Information Technology

Applied Materials (AMAT) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

AMAT is Applied Materials, an Information Technology name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank96 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV53.0%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct15.7% down, 16.6% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall500 and 45028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bearish25 Sep
Last close486.7628 Sep
Next report12 Nov 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

AMAT's IV rank is 96 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank96 of 100
At the money IV53.0%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest1.08
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price99,800 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price108,000 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 13.5% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among AMAT's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, AMAT options priced a move of 15.7 percent down and 16.6 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202646.1%6.0%457.06 to 516.16
9 Oct 2026119.2%9.1%442.06 to 530.96
23 Oct 20262513.9%14.3%418.96 to 556.16
30 Oct 20263215.7%16.6%410.26 to 567.66
20 Nov 20265321.4%22.0%382.76 to 593.76
18 Dec 20268125.7%27.3%361.76 to 619.76
19 Feb 202714433.5%36.4%323.76 to 663.76

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 486.76, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, AMAT's call wall is the 500 strike and its put wall is the 450 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma500
Put wall, most open put gamma450
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$19.04 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$160.59 million
Close486.76

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 8 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, AMAT's at the money IV is 53.0 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 49.0 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV53.0%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days49.0%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days63.8%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record865, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move33.3% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, AMAT's at the money IV runs from 58.1 percent at 4 days to 55.5 percent at 144 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
458.1%
1152.7%
1855.6%
2554.5%
3954.8%
5357.6%
8155.9%
14455.5%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, AMAT's IV ten percent below the price sits 0.4 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price53.4%+0.4 points
At the money53.0%0.0 points
10% above the price54.4%+1.4 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, AMAT's surface spans 10 expiries out to 144 days, with IV from 51.3 to 58.1 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Feb 2027, 144 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more157
Lowest IV among them51.3%
Highest IV among them58.1%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, AMAT has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Feb 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026458.1%9,5714,666
9 Oct 20261152.7%3,7961,881
16 Oct 20261855.6%17,12518,449
23 Oct 20262554.5%1,9942,259
30 Oct 20263253.0%1,5981,539
6 Nov 20263954.8%40691
20 Nov 20265357.6%16,93220,222
18 Dec 20268155.9%20,21421,819
15 Jan 202710954.0%23,64526,999
19 Feb 202714455.5%4,5199,735

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, AMAT's largest open interest sits at the 500 strike, with 11,773 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
5006,8944,87911,773
4506,1045,45411,558
4002,3566,3668,722
4201,7446,6728,416
4403,6264,3427,968
3001,4625,7637,225

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, AMAT's at the money IV moved from 54.9 percent to 53.0 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV54.9%53.0%-2.0 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price231,604207,460-24,144
Put/call ratio, open interest1.201.08-0.12

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 37,679 AMAT option contracts traded, 0.8 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded16,357
Puts traded21,322
Against its recent average0.8 times
Busier than2 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain451,808 contracts
Volume to open interest0.08
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of AMAT's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026525.61$2.49 million550500
21 Sep 2026464.24$449,616500420
28 Sep 2026486.76$19.04 million500450

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of AMAT was bearish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBearish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close563.76, the swing high of 13 Aug 2026, a close past it runs against the view
Level below the close474.04, the swing low of 9 Sep 2026
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyBear call spread (sell a call spread above the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 AMAT sat at the 14th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days62 of 100Neutral
20 trading days17 of 100Bearish
45 trading days14 of 100Bearish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 2 of 3 timeframes put AMAT on the bearish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBearish1 of 2
Long45 dayBearish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 AMAT had carried no signal for 2 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None14 of 100
24 Sep 2026None12 of 100
23 Sep 2026Bearish3 of 100
22 Sep 2026Bearish3 of 100
21 Sep 2026None55 of 100
18 Sep 2026None84 of 100
17 Sep 2026None58 of 100
16 Sep 2026None11 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 80 of 187 Information Technology names were bullish and 61 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Information Technology187806146

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

AMAT closed at 486.76 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close486.76
Change over 5 trading days+4.9%
Change over 21 trading days+0.9%
Change over 63 trading days-29.9%
Change over 252 trading days+143.9%
52 week high739.67
52 week low197.39
20 day moving average453.06
50 day moving average489.39
200 day moving average422.52
RSI, 14 days56

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

AMAT reports next on 12 Nov 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

FigureValue
Next report12 Nov 2026
DateConfirmed by the company

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

The filings the desk holds carry 1 recent trade in AMAT shares.

FiledWhoTradeSize
14 Sep 2026. Josh Gottheimer, member of CongressBought$1,001 to $15,000

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 54.7 percent of AMAT's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep54.7%
Five day average47.4%
52 week median41.1%
Short interest, share of shares outstanding1.8% at the 15 Sep 2026 settlement
Days to cover2.4

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 36 Septembers on record, AMAT's average change was minus 2.6 percent, and it rose in 41.7 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-2.6%-3.3%41.7%36
October+2.0%-1.1%47.2%36
November+6.2%+7.2%72.2%36

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 6 headlines naming AMAT in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window6
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is AMAT's IV rank?
AMAT's IV rank is 96 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are AMAT options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, AMAT options priced a move of 15.7 percent down and 16.6 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are AMAT's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, AMAT's call wall is the 500 strike and its put wall is the 450 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of AMAT on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of AMAT was bearish, paper trading.
When does AMAT report earnings next?
AMAT reports next on 12 Nov 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

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