Industrials
Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) options and signal
Figures as of 28 Sep 2026
ALK is Alaska Air Group, Inc., an Industrials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.
Membership gets tonight's signals the night they publish. Free gets every options screen, never delayed, and the signals one trading day behind.
At a glance
| Figure | Value | Date |
|---|---|---|
| IV rank | 95 of 100 | 28 Sep |
| At the money IV | 56.1% | 28 Sep |
| Priced move to 16 Oct | 11.9% down, 12.5% up | 28 Sep |
| Call wall and put wall | 45 and 37.5 | 28 Sep |
| Signal and the desk's view | No signal, view bullish | 25 Sep |
| Last close | 39.70 | 28 Sep |
| Next report | 22 Oct 2026 | 28 Sep |
Options Snapshot
ALK's IV rank is 95 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
| Figure | Value |
|---|---|
| IV rank | 95 of 100 |
| At the money IV | 56.1%, near month, 18 days |
| Put/call ratio, open interest | 0.58 |
| Call open interest, strikes captured near the price | 45,100 contracts |
| Put open interest, strikes captured near the price | 26,000 contracts |
| Cost to trade at the money | Fair, 21.9% of the option's mid price |
IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among ALK's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.
From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.
Open Options Snapshot in RingMasterThe Options Snapshot guide
Priced Range
On 28 Sep 2026, ALK options priced a move of 11.9 percent down and 12.5 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
| Expiry | Days | Down | Up | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 18 | 11.9% | 12.5% | 34.99 to 44.68 |
| 20 Nov 2026 | 53 | 19.5% | 22.0% | 31.96 to 48.43 |
| 18 Dec 2026 | 81 | 24.6% | 25.2% | 29.94 to 49.70 |
| 15 Jan 2027 | 109 | 28.7% | 30.0% | 28.30 to 51.60 |
| 19 Feb 2027 | 144 | 32.7% | 36.0% | 26.70 to 54.00 |
| 19 Mar 2027 | 172 | 36.0% | 38.5% | 25.40 to 55.00 |
| 16 Apr 2027 | 200 | 37.3% | 42.6% | 24.90 to 56.60 |
The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 39.70, as the option prices imply it.
A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.
From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.
Gamma Map
On 28 Sep 2026, ALK's call wall is the 45 strike and its put wall is the 37.5 strike.
| Figure | Value |
|---|---|
| Call wall, most open call gamma | 45 |
| Put wall, most open put gamma | 37.5 |
| Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign | 39.65 |
| Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts | $611,104 |
| Total dollar gamma, both sides | $3.97 million |
| Close | 39.70 |
Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.
Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.
From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.
Volatility History
On 28 Sep 2026, ALK's at the money IV is 56.1 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 35.4 percent.
| Figure | Value |
|---|---|
| At the money IV | 56.1% |
| Realized volatility, 20 trading days | 35.4% |
| Realized volatility, 60 trading days | 44.3% |
| IV against its own weekly record | High, in the top fifth |
| Weekly readings on record | 847, from 8 Jan 2010 |
| Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move | 30.9% of 236 weeks |
Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.
From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.
Open Volatility History in RingMasterThe Volatility History guide
Volatility Weather
On 28 Sep 2026, ALK's at the money IV runs from 56.1 percent at 18 days to 49.2 percent at 200 days.
| Days to expiry | At the money IV |
|---|---|
| 18 | 56.1% |
| 53 | 55.1% |
| 81 | 53.7% |
| 109 | 53.6% |
| 144 | 53.9% |
| 172 | 52.8% |
| 200 | 49.2% |
Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.
From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.
Open Volatility Weather in RingMasterThe Volatility Weather guide
Volatility Smile
On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, ALK's IV ten percent below the price sits 1.9 points below at the money IV.
| Strike area | Implied volatility | Against at the money |
|---|---|---|
| 10% below the price | 53.2% | -1.9 points |
| At the money | 55.1% | 0.0 points |
| 10% above the price | 55.2% | +0.0 points |
From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.
