Industrials

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

LUNR is Intuitive Machines, Inc., an Industrials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank16 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV82.0%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct22.8% down, 24.3% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wallBoth 2028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close15.2028 Sep
Next report10 Nov 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

LUNR's IV rank is 16 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank16 of 100
At the money IV82.0%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.80
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price102,000 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price81,400 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 23.6% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among LUNR's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, LUNR options priced a move of 22.8 percent down and 24.3 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202648.8%9.1%13.87 to 16.58
9 Oct 20261113.0%14.1%13.22 to 17.35
23 Oct 20262521.0%21.6%12.01 to 18.49
30 Oct 20263222.8%24.3%11.73 to 18.89
20 Nov 20265332.6%35.3%10.25 to 20.56
18 Dec 20268139.5%43.7%9.20 to 21.84
19 Mar 202717258.5%66.4%6.31 to 25.30

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 15.20, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, LUNR's call wall and put wall are both at the 20 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma20
Put wall, most open put gamma20
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$304,733
Total dollar gamma, both sides$2.67 million
Close15.20

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 7 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, LUNR's at the money IV is 82.0 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 71.8 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV82.0%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days71.8%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days78.7%
IV against its own weekly recordLow, in the bottom fifth
Weekly readings on record108, from 1 Mar 2024
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move23.4% of 107 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, LUNR's at the money IV runs from 84.8 percent at 4 days to 93.5 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
484.8%
1181.6%
1880.6%
2580.9%
3988.5%
5389.4%
8189.5%
17293.5%

Far expiries price more volatility than near ones, an upward sloping term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, LUNR's IV ten percent below the price sits 0.2 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price82.2%+0.2 points
At the money82.0%0.0 points
10% above the price81.4%-0.6 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, LUNR's surface spans 10 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 76.8 to 92.5 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more40
Lowest IV among them76.8%
Highest IV among them92.5%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, LUNR has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026484.8%8,1846,537
9 Oct 20261181.6%5,9822,458
16 Oct 20261880.6%13,7469,019
23 Oct 20262580.9%2,570917
30 Oct 20263282.0%1,6752,020
6 Nov 20263988.5%4015
20 Nov 20265389.4%2,558808
18 Dec 20268189.5%15,5479,289
15 Jan 202710988.7%46,73846,724
19 Mar 202717293.5%5,0283,591

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, LUNR's largest open interest sits at the 20 strike, with 48,026 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
2022,23225,79448,026
107,8496,26614,115
123,65110,25213,903
156,8104,62111,431
177,1332,5569,689
185,7221,9077,629

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, LUNR's at the money IV moved from 76.5 percent to 82.0 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV76.5%82.0%+5.4 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price179,291183,446+4,155
Put/call ratio, open interest0.810.80-0.01

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 29,399 LUNR option contracts traded, 1.3 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded13,946
Puts traded15,453
Against its recent average1.3 times
Busier than19 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain229,574 contracts
Volume to open interest0.13
Unusual volume flagYes, 4 contracts traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contractThe 15.5 put expiring 2 Oct, 8,480 traded against 178 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of LUNR's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202616.48$451,5141818
21 Sep 202615.72$229,0681614
28 Sep 202615.20$304,7332020

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of LUNR was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close16.03, the swing high of 9 Sep 2026
Level below the close14.87, the swing low of 24 Sep 2026
Strategy familyLong straddle (buy a call and a put at the same strike)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 LUNR sat at the 20th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days64 of 100Neutral
20 trading days32 of 100Neutral
45 trading days20 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 LUNR's near timeframes were neutral and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 LUNR had carried no signal for 12 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None20 of 100
24 Sep 2026None35 of 100
23 Sep 2026None11 of 100
22 Sep 2026None14 of 100
21 Sep 2026None66 of 100
18 Sep 2026None72 of 100
17 Sep 2026None39 of 100
16 Sep 2026None28 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 51 of 147 Industrials names were bullish and 37 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Industrials147513759

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

LUNR closed at 15.20 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close15.20
Change over 5 trading days-3.3%
Change over 21 trading days-6.1%
Change over 63 trading days-27.5%
Change over 252 trading days+50.5%
52 week high46.75
52 week low7.78
20 day moving average14.90
50 day moving average15.25
200 day moving average20.17
RSI, 14 days49

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

LUNR reports next on 10 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report10 Nov 2026, before the open
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 13 Aug 2026+3.6%
Move after the report of 14 May 2026-7.2%
Move after the report of 13 Feb 2026+3.0%
Move after the report of 13 Nov 2025+10.1%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 3 Septembers on record, LUNR's average change was plus 19.5 percent, and it rose in 66.7 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+19.5%+19.9%66.7%3
October-1.8%-1.3%50.0%4
November+21.3%-2.0%50.0%4

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 1 headline naming LUNR in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window1
Latest26 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is LUNR's IV rank?
LUNR's IV rank is 16 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are LUNR options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, LUNR options priced a move of 22.8 percent down and 24.3 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are LUNR's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, LUNR's call wall and put wall are both at the 20 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of LUNR on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of LUNR was neutral, paper trading.
When does LUNR report earnings next?
LUNR reports next on 10 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

More Industrials names

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