Health Care

Tempus AI, Inc. (TEM) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

TEM is Tempus AI, Inc., a Health Care name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank40 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV79.1%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct23.7% down, 23.5% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall80 and 7028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close85.0828 Sep
Next report3 Nov 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

TEM's IV rank is 40 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank40 of 100
At the money IV79.1%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.24
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price194,000 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price46,600 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 14.9% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among TEM's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, TEM options priced a move of 23.7 percent down and 23.5 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202649.1%8.5%77.35 to 92.34
9 Oct 20261113.5%13.8%73.58 to 96.78
23 Oct 20262520.0%21.7%68.08 to 103.58
30 Oct 20263223.7%23.5%64.88 to 105.08
20 Nov 20265330.6%32.1%59.08 to 112.38
18 Dec 20268136.8%38.6%53.78 to 117.88
19 Feb 202714447.0%51.1%45.08 to 128.58

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 85.08, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, TEM's call wall is the 80 strike and its put wall is the 70 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma80
Put wall, most open put gamma70
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$15.65 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$21.58 million
Close85.08

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 2 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, TEM's at the money IV is 79.1 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 74.9 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV79.1%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days74.9%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days90.4%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record92, from 12 Jul 2024
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move30.8% of 91 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, TEM's at the money IV runs from 80.4 percent at 4 days to 78.1 percent at 144 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
480.4%
1177.4%
1876.9%
2577.3%
3984.0%
5381.6%
8180.3%
14478.1%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, TEM's IV ten percent below the price sits 3.4 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price82.5%+3.4 points
At the money79.1%0.0 points
10% above the price81.1%+2.0 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, TEM's surface spans 10 expiries out to 144 days, with IV from 72.3 to 86.0 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Feb 2027, 144 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more84
Lowest IV among them72.3%
Highest IV among them86.0%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, TEM has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Feb 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026480.4%10,8373,380
9 Oct 20261177.4%2,4231,281
16 Oct 20261876.9%29,4277,133
23 Oct 20262577.3%2,3951,959
30 Oct 20263279.1%2,0981,090
6 Nov 20263984.0%5732
20 Nov 20265381.6%17,9336,780
18 Dec 20268180.3%29,5114,170
15 Jan 202710977.9%97,48019,281
19 Feb 202714478.1%1,4141,507

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, TEM's largest open interest sits at the 70 strike, with 27,645 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
7022,7394,90627,645
7522,7292,32525,054
10023,57755124,128
8020,8601,43222,292
8520,53228920,821
9015,4721,01116,483

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, TEM's at the money IV moved from 76.7 percent to 79.1 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV76.7%79.1%+2.5 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price243,257240,188-3,069
Put/call ratio, open interest0.250.24-0.01

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 22,114 TEM option contracts traded, 0.8 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded14,554
Puts traded7,560
Against its recent average0.8 times
Busier than6 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain325,356 contracts
Volume to open interest0.07
Unusual volume flagYes, 1 contract traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contractThe 93 call expiring 2 Oct, 331 traded against 163 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of TEM's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202655.69$4.06 million6050
21 Sep 202678.03$9.68 million8070
28 Sep 202685.08$15.65 million8070

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of TEM was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close86.44, the swing high of 28 Sep 2026
Level below the close81.83, the swing low of 18 Sep 2026
Strategy familyLong straddle (buy a call and a put at the same strike)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 TEM sat at the 29th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days24 of 100Neutral
20 trading days34 of 100Neutral
45 trading days29 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 TEM's near timeframes were neutral and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 TEM had carried no signal for 16 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None29 of 100
24 Sep 2026None51 of 100
23 Sep 2026None9 of 100
22 Sep 2026None10 of 100
21 Sep 2026None29 of 100
18 Sep 2026None54 of 100
17 Sep 2026None13 of 100
16 Sep 2026None6 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 32 of 120 Health Care names were bullish and 52 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Health Care120325236

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

TEM closed at 85.08 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close85.08
Change over 5 trading days+9.0%
Change over 21 trading days+20.4%
Change over 63 trading days+45.9%
Change over 252 trading days+10.0%
52 week high104.32
52 week low40.77
20 day moving average70.16
50 day moving average60.02
200 day moving average56.30
RSI, 14 days73

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

TEM reports next on 3 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report3 Nov 2026, after the close
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 30 Jul 2026-0.9%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026-0.9%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026-1.6%
Move after the report of 6 May 2025+12.6%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

Company insiders reported 0 purchases and 12 sales of TEM in the filings the desk holds.

FiledWhoTradeSize
22 Sep 2026Lefkofsky Eric P, director, CEO and Chairman, 10% ownerSold7,394 shares, $566,159
22 Sep 2026Lefkofsky Eric P, director, CEO and Chairman, 10% ownerSold33,770 shares, $2.61 million
22 Sep 2026Lefkofsky Eric P, director, CEO and Chairman, 10% ownerSold16,152 shares, $1.26 million
22 Sep 2026Lefkofsky Eric P, director, CEO and Chairman, 10% ownerSold184 shares, $14,510
22 Sep 2026Lefkofsky Eric P, director, CEO and Chairman, 10% ownerSold17,359 shares, $1.33 million
22 Sep 2026Lefkofsky Eric P, director, CEO and Chairman, 10% ownerSold79,259 shares, $6.13 million

Tracked fund managers listing TEM among their top holdings: ARK Investment Management.

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 2 Septembers on record, TEM's average change was plus 0.9 percent, and it rose in 50.0 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+0.9%+0.9%50.0%2
October-4.9%-4.9%50.0%2
November+13.5%+13.5%50.0%2

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 1 headline naming TEM in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window1
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is TEM's IV rank?
TEM's IV rank is 40 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are TEM options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, TEM options priced a move of 23.7 percent down and 23.5 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are TEM's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, TEM's call wall is the 80 strike and its put wall is the 70 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of TEM on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of TEM was neutral, paper trading.
When does TEM report earnings next?
TEM reports next on 3 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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