Communication Services

T-Mobile US Inc (TMUS) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

TMUS is T-Mobile US Inc, a Communication Services name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank90 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV38.1%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct10.7% down, 12.0% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall170 and 17528 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bullish25 Sep
Last close166.4528 Sep
Next report28 Oct 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

TMUS's IV rank is 90 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank90 of 100
At the money IV38.1%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.61
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price59,200 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price36,300 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 19.9% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among TMUS's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, TMUS options priced a move of 10.7 percent down and 12.0 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202644.2%3.6%159.45 to 172.44
9 Oct 2026115.9%5.6%156.66 to 175.82
23 Oct 2026258.2%8.5%152.85 to 180.65
30 Oct 20263210.7%12.0%148.65 to 186.35
20 Nov 20265312.7%14.1%145.35 to 189.95
18 Dec 20268115.9%16.5%139.95 to 193.85
19 Feb 202714420.8%22.7%131.75 to 204.25

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 166.45, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, TMUS's call wall is the 170 strike and its put wall is the 175 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma170
Put wall, most open put gamma175
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign161.6
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$9.67 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$35.5 million
Close166.45

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, TMUS's at the money IV is 38.1 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 33.3 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV38.1%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days33.3%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days40.0%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record691, from 3 May 2013
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move27.0% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, TMUS's at the money IV runs from 34.1 percent at 4 days to 34.7 percent at 144 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
434.1%
1132.5%
1833.4%
2532.2%
3940.5%
5335.7%
8134.5%
14434.7%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, TMUS's IV ten percent below the price sits 0.1 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price38.2%+0.1 points
At the money38.1%0.0 points
10% above the price40.5%+2.4 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, TMUS's surface spans 10 expiries out to 144 days, with IV from 31.0 to 53.2 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Feb 2027, 144 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more73
Lowest IV among them31.0%
Highest IV among them53.2%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, TMUS has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Feb 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026434.1%5,1871,734
9 Oct 20261132.5%687595
16 Oct 20261833.4%20,1103,672
23 Oct 20262532.2%1,1451,368
30 Oct 20263238.1%726685
6 Nov 20263940.5%513
20 Nov 20265335.7%6,1625,741
18 Dec 20268134.5%14,5858,491
15 Jan 202710934.3%9,97212,976
19 Feb 202714434.7%6331,008

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, TMUS's largest open interest sits at the 195 strike, with 13,481 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
19512,93155013,481
2008,7449589,702
1805,2952,9438,238
1705,5392,5898,128
1753,9243,8627,786
1904,0439054,948

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, TMUS's at the money IV moved from 31.7 percent to 38.1 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV31.7%38.1%+6.4 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price100,87295,495-5,377
Put/call ratio, open interest0.610.61-0.00

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 9,098 TMUS option contracts traded, 0.7 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded4,610
Puts traded4,488
Against its recent average0.7 times
Busier than8 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain134,774 contracts
Volume to open interest0.07
Unusual volume flagYes, 3 contracts traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contractThe 150 put expiring 16 Oct, 691 traded against 160 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of TMUS's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026178.58$10.32 million195180
21 Sep 2026165.27minus $408,450170175
28 Sep 2026166.45$9.67 million170175

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of TMUS was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close167.74, the swing high of 24 Sep 2026
Level below the close161.14, the swing low of 23 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyCash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 TMUS sat at the 83rd percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days68 of 100Neutral
20 trading days77 of 100Neutral
45 trading days83 of 100Bullish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 1 of 3 timeframes put TMUS on the bullish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayBullish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Timeframe Agreement in RingMasterThe Timeframe Agreement guide

Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 TMUS had carried no signal for 2 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None83 of 100
24 Sep 2026None90 of 100
23 Sep 2026Bullish97 of 100
22 Sep 2026Bullish99 of 100
21 Sep 2026None93 of 100
18 Sep 2026None87 of 100
17 Sep 2026None70 of 100
16 Sep 2026None77 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 10 of 37 Communication Services names were bullish and 12 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Communication Services37101215

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

TMUS closed at 166.45 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close166.45
Change over 5 trading days+0.7%
Change over 21 trading days-6.4%
Change over 63 trading days-4.3%
Change over 252 trading days-30.0%
52 week high240.95
52 week low161.14
20 day moving average175.14
50 day moving average178.30
200 day moving average191.89
RSI, 14 days38

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

TMUS reports next on 28 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

FigureValue
Next report28 Oct 2026, after the close
DateConfirmed by the company
Move after the report of 24 Apr 2026-3.7%
Move after the report of 22 Jan 2026+0.3%
Move after the report of 24 Apr 2025-11.2%
Move after the report of 29 Jan 2025+6.3%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 27.9 percent of TMUS's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep27.9%
Five day average34.5%
52 week median36.4%
Short interest, share of shares outstanding1.7% at the 15 Sep 2026 settlement
Days to cover4.6

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 19 Septembers on record, TMUS's average change was plus 0.7 percent, and it rose in 52.6 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+0.7%+0.5%52.6%19
October-3.3%-2.3%36.8%19
November+1.4%0.0%47.4%19

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 8 headlines naming TMUS in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window8
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is TMUS's IV rank?
TMUS's IV rank is 90 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are TMUS options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, TMUS options priced a move of 10.7 percent down and 12.0 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are TMUS's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, TMUS's call wall is the 170 strike and its put wall is the 175 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of TMUS on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of TMUS was bullish, paper trading.
When does TMUS report earnings next?
TMUS reports next on 28 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

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