Utilities

NRG Energy Inc (NRG) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

NRG is NRG Energy Inc, an Utilities name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank96 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV55.1%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct14.7% down, 15.8% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wallBoth 11028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bullish25 Sep
Last close97.0028 Sep
Next report5 Nov 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

NRG's IV rank is 96 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank96 of 100
At the money IV55.1%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.45
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price75,100 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price33,900 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 18.4% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among NRG's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, NRG options priced a move of 14.7 percent down and 15.8 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202645.4%5.4%91.75 to 102.22
9 Oct 2026119.5%9.3%87.74 to 106.00
23 Oct 20262512.7%13.8%84.70 to 110.40
30 Oct 20263214.7%15.8%82.70 to 112.30
20 Nov 20265319.5%20.3%78.10 to 116.70
18 Dec 20268123.4%24.4%74.30 to 120.70
19 Mar 202717233.6%37.0%64.40 to 132.90

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 97.00, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, NRG's call wall and put wall are both at the 110 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma110
Put wall, most open put gamma110
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$4.66 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$11.96 million
Close97.00

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 3 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, NRG's at the money IV is 55.1 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 40.8 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV55.1%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days40.8%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days57.1%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record865, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move28.6% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, NRG's at the money IV runs from 54.6 percent at 4 days to 53.7 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
454.6%
1155.6%
1849.0%
2556.2%
3954.7%
5352.3%
8151.3%
17253.7%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, NRG's IV ten percent below the price sits 5.4 points below at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price49.7%-5.4 points
At the money55.1%0.0 points
10% above the price55.6%+0.5 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, NRG's surface spans 10 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 47.4 to 61.4 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more75
Lowest IV among them47.4%
Highest IV among them61.4%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, NRG has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026454.6%8201,017
9 Oct 20261155.6%407403
16 Oct 20261849.0%21,3412,460
23 Oct 20262556.2%154201
30 Oct 20263255.1%141103
6 Nov 20263954.7%223
20 Nov 20265352.3%11,452640
18 Dec 20268151.3%31,71110,126
15 Jan 202710951.7%5,44711,946
19 Mar 202717253.7%3,6266,972

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, NRG's largest open interest sits at the 110 strike, with 18,779 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
11014,9793,80018,779
12517,31035817,668
12012,16988313,052
5006,6506,650
1656,358146,372
1153,9891,3785,367

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, NRG's at the money IV moved from 48.6 percent to 55.1 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV48.6%55.1%+6.5 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price85,886108,992+23,106
Put/call ratio, open interest0.420.45+0.03

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 11,836 NRG option contracts traded, 0.4 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded6,529
Puts traded5,307
Against its recent average0.4 times
Busier than8 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain131,693 contracts
Volume to open interest0.09
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of NRG's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026119.79$3.4 million140140
21 Sep 2026103.28minus $542,361110110
28 Sep 202697.00$4.66 million110110

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of NRG was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close105.13, the swing high of 15 Sep 2026
Level below the close96.87, the swing low of 28 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyCash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 NRG sat at the 90th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days80 of 100Neutral
20 trading days98 of 100Bullish
45 trading days90 of 100Bullish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 2 of 3 timeframes put NRG on the bullish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBullish1 of 2
Long45 dayBullish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 NRG had carried no signal for 1 trading day, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None90 of 100
24 Sep 2026Bullish98 of 100
23 Sep 2026Bullish99 of 100
22 Sep 2026Bullish100 of 100
21 Sep 2026Bullish99 of 100
18 Sep 2026Bullish98 of 100
17 Sep 2026Bullish98 of 100
16 Sep 2026Bullish99 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 20 of 35 Utilities names were bullish and 11 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Utilities3520114

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

NRG closed at 97.00 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close97.00
Change over 5 trading days-6.1%
Change over 21 trading days-15.2%
Change over 63 trading days-34.9%
Change over 252 trading days-40.5%
52 week high189.96
52 week low96.87
20 day moving average107.77
50 day moving average117.42
200 day moving average142.23
RSI, 14 days32

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

NRG reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report5 Nov 2026, before the open
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 4 Aug 2026-15.5%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026-1.4%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026-0.9%
Move after the report of 12 May 2025+26.2%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

1 of the 10 fund managers the desk tracks list NRG among the top holdings of their latest quarterly report.

Fund manager
Appaloosa

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 51.6 percent of NRG's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep51.6%
Five day average31.1%
52 week median42.9%

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 22 Septembers on record, NRG's average change was minus 2.3 percent, and it rose in 54.5 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-2.3%+1.4%54.5%22
October+0.1%+0.9%54.5%22
November+2.3%+1.7%54.5%22

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 2 headlines naming NRG in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window2
Latest27 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is NRG's IV rank?
NRG's IV rank is 96 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are NRG options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, NRG options priced a move of 14.7 percent down and 15.8 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are NRG's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, NRG's call wall and put wall are both at the 110 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of NRG on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of NRG was bullish, paper trading.
When does NRG report earnings next?
NRG reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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