Health Care

Natera, Inc. (NTRA) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

NTRA is Natera, Inc., a Health Care name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank22 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV52.3%28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct11.9% down, 12.0% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall380 and 40028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bearish25 Sep
Last close411.7728 Sep
Next report5 Nov 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

NTRA's IV rank is 22 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank22 of 100
At the money IV52.3%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.66
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price11,100 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price7,300 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 20.2% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among NTRA's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, NTRA options priced a move of 11.9 percent down and 12.0 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 20261811.9%12.0%362.87 to 461.07
20 Nov 20265322.4%23.7%319.37 to 509.17
18 Dec 20268125.5%27.2%306.77 to 523.77
15 Jan 202710928.2%30.8%295.77 to 538.77
19 Mar 202717235.5%40.1%265.77 to 576.77
16 Apr 202720038.9%38.9%251.77 to 571.77

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 411.77, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, NTRA's call wall is the 380 strike and its put wall is the 400 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma380
Put wall, most open put gamma400
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$1.11 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$9.39 million
Close411.77

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 7 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, NTRA's at the money IV is 52.3 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 35.2 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV52.3%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days35.2%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days52.8%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record550, from 7 Aug 2015
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move18.6% of 236 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, NTRA's at the money IV runs from 52.3 percent at 18 days to 52.6 percent at 200 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1852.3%
5361.1%
8156.1%
10958.9%
17252.6%
20052.6%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, NTRA's IV ten percent below the price sits 1.0 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price62.1%+1.0 points
At the money61.1%0.0 points
10% above the price61.5%+0.4 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, NTRA's surface spans 6 expiries out to 200 days, with IV from 49.6 to 82.1 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured6
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry16 Apr 2027, 200 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more39
Lowest IV among them49.6%
Highest IV among them82.1%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, NTRA has 6 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 16 Apr 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261852.3%2,0013,886
20 Nov 20265361.1%4,3851,472
18 Dec 20268156.1%563712
15 Jan 202710958.9%3,3491,045
19 Mar 202717252.6%797101
16 Apr 202720052.6%1184

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, NTRA's largest open interest sits at the 270 strike, with 2,392 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
2702,356362,392
4002921,5341,826
3703871,0821,469
3501,1941451,339
3601519891,140
2505375061,043

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, NTRA's at the money IV moved from 48.5 percent to 52.3 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV48.5%52.3%+3.8 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price14,23818,406+4,168
Put/call ratio, open interest0.390.66+0.27

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 5,039 NTRA option contracts traded, 1.3 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded1,604
Puts traded3,435
Against its recent average1.3 times
Busier than19 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain31,147 contracts
Volume to open interest0.16
Unusual volume flagYes, 1 contract traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contractThe 410 put expiring 20 Nov, 339 traded against 115 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of NTRA's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026312.72$10.25 million300260
21 Sep 2026370.64$2.22 million350320
28 Sep 2026411.77$1.11 million380400

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of NTRA was bearish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBearish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close417.38, the swing high of 28 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
Level below the close332.00, the swing low of 3 Sep 2026
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyBear put spread (buy a put spread)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Read-out in RingMasterThe Read-out guide

Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 NTRA sat at the 9th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days54 of 100Neutral
20 trading days22 of 100Neutral
45 trading days9 of 100Bearish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 1 of 3 timeframes put NTRA on the bearish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayBearish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Timeframe Agreement in RingMasterThe Timeframe Agreement guide

Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 NTRA had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None9 of 100
24 Sep 2026None14 of 100
23 Sep 2026None28 of 100
22 Sep 2026None23 of 100
21 Sep 2026None24 of 100
18 Sep 2026None30 of 100
17 Sep 2026None37 of 100
16 Sep 2026None58 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Signal History in RingMasterThe Signal History guide

Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 32 of 120 Health Care names were bullish and 52 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Health Care120325236

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

NTRA closed at 411.77 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close411.77
Change over 5 trading days+11.1%
Change over 21 trading days+21.6%
Change over 63 trading days+51.2%
Change over 252 trading days+151.6%
52 week high417.38
52 week low157.43
20 day moving average354.62
50 day moving average319.31
200 day moving average245.44
RSI, 14 days83

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

NTRA reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report5 Nov 2026, after the close
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 6 Aug 2026+21.4%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026+0.5%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026-1.9%
Move after the report of 8 May 2025-6.5%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

Company insiders reported 0 purchases and 12 sales of NTRA in the filings the desk holds.

FiledWhoTradeSize
23 Sep 2026Sheena Jonathan, directorSold400 shares, $154,041
23 Sep 2026Sheena Jonathan, directorSold2,175 shares, $841,104
23 Sep 2026Sheena Jonathan, directorSold2,734 shares, $1.06 million
23 Sep 2026Sheena Jonathan, directorSold1,293 shares, $502,598
23 Sep 2026Sheena Jonathan, directorSold2,320 shares, $904,069
23 Sep 2026Sheena Jonathan, directorSold110 shares, $42,946

Tracked fund managers listing NTRA among their top holdings: Duquesne Family Office.

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 11 Septembers on record, NTRA's average change was minus 5.0 percent, and it rose in 36.4 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-5.0%-4.3%36.4%11
October-3.8%-6.9%36.4%11
November+10.1%+7.8%54.5%11

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is NTRA's IV rank?
NTRA's IV rank is 22 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are NTRA options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, NTRA options priced a move of 11.9 percent down and 12.0 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are NTRA's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, NTRA's call wall is the 380 strike and its put wall is the 400 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of NTRA on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of NTRA was bearish, paper trading.
When does NTRA report earnings next?
NTRA reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

More Health Care names

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