Consumer Discretionary

Maplebear Inc. (CART) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

CART is Maplebear Inc., a Consumer Discretionary name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

Figure	Value	Date
IV rank	97 of 100	28 Sep
At the money IV	70.2%	28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct	15.0% down, 18.9% up	28 Sep
Call wall and put wall	55 and 40	28 Sep
Signal and the desk's view	No signal, view neutral	25 Sep
Last close	43.34	28 Sep
Next report	9 Nov 2026	28 Sep

Options Snapshot

CART's IV rank is 97 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
IV rank	97 of 100
At the money IV	70.2%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest	0.35
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price	51,000 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price	18,100 contracts
Cost to trade at the money	Wide, 87.1% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among CART's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, CART options priced a move of 15.0 percent down and 18.9 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

Expiry	Days	Down	Up	Range
2 Oct 2026	4	6.8%	4.9%	40.39 to 45.45
9 Oct 2026	11	10.3%	8.9%	38.87 to 47.18
16 Oct 2026	18	12.9%	11.6%	37.75 to 48.36
30 Oct 2026	32	15.0%	18.9%	36.86 to 51.54
20 Nov 2026	53	18.2%	18.7%	35.47 to 51.46
18 Dec 2026	81	23.8%	24.7%	33.04 to 54.04
16 Apr 2027	200	36.9%	35.8%	27.34 to 58.84

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 43.34, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, CART's call wall is the 55 strike and its put wall is the 40 strike.

Figure	Value
Call wall, most open call gamma	55
Put wall, most open put gamma	40
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts	$1.01 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides	$3.95 million
Close	43.34

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 8 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, CART's at the money IV is 70.2 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 39.6 percent.

Figure	Value
At the money IV	70.2%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days	39.6%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days	42.1%
IV against its own weekly record	High, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record	134, from 22 Sep 2023
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move	20.3% of 133 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, CART's at the money IV runs from 60.8 percent at 4 days to 52.6 percent at 200 days.

Days to expiry	At the money IV
4	60.8%
11	71.7%
18	56.9%
25	51.0%
32	70.2%
53	51.5%
81	52.7%
200	52.6%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, CART's IV ten percent below the price sits 15.8 points below at the money IV.

Strike area	Implied volatility	Against at the money
10% below the price	54.4%	-15.8 points
At the money	70.2%	0.0 points
10% above the price	52.9%	-17.3 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, CART's surface spans 9 expiries out to 200 days, with IV from 43.5 to 150.9 percent near the price.

Figure	Value
Expiries captured	9
Nearest expiry	2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry	16 Apr 2027, 200 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more	77
Lowest IV among them	43.5%
Highest IV among them	150.9%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, CART has 9 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 16 Apr 2027.

Expiry	Days	At the money IV	Call open interest	Put open interest
2 Oct 2026	4	60.8%	600	681
9 Oct 2026	11	71.7%	117	550
16 Oct 2026	18	56.9%	19,675	5,879
23 Oct 2026	25	51.0%	242	74
30 Oct 2026	32	70.2%	49	144
20 Nov 2026	53	51.5%	18,172	1,483
18 Dec 2026	81	52.7%	725	243
15 Jan 2027	109	51.0%	11,002	8,899
16 Apr 2027	200	52.6%	384	168

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, CART's largest open interest sits at the 55 strike, with 26,322 contracts across the captured expiries.

Strike	Call open interest	Put open interest	Total
55	26,124	198	26,322
60	8,907	10	8,917
50	5,117	2,651	7,768
45	3,433	904	4,337
40	668	3,377	4,045
47	862	2,923	3,785

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, CART's at the money IV moved from 65.0 percent to 70.2 percent.

Figure	25 Sep	28 Sep	Change
At the money IV	65.0%	70.2%	+5.2 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price	68,087	69,087	+1,000
Put/call ratio, open interest	0.34	0.36	+0.01

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 3,568 CART option contracts traded, 0.8 times its own recent average.

Figure	Value
Calls traded	1,682
Puts traded	1,886
Against its recent average	0.8 times
Busier than	2 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain	71,313 contracts
Volume to open interest	0.05
Unusual volume flag	No

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of CART's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

Date	Close	Net dollar gamma	Top call strike	Top put strike
11 Aug 2026	49.39	$6.74 million	50	47
21 Sep 2026	45.56	minus $588,634	50	47
28 Sep 2026	43.34	$1.01 million	55	40

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of CART was neutral, paper trading.

Figure	Value
Side	Neutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close	45.78, the swing high of 9 Sep 2026
Level below the close	42.12, the swing low of 23 Sep 2026
Strategy family	Iron condor (sell both sides, defined risk)
Price target	None. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 CART sat at the 43rd percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

Timeframe	Percentile	Side
10 trading days	44 of 100	Neutral
20 trading days	48 of 100	Neutral
45 trading days	43 of 100	Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 CART's near timeframes were neutral and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

Group	Timeframes	Side	On that side
Near	10 day, 20 day	Neutral	0 of 2
Long	45 day	Neutral	0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 CART had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading day	Signal	45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026	None	43 of 100
24 Sep 2026	None	65 of 100
23 Sep 2026	None	82 of 100
22 Sep 2026	None	92 of 100
21 Sep 2026	None	70 of 100
18 Sep 2026	None	77 of 100
17 Sep 2026	None	62 of 100
16 Sep 2026	None	87 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 27 of 106 Consumer Discretionary names were bullish and 33 were bearish, paper trading.

Sector	Names	Bullish	Bearish	Neutral
Consumer Discretionary	106	27	33	46

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

CART closed at 43.34 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Last close	43.34
Change over 5 trading days	-4.9%
Change over 21 trading days	-14.1%
Change over 63 trading days	-8.2%
Change over 252 trading days	+2.2%
52 week high	52.68
52 week low	32.73
20 day moving average	47.11
50 day moving average	47.44
200 day moving average	42.61
RSI, 14 days	34

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

CART reports next on 9 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

Figure	Value
Next report	9 Nov 2026, after the close
Date	Worked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 6 Aug 2026	+11.4%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026	-0.4%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026	-2.0%
Move after the report of 28 Oct 2025	-0.1%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Company Events

CART filed 1 current report in the 14 days to 28 Sep 2026, the latest on 25 Sep 2026.

Filed	Report	What it covers
25 Sep 2026	Current report	Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities; Amendments to Articles of Incorporation or Bylaws; Change in Fiscal Year

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

Company insiders reported 0 purchases and 2 sales of CART in the filings the desk holds.

Filed	Who	Trade	Size
22 Sep 2026	Fong Morgan, Chief Legal Officer	Sold	17,617 shares, $791,965
22 Sep 2026	Fong Morgan, Chief Legal Officer	Sold	773 shares, $35,281

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 2 Septembers on record, CART's average change was minus 0.9 percent, and it rose in 50.0 percent of them.

Month	Average change	Middle change	Share of years up	Years
September	-0.9%	-0.9%	50.0%	2
October	+4.3%	+4.3%	100.0%	2
November	+3.7%	-1.0%	33.3%	3

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 4 headlines naming CART in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Headlines in the window	4
Latest	28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is CART's IV rank?: CART's IV rank is 97 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are CART options pricing?: On 28 Sep 2026, CART options priced a move of 15.0 percent down and 18.9 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are CART's call wall and put wall?: On 28 Sep 2026, CART's call wall is the 55 strike and its put wall is the 40 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of CART on the Free plan?: On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of CART was neutral, paper trading.
When does CART report earnings next?: CART reports next on 9 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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