Open Volatility Smile in RingMasterThe Volatility Smile guide
Volatility Surface
On 28 Sep 2026, ALK's surface spans 7 expiries out to 200 days, with IV from 49.0 to 57.7 percent near the price.
| Figure | Value |
|---|---|
| Expiries captured | 7 |
| Nearest expiry | 16 Oct 2026, 18 days |
| Farthest expiry | 16 Apr 2027, 200 days |
| Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more | 21 |
| Lowest IV among them | 49.0% |
| Highest IV among them | 57.7% |
From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.
Open Volatility Surface in RingMasterThe Volatility Surface guide
Expiry Ladder
On 28 Sep 2026, ALK has 7 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 16 Apr 2027.
| Expiry | Days | At the money IV | Call open interest | Put open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 18 | 56.1% | 16,600 | 10,629 |
| 20 Nov 2026 | 53 | 55.1% | 2,124 | 1,769 |
| 18 Dec 2026 | 81 | 53.7% | 9,023 | 3,367 |
| 15 Jan 2027 | 109 | 53.6% | 14,637 | 7,601 |
| 19 Feb 2027 | 144 | 53.9% | 416 | 262 |
| 19 Mar 2027 | 172 | 52.8% | 2,266 | 2,087 |
| 16 Apr 2027 | 200 | 49.2% | 37 | 317 |
Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.
From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.
Strike Table
On 28 Sep 2026, ALK's largest open interest sits at the 45 strike, with 11,576 contracts across the captured expiries.
| Strike | Call open interest | Put open interest | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 9,196 | 2,380 | 11,576 |
| 40 | 3,920 | 3,462 | 7,382 |
| 42.5 | 5,270 | 2,018 | 7,288 |
| 50 | 5,911 | 1,131 | 7,042 |
| 47.5 | 4,485 | 583 | 5,068 |
| 35 | 623 | 4,376 | 4,999 |
From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.
Since Yesterday
From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, ALK's at the money IV moved from 56.1 percent to 56.1 percent.
| Figure | 25 Sep | 28 Sep | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| At the money IV | 56.1% | 56.1% | +0.0 points |
| Open interest, strikes captured near the price | 70,894 | 71,135 | +241 |
| Put/call ratio, open interest | 0.55 | 0.58 | +0.02 |
Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.
From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.
Changed Hands
On 28 Sep 2026, 2,813 ALK option contracts traded, 0.5 times its own recent average.
| Figure | Value |
|---|---|
| Calls traded | 1,866 |
| Puts traded | 947 |
| Against its recent average | 0.5 times |
| Busier than | 1 of its last 20 trading days |
| Open interest, whole chain | 76,096 contracts |
| Volume to open interest | 0.04 |
| Unusual volume flag | No |
Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.
From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.
Positioning Replay
The replay holds 33 trading days of ALK's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.
| Date | Close | Net dollar gamma | Top call strike | Top put strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug 2026 | 48.40 | $1.61 million | 50 | 45 |
| 21 Sep 2026 | 41.90 | $615,725 | 45 | 37.5 |
| 28 Sep 2026 | 39.70 | $611,104 | 45 | 37.5 |
Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.
From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.
Open Positioning Replay in RingMasterThe Positioning Replay guide
Read-out
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of ALK was bullish, paper trading.
| Figure | Value |
|---|---|
| Side | Bullish at 45 trading days, no signal |
| Level above the close | 41.10, the swing high of 16 Sep 2026 |
| Level below the close | 38.88, the swing low of 16 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view |
| The chart | Sits against the view |
| Strategy family | Cash-secured put (sell a put below the price) |
| Price target | None. The desk has no price model. |
The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.
Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.
Rank by Timeframe
On 25 Sep 2026 ALK sat at the 71st percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.
| Timeframe | Percentile | Side |
|---|---|---|
| 10 trading days | 18 of 100 | Bearish |
| 20 trading days | 45 of 100 | Neutral |
| 45 trading days | 71 of 100 | Neutral |
100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.
Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.
Open Rank by Timeframe in RingMasterThe Rank by Timeframe guide
Timeframe Agreement
On 25 Sep 2026 ALK's near timeframes were bearish and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.
| Group | Timeframes | Side | On that side |
|---|---|---|---|
| Near | 10 day, 20 day | Bearish | 1 of 2 |
| Long | 45 day | Neutral | 0 of 1 |
Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.
Open Timeframe Agreement in RingMasterThe Timeframe Agreement guide
Signal History
On 25 Sep 2026 ALK had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.
| Trading day | Signal | 45 day percentile |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | None | 71 of 100 |
| 24 Sep 2026 | None | 75 of 100 |
| 23 Sep 2026 | None | 84 of 100 |
| 22 Sep 2026 | None | 58 of 100 |
| 21 Sep 2026 | None | 49 of 100 |
| 18 Sep 2026 | None | 71 of 100 |
| 17 Sep 2026 | None | 76 of 100 |
| 16 Sep 2026 | None | 73 of 100 |
Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.
Sector Split
On 25 Sep 2026, 51 of 147 Industrials names were bullish and 37 were bearish, paper trading.
| Sector | Names | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industrials | 147 | 51 | 37 | 59 |
Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.
Price Chart
ALK closed at 39.70 on 28 Sep 2026.
| Figure | Value |
|---|---|
| Last close | 39.70 |
| Change over 5 trading days | -5.3% |
| Change over 21 trading days | -5.9% |
| Change over 63 trading days | -23.6% |
| Change over 252 trading days | -22.6% |
| 52 week high | 60.63 |
| 52 week low | 33.03 |
| 20 day moving average | 40.72 |
| 50 day moving average | 43.81 |
| 200 day moving average | 45.68 |
| RSI, 14 days | 42 |
Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.
From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.
Earnings Radar
ALK reports next on 22 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.
| Figure | Value |
|---|---|
| Next report | 22 Oct 2026, after the close |
| Date | Worked out from past quarters |
| Move after the report of 21 Jul 2026 | -2.4% |
| Move after the report of 20 Apr 2026 | -4.8% |
| Move after the report of 22 Jan 2026 | +4.1% |
| Move after the report of 23 Oct 2025 | -6.1% |
Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.
Seasonality
In the 36 Septembers on record, ALK's average change was minus 3.0 percent, and it rose in 41.7 percent of them.
| Month | Average change | Middle change | Share of years up | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| September | -3.0% | -2.6% | 41.7% | 36 |
| October | +4.5% | +5.5% | 69.4% | 36 |
| November | +6.9% | +4.7% | 72.2% | 36 |
Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.
Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.
Headlines
The desk's news feeds carried 5 headlines naming ALK in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.
| Figure | Value |
|---|---|
| Headlines in the window | 5 |
| Latest | 28 Sep 2026 |
The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.
Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.
Questions
- What is ALK's IV rank?
- ALK's IV rank is 95 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
- What move are ALK options pricing?
- On 28 Sep 2026, ALK options priced a move of 11.9 percent down and 12.5 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
- Where are ALK's call wall and put wall?
- On 28 Sep 2026, ALK's call wall is the 45 strike and its put wall is the 37.5 strike.
- What was the desk's latest view of ALK on the Free plan?
- On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of ALK was bullish, paper trading.
- When does ALK report earnings next?
- ALK reports next on 22 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.
More Industrials names
- KNX, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.
- FIX, Comfort Systems USA Inc
- LHX, L3Harris Technologies Inc
- GD, General Dynamics Corp
- ADP, Automatic Data Processing Inc
Guides and the full list
- Every covered stock, fund and index, A to Z
- Reading the options suite
- Options for beginners
- How Trade Cards work
- Words the desk uses
Membership gets tonight's signals the night they publish. Free gets every options screen, never delayed, and the signals one trading day behind.