Consumer Staples

Hershey Co (HSY) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

HSY is Hershey Co, a Consumer Staples name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank95 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV30.6%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct8.5% down, 10.9% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall175 and 16528 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close164.4128 Sep
Next report5 Nov 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

HSY's IV rank is 95 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank95 of 100
At the money IV30.6%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.84
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price10,800 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price9,060 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 35.2% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among HSY's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, HSY options priced a move of 8.5 percent down and 10.9 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202644.7%3.4%156.69 to 169.92
9 Oct 2026115.2%5.5%155.92 to 173.48
23 Oct 2026258.4%8.7%150.61 to 178.71
30 Oct 2026328.5%10.9%150.51 to 182.41
20 Nov 20265312.2%12.9%144.41 to 185.61
18 Dec 20268114.1%15.8%141.21 to 190.41
19 Feb 202714417.8%18.1%135.11 to 194.21

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 164.41, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, HSY's call wall is the 175 strike and its put wall is the 165 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma175
Put wall, most open put gamma165
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign172.39
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $1.64 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$7.78 million
Close164.41

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, HSY's at the money IV is 30.6 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 14.2 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV30.6%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days14.2%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days22.2%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record860, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move29.4% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, HSY's at the money IV runs from 32.0 percent at 4 days to 30.5 percent at 144 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
432.0%
1128.6%
1827.9%
2528.8%
3940.5%
5335.8%
8132.5%
14430.5%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, HSY's IV ten percent below the price sits 4.0 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price34.6%+4.0 points
At the money30.6%0.0 points
10% above the price35.7%+5.1 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, HSY's surface spans 10 expiries out to 144 days, with IV from 25.1 to 57.7 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Feb 2027, 144 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more71
Lowest IV among them25.1%
Highest IV among them57.7%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, HSY has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Feb 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026432.0%471447
9 Oct 20261128.6%222426
16 Oct 20261827.9%1,2111,547
23 Oct 20262528.8%78116
30 Oct 20263230.6%11042
6 Nov 20263940.5%710
20 Nov 20265335.8%2,6062,920
18 Dec 20268132.5%1,4261,188
15 Jan 202710932.1%4,1291,818
19 Feb 202714430.5%520548

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, HSY's largest open interest sits at the 170 strike, with 2,171 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
1706421,5292,171
2101,7301561,886
1652611,5741,835
1758536101,463
1809744661,440
1601661,1081,274

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, HSY's at the money IV moved from 29.9 percent to 30.6 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV29.9%30.6%+0.8 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price22,51219,842-2,670
Put/call ratio, open interest0.880.84-0.03

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 3,031 HSY option contracts traded, 1.2 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded1,615
Puts traded1,416
Against its recent average1.2 times
Busier than12 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain26,061 contracts
Volume to open interest0.12
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of HSY's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026181.98$4.67 million185180
21 Sep 2026167.90minus $1.71 million175165
28 Sep 2026164.41minus $1.64 million175165

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of HSY was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close166.69, the swing high of 18 Sep 2026
Level below the close164.31, the swing low of 28 Sep 2026
Strategy familyIron condor (sell both sides, defined risk)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 HSY sat at the 60th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days19 of 100Bearish
20 trading days18 of 100Bearish
45 trading days60 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 HSY's near timeframes were bearish and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBearish2 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Timeframe Agreement in RingMasterThe Timeframe Agreement guide

Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 HSY had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None60 of 100
24 Sep 2026None45 of 100
23 Sep 2026None52 of 100
22 Sep 2026None48 of 100
21 Sep 2026None40 of 100
18 Sep 2026None47 of 100
17 Sep 2026None45 of 100
16 Sep 2026None54 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 9 of 50 Consumer Staples names were bullish and 22 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Consumer Staples5092219

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

HSY closed at 164.41 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close164.41
Change over 5 trading days-2.1%
Change over 21 trading days-9.3%
Change over 63 trading days-9.5%
Change over 252 trading days-11.3%
52 week high239.48
52 week low161.43
20 day moving average171.32
50 day moving average177.18
200 day moving average191.41
RSI, 14 days30

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

HSY reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

FigureValue
Next report5 Nov 2026, before the open
DateConfirmed by the company
Move after the report of 30 Jul 2026-3.6%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026-1.8%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026-0.8%
Move after the report of 1 May 2025-0.0%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 51.5 percent of HSY's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep51.5%
Five day average51.8%
52 week median60.8%

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, HSY's average change was minus 0.2 percent, and it rose in 43.5 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-0.2%-0.7%43.5%23
October-0.4%-2.7%43.5%23
November+0.0%+0.3%56.5%23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 4 headlines naming HSY in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window4
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is HSY's IV rank?
HSY's IV rank is 95 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are HSY options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, HSY options priced a move of 8.5 percent down and 10.9 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are HSY's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, HSY's call wall is the 175 strike and its put wall is the 165 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of HSY on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of HSY was neutral, paper trading.
When does HSY report earnings next?
HSY reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

More Consumer Staples names

Guides and the full list

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