Consumer Discretionary

BorgWarner Inc. (BWA) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

BWA is BorgWarner Inc., a Consumer Discretionary name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
Trade CardCash-secured put, 18 Dec25 Sep
IV rank85 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV41.3%28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct8.7% down, 8.4% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall70 and 6028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewBullish signal, view bullish25 Sep
Last close61.0728 Sep
Next report29 Oct 202628 Sep

Trade Cards

On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for BWA was a cash-secured put expiring 18 Dec 2026, paper trading.

FigureValue
SignalBullish, over 45 trading days
StrategyCash-secured put, credit
LegsSell the 57.5 put
Expiry18 Dec 2026, 84 days to expiry
LimitA credit of at least $1.55
Probability of profit65%, the option market's odds at expiry, from delta
Max loss$5,595 per contract
Max profit$155 per contract
Breakeven55.95
IV rank at that expiry96 of 100

Probability of profit is the option market's own odds from delta, not the model's.

Priced on the option chain at the close on 25 Sep 2026.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Options Snapshot

BWA's IV rank is 85 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank85 of 100
At the money IV41.3%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.33
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price17,700 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price5,880 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyWide, 50.5% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among BWA's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, BWA options priced a move of 8.7 percent down and 8.4 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 2026188.7%8.4%55.73 to 66.21
20 Nov 20265316.0%16.5%51.28 to 71.17
18 Dec 20268119.0%21.9%49.47 to 74.47
15 Jan 202710920.6%21.9%48.47 to 74.47
19 Mar 202717226.4%32.7%44.97 to 81.07
16 Apr 202720027.7%29.1%44.17 to 78.87

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 61.07, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, BWA's call wall is the 70 strike and its put wall is the 60 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma70
Put wall, most open put gamma60
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign63.28
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$679,042
Total dollar gamma, both sides$2.82 million
Close61.07

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, BWA's at the money IV is 41.3 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 36.4 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV41.3%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days36.4%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days35.4%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record848, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move24.6% of 236 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, BWA's at the money IV runs from 41.3 percent at 18 days to 39.4 percent at 200 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1841.3%
5343.0%
8150.7%
10941.5%
17244.0%
20039.4%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, BWA's IV ten percent below the price sits 32.4 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price75.4%+32.4 points
At the money43.0%0.0 points
10% above the price38.0%-5.1 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, BWA's surface spans 6 expiries out to 200 days, with IV from 35.8 to 75.4 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured6
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry16 Apr 2027, 200 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more29
Lowest IV among them35.8%
Highest IV among them75.4%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, BWA has 6 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 16 Apr 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261841.3%7,6972,966
20 Nov 20265343.0%3,995899
18 Dec 20268150.7%398237
15 Jan 202710941.5%1,894925
19 Mar 202717244.0%3,696562
16 Apr 202720039.4%8293

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, BWA's largest open interest sits at the 70 strike, with 6,443 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
705,6797646,443
804,49504,495
601,4311,9093,340
652,1484822,630
62.52961,0671,363
759511952

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, BWA's at the money IV moved from 44.1 percent to 41.3 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV44.1%41.3%-2.8 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price23,79023,570-220
Put/call ratio, open interest0.340.33-0.00

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 1,599 BWA option contracts traded, 0.4 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded1,192
Puts traded407
Against its recent average0.4 times
Busier than8 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain28,120 contracts
Volume to open interest0.06
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of BWA's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202669.68$2.41 million7065
21 Sep 202663.32$574,9517060
28 Sep 202661.07$679,0427060

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of BWA was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 45 trading days, signal on
Level above the close61.44, the swing high of 16 Sep 2026
Level below the close58.10, the swing low of 24 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyCash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 BWA sat at the 97th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days86 of 100Bullish
20 trading days94 of 100Bullish
45 trading days97 of 100Bullish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 3 of 3 timeframes put BWA on the bullish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBullish2 of 2
Long45 dayBullish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 BWA's bullish signal had held 14 trading days in a row, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026Bullish97 of 100
24 Sep 2026Bullish100 of 100
23 Sep 2026Bullish100 of 100
22 Sep 2026Bullish99 of 100
21 Sep 2026Bullish99 of 100
18 Sep 2026Bullish99 of 100
17 Sep 2026Bullish100 of 100
16 Sep 2026Bullish99 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 27 of 106 Consumer Discretionary names were bullish and 33 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Consumer Discretionary106273346

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

BWA closed at 61.07 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close61.07
Change over 5 trading days-3.6%
Change over 21 trading days-5.8%
Change over 63 trading days-7.3%
Change over 252 trading days+40.7%
52 week high78.82
52 week low40.50
20 day moving average63.58
50 day moving average64.77
200 day moving average59.13
RSI, 14 days42

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

BWA reports next on 29 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

FigureValue
Next report29 Oct 2026, before the open
DateConfirmed by the company
Move after the report of 5 Aug 2026+5.9%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026-0.3%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026+1.4%
Move after the report of 28 Oct 2025-1.6%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 32 Septembers on record, BWA's average change was minus 2.3 percent, and it rose in 43.8 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-2.3%-2.8%43.8%32
October+2.2%+1.9%63.6%33
November+1.2%+0.7%63.6%33

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is BWA's IV rank?
BWA's IV rank is 85 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are BWA options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, BWA options priced a move of 8.7 percent down and 8.4 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are BWA's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, BWA's call wall is the 70 strike and its put wall is the 60 strike.
What was the latest Trade Card for BWA on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for BWA was a cash-secured put expiring 18 Dec 2026, paper trading.
When does BWA report earnings next?
BWA reports next on 29 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

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