Information Technology

Intel (INTC) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

INTC is Intel, an Information Technology name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
Trade CardLong straddle, 30 Oct25 Sep
IV rank99 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV72.3%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct20.7% down, 22.1% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall120 and 11028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close116.0328 Sep
Next report22 Oct 202628 Sep

Trade Cards

On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for INTC was a long straddle expiring 30 Oct 2026, paper trading.

FigureValue
SignalNeutral
StrategyLong straddle, debit
LegsBuy the 116 call, Buy the 116 put
Expiry30 Oct 2026, 35 days to expiry
LimitA debit of at most $22.28
Probability of profit39%, the option market's odds at expiry, from delta
Max loss$2,228 per contract
Breakeven93.72 and 138.28
IV rank at that expiry99 of 100

Probability of profit is the option market's own odds from delta, not the model's.

Priced on the option chain at the close on 25 Sep 2026.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Options Snapshot

INTC's IV rank is 99 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank99 of 100
At the money IV72.3%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.55
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price1.08 million contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price595,000 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyTight, 2.2% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among INTC's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, INTC options priced a move of 20.7 percent down and 22.1 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
30 Sep 202624.4%4.4%110.90 to 121.19
2 Oct 202646.8%7.0%108.19 to 124.21
7 Oct 202699.4%9.6%105.13 to 127.13
16 Oct 20261813.6%14.3%100.23 to 132.63
23 Oct 20262518.1%19.3%95.03 to 138.43
30 Oct 20263220.7%22.1%92.03 to 141.73
18 Dec 20268129.9%32.5%81.33 to 153.73

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 116.03, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, INTC's call wall is the 120 strike and its put wall is the 110 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma120
Put wall, most open put gamma110
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$96.2 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$283.97 million
Close116.03

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 6 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, INTC's at the money IV is 72.3 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 73.5 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV72.3%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days73.5%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days73.7%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record865, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move33.7% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, INTC's at the money IV runs from 58.0 percent at 2 days to 66.7 percent at 81 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
258.0%
464.9%
757.8%
1163.4%
1862.8%
3272.3%
3970.7%
8166.7%

Far expiries price more volatility than near ones, an upward sloping term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, INTC's IV ten percent below the price sits 0.9 points below at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price71.3%-0.9 points
At the money72.3%0.0 points
10% above the price73.4%+1.1 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, INTC's surface spans 11 expiries out to 81 days, with IV from 56.4 to 73.7 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured11
Nearest expiry30 Sep 2026, 2 days
Farthest expiry18 Dec 2026, 81 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more169
Lowest IV among them56.4%
Highest IV among them73.7%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, INTC has 11 captured expiries, from 30 Sep 2026 to 18 Dec 2026.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
30 Sep 2026258.0%31,82716,185
2 Oct 2026464.9%108,81252,807
5 Oct 2026757.8%3,9273,678
7 Oct 2026961.9%1,013658
9 Oct 20261163.4%30,21422,365
16 Oct 20261862.8%213,21092,740
23 Oct 20262572.1%19,36613,623
30 Oct 20263272.3%32,13313,540
6 Nov 20263970.7%9581,934
18 Dec 20268166.7%260,278181,858

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, INTC's largest open interest sits at the 70 strike, with 140,700 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
70106,80033,900140,700
11091,67445,830137,504
130127,6408,816136,456
12094,22325,863120,086
10051,33854,723106,061
12569,15216,15685,308

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, INTC's at the money IV moved from 71.1 percent to 72.3 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV71.1%72.3%+1.2 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price1.82 million1.68 million-144,101
Put/call ratio, open interest0.490.55+0.06

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 751,232 INTC option contracts traded, 0.9 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded483,482
Puts traded267,750
Against its recent average0.9 times
Busier than16 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain4.87 million contracts
Volume to open interest0.15
Unusual volume flagYes, 63 contracts traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contractThe 105 put expiring 16 Apr, 10,994 traded against 165 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of INTC's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202697.71$14.01 million10095
21 Sep 2026121.78$155.87 million110100
28 Sep 2026116.03$96.2 million120110

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of INTC was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close124.73, the swing high of 21 Sep 2026
Level below the close94.52, the swing low of 14 Sep 2026
Strategy familyLong straddle (buy a call and a put at the same strike)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 INTC sat at the 22nd percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days74 of 100Neutral
20 trading days22 of 100Neutral
45 trading days22 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 INTC's near timeframes were neutral and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 INTC had carried no signal for 2 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None22 of 100
24 Sep 2026None15 of 100
23 Sep 2026Bearish3 of 100
22 Sep 2026Bearish2 of 100
21 Sep 2026None13 of 100
18 Sep 2026None20 of 100
17 Sep 2026None35 of 100
16 Sep 2026None13 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 80 of 187 Information Technology names were bullish and 61 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Information Technology187806146

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

INTC closed at 116.03 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close116.03
Change over 5 trading days-4.7%
Change over 21 trading days+26.0%
Change over 63 trading days-11.9%
Change over 252 trading days+241.4%
52 week high142.35
52 week low32.89
20 day moving average105.87
50 day moving average99.47
200 day moving average79.58
RSI, 14 days58

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

INTC reports next on 22 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report22 Oct 2026, after the close
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 23 Jul 2026-7.9%
Move after the report of 23 Apr 2026+23.6%
Move after the report of 22 Jan 2026-17.0%
Move after the report of 23 Oct 2025+0.3%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

2 of the 10 fund managers the desk tracks list INTC among the top holdings of their latest quarterly report.

Fund manager
Renaissance Technologies
Tiger Global

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 59.8 percent of INTC's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep59.8%
Five day average51.3%
52 week median43.4%
Short interest, share of shares outstanding3.1% at the 15 Sep 2026 settlement
Days to cover1.8

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 36 Septembers on record, INTC's average change was minus 0.7 percent, and it rose in 50.0 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-0.7%-0.0%50.0%36
October+3.8%+3.9%63.9%36
November+4.0%+1.6%72.2%36

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 6 headlines naming INTC in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window6
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is INTC's IV rank?
INTC's IV rank is 99 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are INTC options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, INTC options priced a move of 20.7 percent down and 22.1 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are INTC's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, INTC's call wall is the 120 strike and its put wall is the 110 strike.
What was the latest Trade Card for INTC on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for INTC was a long straddle expiring 30 Oct 2026, paper trading.
When does INTC report earnings next?
INTC reports next on 22 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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