Consumer Discretionary

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

TXRH is Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Consumer Discretionary name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank48 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV34.1%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct10.4% down, 9.5% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall150 and 16528 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close158.4528 Sep
Next report5 Nov 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

TXRH's IV rank is 48 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank48 of 100
At the money IV34.1%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.32
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price6,330 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price2,030 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyWide, 41.7% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among TXRH's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, TXRH options priced a move of 10.4 percent down and 9.5 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202644.5%5.3%151.36 to 166.83
9 Oct 2026117.1%6.0%147.15 to 167.95
16 Oct 2026187.1%7.4%147.15 to 170.25
23 Oct 2026259.6%9.3%143.25 to 173.25
30 Oct 20263210.4%9.5%142.05 to 173.55
20 Nov 20265312.6%13.3%138.55 to 179.55
19 Mar 202717222.0%23.8%123.65 to 196.15

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 158.45, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, TXRH's call wall is the 150 strike and its put wall is the 165 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma150
Put wall, most open put gamma165
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$447,299
Total dollar gamma, both sides$2.37 million
Close158.45

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 5 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, TXRH's at the money IV is 34.1 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 27.0 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV34.1%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days27.0%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days29.1%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record811, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move24.2% of 236 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, TXRH's at the money IV runs from 48.7 percent at 4 days to 32.9 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
448.7%
1140.2%
1835.7%
2535.1%
3234.1%
5334.9%
8133.7%
17232.9%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, TXRH's IV ten percent below the price sits 0.1 points below at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price34.0%-0.1 points
At the money34.1%0.0 points
10% above the price34.4%+0.4 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, TXRH's surface spans 8 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 31.8 to 83.9 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured8
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more49
Lowest IV among them31.8%
Highest IV among them83.9%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, TXRH has 8 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026448.7%12890
9 Oct 20261140.2%3598
16 Oct 20261835.7%194663
23 Oct 20262535.1%9118
30 Oct 20263234.1%5861
20 Nov 20265334.9%18998
18 Dec 20268133.7%4,892885
19 Mar 202717232.9%745121

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, TXRH's largest open interest sits at the 155 strike, with 2,343 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
1551,8524912,343
1501,873701,943
16571525596
2104306436
20032645371
19030812320

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, TXRH's at the money IV moved from 30.5 percent to 34.1 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV30.5%34.1%+3.6 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price8,0868,366+280
Put/call ratio, open interest0.330.32-0.00

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 1,222 TXRH option contracts traded, 0.8 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded753
Puts traded469
Against its recent average0.8 times
Busier than8 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain9,438 contracts
Volume to open interest0.13
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of TXRH's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026209.82$1.58 million200202
21 Sep 2026165.54minus $9,721150165
28 Sep 2026158.45$447,299150165

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of TXRH was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close182.32, the swing high of 11 Sep 2026
Level below the close157.29, the swing low of 28 Sep 2026
Strategy familyLong straddle (buy a call and a put at the same strike)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Read-out in RingMasterThe Read-out guide

Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 TXRH sat at the 49th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days36 of 100Neutral
20 trading days21 of 100Neutral
45 trading days49 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 TXRH's near timeframes were neutral and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 TXRH had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None49 of 100
24 Sep 2026None42 of 100
23 Sep 2026None56 of 100
22 Sep 2026None63 of 100
21 Sep 2026None54 of 100
18 Sep 2026None52 of 100
17 Sep 2026None58 of 100
16 Sep 2026None51 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Signal History in RingMasterThe Signal History guide

Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 27 of 106 Consumer Discretionary names were bullish and 33 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Consumer Discretionary106273346

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

TXRH closed at 158.45 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close158.45
Change over 5 trading days-4.3%
Change over 21 trading days-20.8%
Change over 63 trading days-18.3%
Change over 252 trading days-2.8%
52 week high216.30
52 week low153.83
20 day moving average175.63
50 day moving average192.49
200 day moving average179.81
RSI, 14 days17

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

TXRH reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report5 Nov 2026, after the close
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 6 Aug 2026-0.1%
Move after the report of 29 Jul 2026-0.5%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026-1.7%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026+1.2%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

The filings the desk holds carry 1 recent trade in TXRH shares.

FiledWhoTradeSize
10 Sep 2026. Gilbert Cisneros, member of CongressSold part$1,001 to $15,000

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 21 Septembers on record, TXRH's average change was minus 1.1 percent, and it rose in 52.4 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-1.1%+0.1%52.4%21
October+2.4%+4.3%66.7%21
November+3.2%+2.3%72.7%22

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is TXRH's IV rank?
TXRH's IV rank is 48 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are TXRH options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, TXRH options priced a move of 10.4 percent down and 9.5 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are TXRH's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, TXRH's call wall is the 150 strike and its put wall is the 165 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of TXRH on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of TXRH was neutral, paper trading.
When does TXRH report earnings next?
TXRH reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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