Financials

Allstate Corp (ALL) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

ALL is Allstate Corp, a Financials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank89 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV28.6%28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct7.8% down, 6.4% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wallBoth 23028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close227.5528 Sep
Next report4 Nov 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

ALL's IV rank is 89 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank89 of 100
At the money IV28.6%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest1.21
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price9,790 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price11,800 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyTight, 9.7% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among ALL's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, ALL options priced a move of 7.8 percent down and 6.4 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 2026187.8%6.4%209.85 to 242.05
20 Nov 20265312.4%12.0%199.35 to 254.75
18 Dec 20268113.4%14.0%197.15 to 259.35
15 Jan 202710914.9%16.0%193.65 to 264.05
19 Mar 202717218.0%20.1%186.55 to 273.25
16 Apr 202720024.0%23.4%173.05 to 280.85

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 227.55, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, ALL's call wall and put wall are both at the 230 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma230
Put wall, most open put gamma230
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign251.53
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $3.76 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$12.38 million
Close227.55

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, ALL's at the money IV is 28.6 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 26.5 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV28.6%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days26.5%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days29.8%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record865, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move27.4% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, ALL's at the money IV runs from 28.6 percent at 18 days to 32.4 percent at 200 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1828.6%
5332.4%
8129.2%
10928.7%
17227.3%
20032.4%

Far expiries price more volatility than near ones, an upward sloping term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, ALL's IV ten percent below the price sits 6.3 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price38.7%+6.3 points
At the money32.4%0.0 points
10% above the price29.4%-3.0 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, ALL's surface spans 6 expiries out to 200 days, with IV from 26.5 to 37.5 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured6
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry16 Apr 2027, 200 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more28
Lowest IV among them26.5%
Highest IV among them37.5%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, ALL has 6 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 16 Apr 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261828.6%2,0244,712
20 Nov 20265332.4%617938
18 Dec 20268129.2%2,0331,605
15 Jan 202710928.7%3,7363,573
19 Mar 202717227.3%1,295948
16 Apr 202720032.4%8867

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, ALL's largest open interest sits at the 240 strike, with 3,245 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
2401,2621,9833,245
2206942,3093,003
2309801,9042,884
2501,1611,2772,438
2601,5882261,814
2701,404381,442

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, ALL's at the money IV moved from 29.8 percent to 28.6 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV29.8%28.6%-1.2 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price21,55421,636+82
Put/call ratio, open interest1.221.21-0.01

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 6,956 ALL option contracts traded, 1.1 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded1,331
Puts traded5,625
Against its recent average1.1 times
Busier than6 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain27,963 contracts
Volume to open interest0.25
Unusual volume flagYes, 1 contract traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contractThe 210 put expiring 16 Oct, 2,176 traded against 301 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of ALL's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026262.23minus $3.97 million260260
21 Sep 2026242.86minus $2.24 million260240
28 Sep 2026227.55minus $3.76 million230230

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of ALL was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close250.33, the swing high of 10 Sep 2026
Level below the close225.58, the swing low of 25 Sep 2026
Strategy familyIron condor (sell both sides, defined risk)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 ALL sat at the 54th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days46 of 100Neutral
20 trading days12 of 100Bearish
45 trading days54 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 ALL's near timeframes were bearish and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBearish1 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 ALL had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None54 of 100
24 Sep 2026None56 of 100
23 Sep 2026None79 of 100
22 Sep 2026None83 of 100
21 Sep 2026None42 of 100
18 Sep 2026None16 of 100
17 Sep 2026None12 of 100
16 Sep 2026None29 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 63 of 135 Financials names were bullish and 32 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Financials135633240

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

ALL closed at 227.55 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close227.55
Change over 5 trading days-6.3%
Change over 21 trading days-11.7%
Change over 63 trading days-5.7%
Change over 252 trading days+8.5%
52 week high277.22
52 week low188.08
20 day moving average248.16
50 day moving average255.98
200 day moving average224.39
RSI, 14 days28

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

ALL reports next on 4 Nov 2026, and options priced an earnings move of 9.4 percent through 20 Nov 2026.

FigureValue
Next report4 Nov 2026, after the close
DateConfirmed by the company
Priced earnings move9.4%, a straddle of $21.50 at the 230 strike, expiring 20 Nov 2026
Move after the report of 5 Aug 2026+4.0%
Move after the report of 29 Apr 2026+2.3%
Move after the report of 4 Feb 2026+3.9%
Move after the report of 5 Nov 2025+1.7%

The priced earnings move is the straddle's cost over the share price. It restates option prices and says nothing certain about the report.

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Company Events

ALL filed 1 current report in the 14 days to 28 Sep 2026, the latest on 17 Sep 2026.

FiledReportWhat it covers
17 Sep 2026Current reportRegulation FD Disclosure

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

The filings the desk holds carry 1 recent trade in ALL shares.

FiledWhoTradeSize
2 Sep 2026. Michael Rulli, member of CongressSold$1,001 to $15,000

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 28.8 percent of ALL's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep28.8%
Five day average35.3%
52 week median60.0%

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 33 Septembers on record, ALL's average change was plus 2.5 percent, and it rose in 72.7 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+2.5%+2.4%72.7%33
October+0.5%+0.9%54.5%33
November+2.0%+2.3%63.6%33

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 1 headline naming ALL in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window1
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is ALL's IV rank?
ALL's IV rank is 89 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are ALL options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, ALL options priced a move of 7.8 percent down and 6.4 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are ALL's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, ALL's call wall and put wall are both at the 230 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of ALL on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of ALL was neutral, paper trading.
When does ALL report earnings next?
ALL reports next on 4 Nov 2026, and options priced an earnings move of 9.4 percent through 20 Nov 2026.

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