Consumer Discretionary

PulteGroup Inc (PHM) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

PHM is PulteGroup Inc, a Consumer Discretionary name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank87 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV49.0%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct13.9% down, 12.6% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall130 and 12028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bullish25 Sep
Last close119.1328 Sep
Next report22 Oct 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

PHM's IV rank is 87 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank87 of 100
At the money IV49.0%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest1.14
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price6,710 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price7,620 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyWide, 83.0% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among PHM's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, PHM options priced a move of 13.9 percent down and 12.6 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202645.4%5.2%112.65 to 125.38
9 Oct 2026117.7%6.8%109.90 to 127.25
23 Oct 20262512.8%13.6%103.93 to 135.33
30 Oct 20263213.9%12.6%102.63 to 134.13
18 Dec 20268119.9%17.4%95.43 to 139.83
15 Jan 202710920.3%21.5%94.93 to 144.73
16 Apr 202720026.8%24.1%87.23 to 147.83

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 119.13, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, PHM's call wall is the 130 strike and its put wall is the 120 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma130
Put wall, most open put gamma120
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $418,412
Total dollar gamma, both sides$3.32 million
Close119.13

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 6 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, PHM's at the money IV is 49.0 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 27.0 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV49.0%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days27.0%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days31.3%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record864, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move27.9% of 251 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

Open Volatility History in RingMasterThe Volatility History guide

Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, PHM's at the money IV runs from 45.8 percent at 4 days to 32.5 percent at 200 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
445.8%
1142.5%
1841.5%
2551.7%
5337.4%
8137.9%
10939.5%
20032.5%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, PHM's surface spans 10 expiries out to 200 days, with IV from 32.2 to 62.3 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry16 Apr 2027, 200 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more86
Lowest IV among them32.2%
Highest IV among them62.3%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

Open Volatility Surface in RingMasterThe Volatility Surface guide

Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, PHM has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 16 Apr 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026445.8%220208
9 Oct 20261142.5%248152
16 Oct 20261841.5%1,8422,628
23 Oct 20262551.7%508451
30 Oct 20263249.0%5021
20 Nov 20265337.4%712350
18 Dec 20268137.9%400263
15 Jan 202710939.5%2,3712,402
19 Mar 202717239.3%3111,116
16 Apr 202720032.5%5128

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, PHM's largest open interest sits at the 105 strike, with 2,167 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
105592,1082,167
1204741,2721,746
1301,1762041,380
1101061,1691,275
125531448979
140772156928

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, PHM's at the money IV moved from 42.2 percent to 49.0 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV42.2%49.0%+6.8 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price12,83814,332+1,494
Put/call ratio, open interest0.961.13+0.17

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

Open Since Yesterday in RingMasterThe Since Yesterday guide

Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 3,945 PHM option contracts traded, 1.2 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded904
Puts traded3,041
Against its recent average1.2 times
Busier than17 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain17,233 contracts
Volume to open interest0.23
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of PHM's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026132.42$635,208140130
21 Sep 2026118.97minus $717,395130120
28 Sep 2026119.13minus $418,412130120

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of PHM was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close120.46, the swing high of 16 Sep 2026
Level below the close117.51, the swing low of 24 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyCash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Read-out in RingMasterThe Read-out guide

Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 PHM sat at the 78th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days25 of 100Neutral
20 trading days24 of 100Neutral
45 trading days78 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 PHM's near timeframes were neutral and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Timeframe Agreement in RingMasterThe Timeframe Agreement guide

Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 PHM had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None78 of 100
24 Sep 2026None90 of 100
23 Sep 2026None76 of 100
22 Sep 2026None60 of 100
21 Sep 2026None85 of 100
18 Sep 2026None85 of 100
17 Sep 2026None78 of 100
16 Sep 2026None61 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Signal History in RingMasterThe Signal History guide

Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 27 of 106 Consumer Discretionary names were bullish and 33 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Consumer Discretionary106273346

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Sector Split in RingMasterThe Sector Split guide

Price Chart

PHM closed at 119.13 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close119.13
Change over 5 trading days+0.1%
Change over 21 trading days-6.0%
Change over 63 trading days-13.6%
Change over 252 trading days-7.5%
52 week high144.50
52 week low108.49
20 day moving average120.24
50 day moving average125.63
200 day moving average124.89
RSI, 14 days44

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

PHM reports next on 22 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

FigureValue
Next report22 Oct 2026, before the open
DateConfirmed by the company
Move after the report of 22 Jul 2026+2.0%
Move after the report of 22 Apr 2026+2.4%
Move after the report of 20 Jan 2026+2.5%
Move after the report of 22 Apr 2025+8.4%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 73.2 percent of PHM's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep73.2%
Five day average59.7%
52 week median62.0%

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, PHM's average change was minus 2.2 percent, and it rose in 47.8 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-2.2%-0.4%47.8%23
October+0.3%-0.8%43.5%23
November+4.0%+6.3%82.6%23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is PHM's IV rank?
PHM's IV rank is 87 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are PHM options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, PHM options priced a move of 13.9 percent down and 12.6 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are PHM's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, PHM's call wall is the 130 strike and its put wall is the 120 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of PHM on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of PHM was bullish, paper trading.
When does PHM report earnings next?
PHM reports next on 22 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

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