Industrials

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

ODFL is Old Dominion Freight Line Inc, an Industrials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

Figure	Value	Date
IV rank	86 of 100	28 Sep
At the money IV	45.1%	28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct	9.4% down, 10.1% up	28 Sep
Call wall and put wall	195 and 200	28 Sep
Signal and the desk's view	No signal, view bullish	25 Sep
Last close	176.85	28 Sep
Next report	28 Oct 2026	28 Sep

Options Snapshot

ODFL's IV rank is 86 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
IV rank	86 of 100
At the money IV	45.1%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest	1.36
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price	2,880 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price	3,920 contracts
Cost to trade at the money	Wide, 46.2% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among ODFL's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, ODFL options priced a move of 9.4 percent down and 10.1 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

Expiry	Days	Down	Up	Range
16 Oct 2026	18	9.4%	10.1%	160.25 to 194.65
20 Nov 2026	53	16.2%	17.7%	148.25 to 208.15
18 Dec 2026	81	17.4%	21.6%	146.05 to 215.05
15 Jan 2027	109	21.8%	22.6%	138.35 to 216.85
16 Apr 2027	200	31.2%	35.4%	121.65 to 239.45

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 176.85, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, ODFL's call wall is the 195 strike and its put wall is the 200 strike.

Figure	Value
Call wall, most open call gamma	195
Put wall, most open put gamma	200
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts	minus $622,341
Total dollar gamma, both sides	$2.15 million
Close	176.85

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 3 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, ODFL's at the money IV is 45.1 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 31.7 percent.

Figure	Value
At the money IV	45.1%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days	31.7%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days	30.9%
IV against its own weekly record	High, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record	849, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move	31.3% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, ODFL's at the money IV runs from 45.1 percent at 18 days to 42.3 percent at 200 days.

Days to expiry	At the money IV
18	45.1%
53	44.4%
81	42.6%
109	39.4%
200	42.3%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, ODFL's IV ten percent below the price sits 6.2 points above at the money IV.

Strike area	Implied volatility	Against at the money
10% below the price	50.5%	+6.2 points
At the money	44.4%	0.0 points
10% above the price	44.8%	+0.4 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, ODFL's surface spans 5 expiries out to 200 days, with IV from 34.7 to 165.3 percent near the price.

Figure	Value
Expiries captured	5
Nearest expiry	16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry	16 Apr 2027, 200 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more	35
Lowest IV among them	34.7%
Highest IV among them	165.3%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, ODFL has 5 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 16 Apr 2027.

Expiry	Days	At the money IV	Call open interest	Put open interest
16 Oct 2026	18	45.1%	597	1,151
20 Nov 2026	53	44.4%	437	354
18 Dec 2026	81	42.6%	1,079	1,799
15 Jan 2027	109	39.4%	677	465
16 Apr 2027	200	42.3%	90	149

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, ODFL's largest open interest sits at the 200 strike, with 1,098 contracts across the captured expiries.

Strike	Call open interest	Put open interest	Total
200	468	630	1,098
195	412	456	868
190	106	335	441
210	216	206	422
160	56	343	399
270	398	0	398

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, ODFL's at the money IV moved from 39.3 percent to 45.1 percent.

Figure	25 Sep	28 Sep	Change
At the money IV	39.3%	45.1%	+5.8 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price	6,677	6,798	+121
Put/call ratio, open interest	1.37	1.36	-0.01

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 1,147 ODFL option contracts traded, 0.9 times its own recent average.

Figure	Value
Calls traded	586
Puts traded	561
Against its recent average	0.9 times
Busier than	1 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain	7,886 contracts
Volume to open interest	0.15
Unusual volume flag	No

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of ODFL's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

Date	Close	Net dollar gamma	Top call strike	Top put strike
11 Aug 2026	209.44	minus $879,326	240	200
21 Sep 2026	175.36	minus $758,637	200	200
28 Sep 2026	176.85	minus $622,341	195	200

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of ODFL was bullish, paper trading.

Figure	Value
Side	Bullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close	177.54, the swing high of 11 Sep 2026
Level below the close	169.65, the swing low of 21 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chart	Sits against the view
Strategy family	Cash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price target	None. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 ODFL sat at the 71st percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

Timeframe	Percentile	Side
10 trading days	89 of 100	Bullish
20 trading days	77 of 100	Neutral
45 trading days	71 of 100	Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 1 of 3 timeframes put ODFL on the bullish side, paper trading.

Group	Timeframes	Side	On that side
Near	10 day, 20 day	Bullish	1 of 2
Long	45 day	Neutral	0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 ODFL had carried no signal for 4 trading days, paper trading.

Trading day	Signal	45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026	None	71 of 100
24 Sep 2026	None	64 of 100
23 Sep 2026	None	60 of 100
22 Sep 2026	None	85 of 100
21 Sep 2026	Bullish	97 of 100
18 Sep 2026	None	91 of 100
17 Sep 2026	None	91 of 100
16 Sep 2026	None	70 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 51 of 147 Industrials names were bullish and 37 were bearish, paper trading.

Sector	Names	Bullish	Bearish	Neutral
Industrials	147	51	37	59

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

ODFL closed at 176.85 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Last close	176.85
Change over 5 trading days	+0.8%
Change over 21 trading days	-11.6%
Change over 63 trading days	-19.5%
Change over 252 trading days	+25.9%
52 week high	252.03
52 week low	126.01
20 day moving average	180.82
50 day moving average	200.98
200 day moving average	199.42
RSI, 14 days	36

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

ODFL reports next on 28 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

Figure	Value
Next report	28 Oct 2026, before the open
Date	Worked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 29 Jul 2026	-1.5%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026	-3.1%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026	-0.1%
Move after the report of 23 Apr 2025	+0.8%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Company Events

ODFL filed 1 current report in the 14 days to 28 Sep 2026, the latest on 22 Sep 2026.

Filed	Report	What it covers
22 Sep 2026	Current report	Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 57.2 percent of ODFL's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

Figure	Value
Short sale share, 25 Sep	57.2%
Five day average	59.9%
52 week median	60.9%
Short interest, share of shares outstanding	4.0% at the 15 Sep 2026 settlement
Days to cover	4.3

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, ODFL's average change was minus 3.1 percent, and it rose in 43.5 percent of them.

Month	Average change	Middle change	Share of years up	Years
September	-3.1%	-3.5%	43.5%	23
October	+3.5%	+5.2%	69.6%	23
November	+4.1%	+4.8%	73.9%	23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 3 headlines naming ODFL in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Headlines in the window	3
Latest	28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is ODFL's IV rank?: ODFL's IV rank is 86 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are ODFL options pricing?: On 28 Sep 2026, ODFL options priced a move of 9.4 percent down and 10.1 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are ODFL's call wall and put wall?: On 28 Sep 2026, ODFL's call wall is the 195 strike and its put wall is the 200 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of ODFL on the Free plan?: On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of ODFL was bullish, paper trading.
When does ODFL report earnings next?: ODFL reports next on 28 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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