Energy

Expand Energy Corp (EXE) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

EXE is Expand Energy Corp, an Energy name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank72 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV33.3%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct9.0% down, 12.2% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall100 and 8028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close85.3128 Sep
Next report27 Oct 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

EXE's IV rank is 72 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank72 of 100
At the money IV33.3%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest1.88
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price45,000 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price84,700 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 33.8% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among EXE's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, EXE options priced a move of 9.0 percent down and 12.2 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202644.1%4.6%81.85 to 89.24
9 Oct 2026115.2%8.0%80.91 to 92.12
23 Oct 2026257.7%11.0%78.73 to 94.66
30 Oct 2026329.0%12.2%77.63 to 95.71
20 Nov 20265312.4%13.4%74.71 to 96.71
15 Jan 202710917.1%19.9%70.71 to 102.31
19 Mar 202717224.9%25.3%64.11 to 106.91

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 85.31, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, EXE's call wall is the 100 strike and its put wall is the 80 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma100
Put wall, most open put gamma80
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign94.05
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $17.22 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$27.82 million
Close85.31

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, EXE's at the money IV is 33.3 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 26.8 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV33.3%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days26.8%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days28.6%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record96, from 4 Oct 2024
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move30.5% of 95 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, EXE's at the money IV runs from 44.3 percent at 4 days to 36.7 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
444.3%
1136.8%
1835.2%
2533.2%
3935.4%
5338.8%
10936.1%
17236.7%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, EXE's IV ten percent below the price sits 2.5 points below at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price30.8%-2.5 points
At the money33.3%0.0 points
10% above the price44.1%+10.8 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, EXE's surface spans 10 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 28.9 to 56.6 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more73
Lowest IV among them28.9%
Highest IV among them56.6%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, EXE has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026444.3%715770
9 Oct 20261136.8%192401
16 Oct 20261835.2%6,6949,510
23 Oct 20262533.2%15522,761
30 Oct 20263233.3%776175
6 Nov 20263935.4%314,254
20 Nov 20265338.8%3,50120,170
15 Jan 202710936.1%31,96115,985
19 Feb 202714434.8%437177
19 Mar 202717236.7%548459

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, EXE's largest open interest sits at the 80 strike, with 27,287 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
8032126,96627,287
851,91716,56718,484
79014,20014,200
1008,8122,08310,895
1109,6761839,859
1056,9965777,573

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, EXE's at the money IV moved from 34.6 percent to 33.3 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV34.6%33.3%-1.3 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price118,539129,644+11,105
Put/call ratio, open interest1.431.88+0.46

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 9,814 EXE option contracts traded, 0.8 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded3,593
Puts traded6,221
Against its recent average0.8 times
Busier than13 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain157,864 contracts
Volume to open interest0.06
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of EXE's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202698.24$6.19 million9580
21 Sep 202687.65minus $15.07 million10085
28 Sep 202685.31minus $17.22 million10080

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of EXE was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close88.70, the swing high of 24 Sep 2026
Level below the close85.30, the swing low of 21 Sep 2026
Strategy familyIron condor (sell both sides, defined risk)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 EXE sat at the 24th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days8 of 100Bearish
20 trading days21 of 100Neutral
45 trading days24 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 EXE's near timeframes were bearish and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBearish1 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 EXE had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None24 of 100
24 Sep 2026None43 of 100
23 Sep 2026None54 of 100
22 Sep 2026None69 of 100
21 Sep 2026None33 of 100
18 Sep 2026None54 of 100
17 Sep 2026None37 of 100
16 Sep 2026None46 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 17 of 56 Energy names were bullish and 33 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Energy5617336

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

EXE closed at 85.31 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close85.31
Change over 5 trading days-2.7%
Change over 21 trading days-12.9%
Change over 63 trading days-2.5%
Change over 252 trading days-18.3%
52 week high126.62
52 week low84.98
20 day moving average92.78
50 day moving average93.44
200 day moving average98.98
RSI, 14 days29

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

EXE reports next on 27 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report27 Oct 2026, after the close
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 28 Jul 2026+4.5%
Move after the report of 29 Apr 2026+1.1%
Move after the report of 27 Jan 2026+0.8%
Move after the report of 29 Apr 2025-3.3%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Company Events

EXE filed 3 current reports in the 14 days to 28 Sep 2026, the latest on 17 Sep 2026.

FiledReportWhat it covers
17 Sep 2026Current reportEntry into a Material Definitive Agreement; Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant; Other Events
16 Sep 2026Current reportEntry into a Material Definitive Agreement; Regulation FD Disclosure
16 Sep 2026Current reportDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers; Other Events

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 62.5 percent of EXE's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep62.5%
Five day average51.9%
52 week median48.8%
Short interest, share of shares outstanding4.1% at the 15 Sep 2026 settlement
Days to cover4.0

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 5 Septembers on record, EXE's average change was plus 4.4 percent, and it rose in 60.0 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+4.4%+9.8%60.0%5
October+2.4%+3.0%60.0%5
November+4.5%+1.2%60.0%5

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is EXE's IV rank?
EXE's IV rank is 72 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are EXE options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, EXE options priced a move of 9.0 percent down and 12.2 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are EXE's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, EXE's call wall is the 100 strike and its put wall is the 80 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of EXE on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of EXE was neutral, paper trading.
When does EXE report earnings next?
EXE reports next on 27 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

More Energy names

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