100Neutral
45 trading days72 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 MKL's near timeframes were neutral and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 MKL had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None72 of 100
24 Sep 2026None41 of 100
23 Sep 2026None39 of 100
22 Sep 2026None30 of 100
21 Sep 2026None44 of 100
18 Sep 2026None45 of 100
17 Sep 2026None75 of 100
16 Sep 2026None45 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 63 of 135 Financials names were bullish and 32 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Financials135633240

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

MKL closed at 1,740.40 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close1,740.40
Change over 5 trading days-1.9%
Change over 21 trading days-3.6%
Change over 63 trading days-11.0%
Change over 252 trading days-8.6%
52 week high2,207.59
52 week low1,716.00
20 day moving average1,782.31
50 day moving average1,839.69
200 day moving average1,937.15
RSI, 14 days34

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

MKL reports next on 28 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

FigureValue
Next report28 Oct 2026, after the close
DateConfirmed by the company
Move after the report of 29 Jul 2026-6.4%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026+0.4%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026+0.5%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2025+0.3%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, MKL's average change was minus 0.7 percent, and it rose in 43.5 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-0.7%-0.4%43.5%23
October+1.5%-0.1%47.8%23
November+2.1%+2.4%73.9%23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is MKL's IV rank?
MKL's IV rank is 56 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are MKL options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, MKL options priced a move of 4.2 percent down and 6.8 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are MKL's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, MKL's call wall is the 1,940 strike and its put wall is the 1,720 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of MKL on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of MKL was bullish, paper trading.
When does MKL report earnings next?
MKL reports next on 28 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

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