Financials

Ares Management Corp (ARES) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

ARES is Ares Management Corp, a Financials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank64 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV47.9%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct14.2% down, 14.2% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall130 and 10528 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bullish25 Sep
Last close118.3428 Sep
Next report2 Nov 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

ARES's IV rank is 64 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank64 of 100
At the money IV47.9%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest2.53
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price14,500 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price36,700 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 25.0% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among ARES's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, ARES options priced a move of 14.2 percent down and 14.2 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202645.3%4.8%112.06 to 124.06
9 Oct 2026118.4%9.0%108.42 to 128.94
23 Oct 20262512.8%12.5%103.24 to 133.14
30 Oct 20263214.2%14.2%101.54 to 135.14
18 Dec 20268121.9%21.1%92.44 to 143.34
15 Jan 202710924.5%23.7%89.34 to 146.34
19 Mar 202717230.5%30.1%82.24 to 153.94

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 118.34, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, ARES's call wall is the 130 strike and its put wall is the 105 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma130
Put wall, most open put gamma105
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $3.94 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$8.09 million
Close118.34

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, ARES's at the money IV is 47.9 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 29.7 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV47.9%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days29.7%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days37.7%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record572, from 23 May 2014
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move28.2% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, ARES's at the money IV runs from 51.9 percent at 4 days to 52.2 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
451.9%
1146.2%
1844.3%
2544.5%
5346.9%
8146.2%
10944.5%
17252.2%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, ARES's IV ten percent below the price sits 13.1 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price61.0%+13.1 points
At the money47.9%0.0 points
10% above the price50.7%+2.8 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, ARES's surface spans 10 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 26.8 to 102.8 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more71
Lowest IV among them26.8%
Highest IV among them102.8%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, ARES has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026451.9%298353
9 Oct 20261146.2%199132
16 Oct 20261844.3%5093,809
23 Oct 20262544.5%1333
30 Oct 20263247.9%302
20 Nov 20265346.9%2,4592,385
18 Dec 20268146.2%1,4963,781
15 Jan 202710944.5%6,42523,228
19 Feb 202714470.5%1,8551,760
19 Mar 202717252.2%1,2311,208

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, ARES's largest open interest sits at the 105 strike, with 7,750 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
1053247,4267,750
1401,0224,5105,532
1207104,8195,529
1301,8951,9643,859
7553,2603,265
1252752,4462,721

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, ARES's at the money IV moved from 44.1 percent to 47.9 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV44.1%47.9%+3.8 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price50,54751,206+659
Put/call ratio, open interest2.572.53-0.04

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 4,741 ARES option contracts traded, 1.0 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded2,537
Puts traded2,204
Against its recent average1.0 times
Busier than4 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain55,796 contracts
Volume to open interest0.08
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of ARES's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026143.11$7.93 million145120
21 Sep 2026126.67minus $3.41 million130105
28 Sep 2026118.34minus $3.94 million130105

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of ARES was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close121.29, the swing high of 16 Sep 2026
Level below the close116.30, the swing low of 24 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyCash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 ARES sat at the 68th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days77 of 100Neutral
20 trading days88 of 100Bullish
45 trading days68 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 1 of 3 timeframes put ARES on the bullish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBullish1 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Timeframe Agreement in RingMasterThe Timeframe Agreement guide

Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 ARES had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None68 of 100
24 Sep 2026None69 of 100
23 Sep 2026None60 of 100
22 Sep 2026None41 of 100
21 Sep 2026None45 of 100
18 Sep 2026None26 of 100
17 Sep 2026None30 of 100
16 Sep 2026None29 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 63 of 135 Financials names were bullish and 32 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Financials135633240

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

ARES closed at 118.34 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close118.34
Change over 5 trading days-6.6%
Change over 21 trading days-16.9%
Change over 63 trading days+10.0%
Change over 252 trading days-27.5%
52 week high181.19
52 week low95.80
20 day moving average130.23
50 day moving average133.50
200 day moving average131.02
RSI, 14 days32

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

ARES reports next on 2 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report2 Nov 2026, before the open
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 31 Jul 2026+3.2%
Move after the report of 1 May 2026+1.4%
Move after the report of 5 Feb 2026-11.2%
Move after the report of 3 Nov 2025+4.6%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 72.2 percent of ARES's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep72.2%
Five day average72.3%
52 week median58.1%

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 12 Septembers on record, ARES's average change was minus 2.3 percent, and it rose in 33.3 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-2.3%-1.3%33.3%12
October+0.9%-2.7%41.7%12
November+4.0%+4.4%83.3%12

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 4 headlines naming ARES in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window4
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is ARES's IV rank?
ARES's IV rank is 64 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are ARES options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, ARES options priced a move of 14.2 percent down and 14.2 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are ARES's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, ARES's call wall is the 130 strike and its put wall is the 105 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of ARES on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of ARES was bullish, paper trading.
When does ARES report earnings next?
ARES reports next on 2 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

More Financials names

Guides and the full list

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