Industrials

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

FERG is Ferguson Enterprises Inc., an Industrials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank89 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV34.0%28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct8.3% down, 6.8% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall230 and 20028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close227.3028 Sep
Next report9 Nov 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

FERG's IV rank is 89 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank89 of 100
At the money IV34.0%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.69
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price4,430 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price3,050 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyWide, 46.1% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among FERG's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, FERG options priced a move of 8.3 percent down and 6.8 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 2026188.3%6.8%208.50 to 242.80
20 Nov 20265315.4%14.4%192.30 to 260.00
18 Dec 20268117.0%17.2%188.60 to 266.30
19 Feb 202714421.5%23.1%178.40 to 279.80

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 227.30, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, FERG's call wall is the 230 strike and its put wall is the 200 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma230
Put wall, most open put gamma200
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign220.86
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$738,662
Total dollar gamma, both sides$3.17 million
Close227.30

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, FERG's at the money IV is 34.0 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 24.0 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV34.0%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days24.0%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days29.4%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record205, from 13 May 2022
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move29.9% of 204 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, FERG's at the money IV runs from 34.0 percent at 18 days to 34.8 percent at 144 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1834.0%
5339.7%
8136.3%
14434.8%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, FERG's IV ten percent below the price sits 19.7 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price59.3%+19.7 points
At the money39.7%0.0 points
10% above the price35.6%-4.0 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, FERG's surface spans 4 expiries out to 144 days, with IV from 29.9 to 48.7 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured4
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry19 Feb 2027, 144 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more20
Lowest IV among them29.9%
Highest IV among them48.7%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, FERG has 4 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 19 Feb 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261834.0%1,582220
20 Nov 20265339.7%1,4621,679
18 Dec 20268136.3%731906
19 Feb 202714434.8%657243

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, FERG's largest open interest sits at the 200 strike, with 1,220 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
20091,2111,220
2801,16801,168
26086312875
230563305868
25079273865
21068551619

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, FERG's at the money IV moved from 32.9 percent to 34.0 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV32.9%34.0%+1.1 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price7,5117,480-31
Put/call ratio, open interest0.690.69-0.00

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 482 FERG option contracts traded, 0.4 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded224
Puts traded258
Against its recent average0.4 times
Busier than0 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain7,612 contracts
Volume to open interest0.06
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of FERG's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026251.51$1.76 million270240
21 Sep 2026216.14minus $517,922230200
28 Sep 2026227.30$738,662230200

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of FERG was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close230.44, the swing high of 8 Sep 2026
Level below the close215.80, the swing low of 2 Sep 2026
Strategy familyIron condor (sell both sides, defined risk)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 FERG sat at the 39th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days13 of 100Bearish
20 trading days8 of 100Bearish
45 trading days39 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 FERG's near timeframes were bearish and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBearish2 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 FERG had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None39 of 100
24 Sep 2026None36 of 100
23 Sep 2026None30 of 100
22 Sep 2026None44 of 100
21 Sep 2026None48 of 100
18 Sep 2026None38 of 100
17 Sep 2026None53 of 100
16 Sep 2026None51 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 51 of 147 Industrials names were bullish and 37 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Industrials147513759

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

FERG closed at 227.30 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close227.30
Change over 5 trading days+5.2%
Change over 21 trading days-2.6%
Change over 63 trading days-4.7%
Change over 252 trading days+0.9%
52 week high271.64
52 week low212.40
20 day moving average220.92
50 day moving average232.43
200 day moving average237.89
RSI, 14 days53

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

FERG reports next on 9 Nov 2026, and options priced an earnings move of 10.9 percent through 20 Nov 2026.

FigureValue
Next report9 Nov 2026, before the open
DateConfirmed by the company
Priced earnings move10.9%, a straddle of $24.75 at the 230 strike, expiring 20 Nov 2026
Move after the report of 10 Aug 2026+2.8%
Move after the report of 11 May 2026-2.4%
Move after the report of 10 Feb 2026+1.3%
Move after the report of 3 Jun 2025+17.2%

The priced earnings move is the straddle's cost over the share price. It restates option prices and says nothing certain about the report.

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

The filings the desk holds carry 1 recent trade in FERG shares.

FiledWhoTradeSize
4 Sep 2026. Gilbert Cisneros, member of CongressBought$1,001 to $15,000

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 5 Septembers on record, FERG's average change was minus 3.8 percent, and it rose in 20.0 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-3.8%-3.4%20.0%5
October+3.1%+6.2%60.0%5
November+6.6%+7.3%100.0%5

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 1 headline naming FERG in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window1
Latest26 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is FERG's IV rank?
FERG's IV rank is 89 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are FERG options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, FERG options priced a move of 8.3 percent down and 6.8 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are FERG's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, FERG's call wall is the 230 strike and its put wall is the 200 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of FERG on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of FERG was neutral, paper trading.
When does FERG report earnings next?
FERG reports next on 9 Nov 2026, and options priced an earnings move of 10.9 percent through 20 Nov 2026.

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