Health Care

UnitedHealth Group (UNH) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

UNH is UnitedHealth Group, a Health Care name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
Trade CardIron condor, 30 Oct25 Sep
IV rank98 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV41.2%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct11.9% down, 12.2% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall400 and 37028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close377.8328 Sep
Next report13 Oct 202628 Sep

Trade Cards

On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for UNH was an iron condor expiring 30 Oct 2026, paper trading.

FigureValue
SignalNeutral
StrategyIron condor, credit
LegsBuy the 305 put, Sell the 335 put, Sell the 430 call, Buy the 465 call
Expiry30 Oct 2026, 35 days to expiry
LimitA credit of at least $5.23
Probability of profit75%, the option market's odds at expiry, from delta
Max loss$2,977 per contract
Max profit$523 per contract
Breakeven329.77 and 435.23
IV rank at that expiry96 of 100

Probability of profit is the option market's own odds from delta, not the model's.

Priced on the option chain at the close on 25 Sep 2026.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Options Snapshot

UNH's IV rank is 98 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank98 of 100
At the money IV41.2%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.80
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price268,000 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price214,000 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyTight, 6.3% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among UNH's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, UNH options priced a move of 11.9 percent down and 12.2 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202643.9%3.8%363.03 to 392.13
9 Oct 2026116.6%6.5%352.83 to 402.23
23 Oct 20262511.2%11.6%335.33 to 421.53
30 Oct 20263211.9%12.2%333.03 to 424.03
20 Nov 20265313.6%14.2%326.63 to 431.53
18 Dec 20268116.0%16.5%317.43 to 440.03
19 Mar 202717222.0%23.8%294.83 to 467.63

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 377.83, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, UNH's call wall is the 400 strike and its put wall is the 370 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma400
Put wall, most open put gamma370
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $32.33 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$344.49 million
Close377.83

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 4 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, UNH's at the money IV is 41.2 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 18.4 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV41.2%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days18.4%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days21.6%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record865, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move29.0% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, UNH's at the money IV runs from 36.5 percent at 4 days to 33.5 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
436.5%
1139.5%
1848.6%
2544.3%
3942.5%
5336.6%
8135.0%
17233.5%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, UNH's IV ten percent below the price sits 2.8 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price44.1%+2.8 points
At the money41.2%0.0 points
10% above the price40.1%-1.1 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, UNH's surface spans 10 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 32.0 to 50.7 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more122
Lowest IV among them32.0%
Highest IV among them50.7%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, UNH has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026436.5%9,66410,694
9 Oct 20261139.5%6,61022,929
16 Oct 20261848.6%26,77635,812
23 Oct 20262544.3%2,2942,176
30 Oct 20263241.2%3,2522,512
6 Nov 20263942.5%73137
20 Nov 20265336.6%19,65227,665
18 Dec 20268135.0%31,81722,694
15 Jan 202710935.4%150,76074,349
19 Mar 202717233.5%16,87315,430

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, UNH's largest open interest sits at the 350 strike, with 35,805 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
35013,84121,96435,805
40023,3049,78633,090
30011,02019,08530,105
3703,98621,45225,438
50023,5455323,598
3808,02611,74119,767

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, UNH's at the money IV moved from 42.5 percent to 41.2 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV42.5%41.2%-1.3 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price478,370482,169+3,799
Put/call ratio, open interest0.820.80-0.02

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 36,902 UNH option contracts traded, 0.9 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded23,918
Puts traded12,984
Against its recent average0.9 times
Busier than5 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain717,977 contracts
Volume to open interest0.05
Unusual volume flagYes, 4 contracts traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contractThe 400 call expiring 2 Oct, 3,234 traded against 963 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of UNH's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026402.19$14.17 million400400
21 Sep 2026377.56minus $56.71 million400370
28 Sep 2026377.83minus $32.33 million400370

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of UNH was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close381.39, the swing high of 22 Sep 2026
Level below the close366.00, the swing low of 23 Sep 2026
Strategy familyIron condor (sell both sides, defined risk)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 UNH sat at the 26th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days13 of 100Bearish
20 trading days27 of 100Neutral
45 trading days26 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 UNH's near timeframes were bearish and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBearish1 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 UNH had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None26 of 100
24 Sep 2026None21 of 100
23 Sep 2026None21 of 100
22 Sep 2026None30 of 100
21 Sep 2026None84 of 100
18 Sep 2026None88 of 100
17 Sep 2026None87 of 100
16 Sep 2026None37 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 32 of 120 Health Care names were bullish and 52 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Health Care120325236

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

UNH closed at 377.83 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close377.83
Change over 5 trading days+0.1%
Change over 21 trading days-4.4%
Change over 63 trading days-10.0%
Change over 252 trading days+9.3%
52 week high461.62
52 week low255.97
20 day moving average384.14
50 day moving average398.41
200 day moving average355.70
RSI, 14 days41

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

UNH reports next on 13 Oct 2026, and options priced an earnings move of 8.5 percent through 16 Oct 2026.

FigureValue
Next report13 Oct 2026, before the open
DateConfirmed by the company
Priced earnings move8.5%, a straddle of $31.97 at the 377.5 strike, expiring 16 Oct 2026
Move after the report of 16 Jul 2026+1.2%
Move after the report of 21 Apr 2026+7.0%
Move after the report of 27 Jan 2026-19.6%
Move after the report of 28 Oct 2025+0.5%

The priced earnings move is the straddle's cost over the share price. It restates option prices and says nothing certain about the report.

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 49.5 percent of UNH's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep49.5%
Five day average43.4%
52 week median35.2%

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 36 Septembers on record, UNH's average change was plus 1.0 percent, and it rose in 47.2 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+1.0%-0.2%47.2%36
October+3.7%+2.2%66.7%36
November+4.4%+4.8%75.0%36

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 4 headlines naming UNH in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window4
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is UNH's IV rank?
UNH's IV rank is 98 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are UNH options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, UNH options priced a move of 11.9 percent down and 12.2 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are UNH's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, UNH's call wall is the 400 strike and its put wall is the 370 strike.
What was the latest Trade Card for UNH on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for UNH was an iron condor expiring 30 Oct 2026, paper trading.
When does UNH report earnings next?
UNH reports next on 13 Oct 2026, and options priced an earnings move of 8.5 percent through 16 Oct 2026.

More Health Care names

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