Utilities

Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

XEL is Xcel Energy Inc, an Utilities name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank66 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV34.7%28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct8.6% down, 7.7% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall75 and 6528 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bullish25 Sep
Last close69.3928 Sep
Next report29 Oct 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

XEL's IV rank is 66 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank66 of 100
At the money IV34.7%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest9.71
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price17,400 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price169,000 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyWide, 84.3% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among XEL's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, XEL options priced a move of 8.6 percent down and 7.7 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 2026188.6%7.7%63.39 to 74.73
20 Nov 20265312.2%11.3%60.95 to 77.24
18 Dec 20268114.3%13.7%59.46 to 78.87
15 Jan 202710917.4%19.3%57.29 to 82.79
19 Mar 202717221.0%23.2%54.79 to 85.49

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 69.39, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, XEL's call wall is the 75 strike and its put wall is the 65 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma75
Put wall, most open put gamma65
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign79.41
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $21.12 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$25.15 million
Close69.39

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, XEL's at the money IV is 34.7 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 17.6 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV34.7%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days17.6%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days17.3%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record695, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move22.5% of 222 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, XEL's at the money IV runs from 34.7 percent at 18 days to 33.8 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1834.7%
5329.7%
8129.0%
10935.2%
17233.8%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, XEL's IV ten percent below the price sits 90.3 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price120.0%+90.3 points
At the money29.7%0.0 points
10% above the price27.7%-2.0 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, XEL's surface spans 5 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 27.7 to 43.1 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured5
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more15
Lowest IV among them27.7%
Highest IV among them43.1%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, XEL has 5 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261834.7%1,9763,940
20 Nov 20265329.7%3,48521,882
18 Dec 20268129.0%2,34617,010
15 Jan 202710935.2%7,20272,428
19 Mar 202717233.8%2,34853,452

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, XEL's largest open interest sits at the 65 strike, with 65,579 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
6514765,43265,579
702,54546,83049,375
601027,14027,150
753,04623,61026,656
906,59206,592
803,836773,913

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, XEL's at the money IV moved from 31.2 percent to 34.7 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV31.2%34.7%+3.5 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price183,838186,069+2,231
Put/call ratio, open interest9.659.72+0.07

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 3,301 XEL option contracts traded, 0.7 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded832
Puts traded2,469
Against its recent average0.7 times
Busier than8 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain191,483 contracts
Volume to open interest0.02
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of XEL's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202677.66minus $1.11 million8065
21 Sep 202671.85minus $18.67 million7565
28 Sep 202669.39minus $21.12 million7565

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of XEL was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close72.29, the swing high of 15 Sep 2026
Level below the close68.72, the swing low of 25 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyCash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 XEL sat at the 71st percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days27 of 100Neutral
20 trading days31 of 100Neutral
45 trading days71 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 XEL's near timeframes were neutral and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 XEL had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None71 of 100
24 Sep 2026None71 of 100
23 Sep 2026None77 of 100
22 Sep 2026None60 of 100
21 Sep 2026None56 of 100
18 Sep 2026None75 of 100
17 Sep 2026None51 of 100
16 Sep 2026None55 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 20 of 35 Utilities names were bullish and 11 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Utilities3520114

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

XEL closed at 69.39 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close69.39
Change over 5 trading days-3.4%
Change over 21 trading days-10.1%
Change over 63 trading days-15.4%
Change over 252 trading days-10.2%
52 week high84.23
52 week low68.72
20 day moving average73.59
50 day moving average76.51
200 day moving average78.15
RSI, 14 days26

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

XEL reports next on 29 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

FigureValue
Next report29 Oct 2026, before the open
DateConfirmed by the company
Move after the report of 30 Jul 2026-0.7%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026-0.5%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026-0.1%
Move after the report of 24 Apr 2025-1.8%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 51.9 percent of XEL's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep51.9%
Five day average56.5%
52 week median48.9%
Short interest, share of shares outstanding6.6% at the 15 Sep 2026 settlement
Days to cover7.0

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, XEL's average change was minus 0.2 percent, and it rose in 43.5 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-0.2%-0.7%43.5%23
October+1.8%+2.3%78.3%23
November+1.8%+1.7%69.6%23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is XEL's IV rank?
XEL's IV rank is 66 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are XEL options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, XEL options priced a move of 8.6 percent down and 7.7 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are XEL's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, XEL's call wall is the 75 strike and its put wall is the 65 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of XEL on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of XEL was bullish, paper trading.
When does XEL report earnings next?
XEL reports next on 29 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

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