Financials

Morgan Stanley (MS) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

MS is Morgan Stanley, a Financials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank85 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV37.9%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct10.9% down, 11.7% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall220 and 19028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bullish25 Sep
Last close193.6428 Sep
Next report14 Oct 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

MS's IV rank is 85 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank85 of 100
At the money IV37.9%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest1.22
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price88,400 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price108,000 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 27.4% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among MS's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, MS options priced a move of 10.9 percent down and 11.7 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202643.6%3.3%186.75 to 199.98
9 Oct 2026115.5%5.3%183.04 to 203.94
23 Oct 2026259.3%9.2%175.54 to 211.44
30 Oct 20263210.9%11.7%172.54 to 216.34
20 Nov 20265312.8%12.4%168.94 to 217.74
18 Dec 20268115.0%15.0%164.54 to 222.74
19 Mar 202717221.1%23.1%152.74 to 238.34

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 193.64, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, MS's call wall is the 220 strike and its put wall is the 190 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma220
Put wall, most open put gamma190
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $21.51 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$78.33 million
Close193.64

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 7 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, MS's at the money IV is 37.9 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 22.6 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV37.9%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days22.6%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days27.8%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record865, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move27.4% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, MS's at the money IV runs from 32.6 percent at 4 days to 32.2 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
432.6%
1133.2%
1836.1%
2535.2%
3936.5%
5333.1%
8131.9%
17232.2%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, MS's IV ten percent below the price sits 3.4 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price41.3%+3.4 points
At the money37.9%0.0 points
10% above the price36.1%-1.8 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, MS's surface spans 10 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 30.6 to 111.6 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more83
Lowest IV among them30.6%
Highest IV among them111.6%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, MS has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026432.6%3,5864,681
9 Oct 20261133.2%1,5882,893
16 Oct 20261836.1%15,35621,466
23 Oct 20262535.2%1,713931
30 Oct 20263237.9%342600
6 Nov 20263936.5%1615
20 Nov 20265333.1%8,05911,128
18 Dec 20268131.9%15,49918,604
15 Jan 202710932.1%32,21731,345
19 Mar 202717232.2%9,98216,123

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, MS's largest open interest sits at the 200 strike, with 20,224 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
2007,95512,26920,224
22014,3654,57618,941
1902,79510,94513,740
2106,4915,70312,194
1851,95410,04411,998
2309,29282510,117

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, MS's at the money IV moved from 36.2 percent to 37.9 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV36.2%37.9%+1.6 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price196,726196,144-582
Put/call ratio, open interest1.181.22+0.04

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 27,374 MS option contracts traded, 1.3 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded16,308
Puts traded11,066
Against its recent average1.3 times
Busier than19 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain267,441 contracts
Volume to open interest0.10
Unusual volume flagYes, 3 contracts traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contractThe 195 call expiring 16 Oct, 494 traded against 198 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of MS's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026215.07$13.64 million220210
21 Sep 2026206.12minus $11.63 million220200
28 Sep 2026193.64minus $21.51 million220190

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of MS was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close200.26, the swing high of 17 Sep 2026
Level below the close192.99, the swing low of 28 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyCash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 MS sat at the 100th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days87 of 100Bullish
20 trading days98 of 100Bullish
45 trading days100 of 100Bullish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 3 of 3 timeframes put MS on the bullish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBullish2 of 2
Long45 dayBullish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Timeframe Agreement in RingMasterThe Timeframe Agreement guide

Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 MS had carried no signal for 6 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None100 of 100
24 Sep 2026None98 of 100
23 Sep 2026None95 of 100
22 Sep 2026None99 of 100
21 Sep 2026None99 of 100
18 Sep 2026None99 of 100
17 Sep 2026Bullish99 of 100
16 Sep 2026Bullish98 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 63 of 135 Financials names were bullish and 32 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Financials135633240

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

MS closed at 193.64 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close193.64
Change over 5 trading days-6.1%
Change over 21 trading days-9.9%
Change over 63 trading days-8.5%
Change over 252 trading days+21.8%
52 week high232.25
52 week low151.84
20 day moving average207.10
50 day moving average211.48
200 day moving average193.66
RSI, 14 days29

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

MS reports next on 14 Oct 2026, and options priced an earnings move of 6.4 percent through 16 Oct 2026.

FigureValue
Next report14 Oct 2026, before the open
DateConfirmed by the company
Priced earnings move6.4%, a straddle of $12.42 at the 192.5 strike, expiring 16 Oct 2026
Move after the report of 15 Jul 2026+0.4%
Move after the report of 15 Apr 2026+4.5%
Move after the report of 15 Jan 2026+5.8%
Move after the report of 15 Oct 2025+4.7%

The priced earnings move is the straddle's cost over the share price. It restates option prices and says nothing certain about the report.

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 20.9 percent of MS's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep20.9%
Five day average23.9%
52 week median37.4%

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 33 Septembers on record, MS's average change was minus 2.6 percent, and it rose in 51.5 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-2.6%+0.6%51.5%33
October+4.3%+4.0%75.8%33
November+2.7%+3.0%60.6%33

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 8 headlines naming MS in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window8
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is MS's IV rank?
MS's IV rank is 85 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are MS options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, MS options priced a move of 10.9 percent down and 11.7 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are MS's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, MS's call wall is the 220 strike and its put wall is the 190 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of MS on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of MS was bullish, paper trading.
When does MS report earnings next?
MS reports next on 14 Oct 2026, and options priced an earnings move of 6.4 percent through 16 Oct 2026.

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