Materials

LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

LYB is LyondellBasell Industries NV, a Materials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank88 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV44.2%28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct9.3% down, 10.4% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall65 and 6028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bearish25 Sep
Last close58.2728 Sep
Next report30 Oct 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

LYB's IV rank is 88 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank88 of 100
At the money IV44.2%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest2.08
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price28,700 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price59,800 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 15.5% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among LYB's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, LYB options priced a move of 9.3 percent down and 10.4 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 2026189.3%10.4%52.87 to 64.34
20 Nov 20265316.5%18.2%48.65 to 68.87
18 Dec 20268120.9%21.6%46.07 to 70.87
15 Jan 202710922.8%24.2%44.97 to 72.37
19 Mar 202717229.7%30.7%40.97 to 76.17

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 58.27, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, LYB's call wall is the 65 strike and its put wall is the 60 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma65
Put wall, most open put gamma60
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign64.84
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $3.79 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$8.32 million
Close58.27

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, LYB's at the money IV is 44.2 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 32.5 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV44.2%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days32.5%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days35.3%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record824, from 22 Oct 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move25.8% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, LYB's at the money IV runs from 44.2 percent at 18 days to 44.8 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1844.2%
5345.1%
8146.4%
10945.6%
17244.8%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, LYB's IV ten percent below the price sits 0.5 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price45.6%+0.5 points
At the money45.1%0.0 points
10% above the price44.9%-0.1 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, LYB's surface spans 5 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 43.3 to 72.4 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured5
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more25
Lowest IV among them43.3%
Highest IV among them72.4%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, LYB has 5 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261844.2%6,23613,843
20 Nov 20265345.1%820502
18 Dec 20268146.4%6,9163,891
15 Jan 202710945.6%11,04723,575
19 Mar 202717244.8%3,63618,001

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, LYB's largest open interest sits at the 60 strike, with 24,984 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
602,13922,84524,984
654,4564,7039,159
551,3427,4188,760
62.51,8416,1618,002
452385,0395,277
704,6193915,010

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, LYB's at the money IV moved from 41.7 percent to 44.2 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV41.7%44.2%+2.5 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price88,25488,467+213
Put/call ratio, open interest2.092.09+0.00

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 3,632 LYB option contracts traded, 0.5 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded1,254
Puts traded2,378
Against its recent average0.5 times
Busier than2 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain93,133 contracts
Volume to open interest0.04
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of LYB's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202663.98minus $572,1956560
21 Sep 202660.24minus $5.58 million7055
28 Sep 202658.27minus $3.79 million6560

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of LYB was bearish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBearish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close59.04, the swing high of 22 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
Level below the close51.98, the swing low of 1 Jul 2026
The chartSits with the view
Strategy familyBear call spread (sell a call spread above the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 LYB sat at the 11th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days11 of 100Bearish
20 trading days19 of 100Bearish
45 trading days11 of 100Bearish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 3 of 3 timeframes put LYB on the bearish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBearish2 of 2
Long45 dayBearish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 LYB had carried no signal for 14 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None11 of 100
24 Sep 2026None13 of 100
23 Sep 2026None30 of 100
22 Sep 2026None22 of 100
21 Sep 2026None11 of 100
18 Sep 2026None17 of 100
17 Sep 2026None8 of 100
16 Sep 2026None15 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Signal History in RingMasterThe Signal History guide

Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 35 of 62 Materials names were bullish and 11 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Materials62351116

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

LYB closed at 58.27 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close58.27
Change over 5 trading days-3.3%
Change over 21 trading days-7.6%
Change over 63 trading days+8.7%
Change over 252 trading days+19.0%
52 week high83.94
52 week low41.58
20 day moving average62.87
50 day moving average62.60
200 day moving average61.77
RSI, 14 days36

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

LYB reports next on 30 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

FigureValue
Next report30 Oct 2026, before the open
DateConfirmed by the company
Move after the report of 31 Jul 2026+2.7%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026+0.5%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026-1.0%
Move after the report of 25 Apr 2025+0.3%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 63.8 percent of LYB's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep63.8%
Five day average59.5%
52 week median57.0%

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 16 Septembers on record, LYB's average change was minus 1.2 percent, and it rose in 43.8 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-1.2%-2.6%43.8%16
October+1.0%-0.4%50.0%16
November+3.5%+3.5%73.3%15

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is LYB's IV rank?
LYB's IV rank is 88 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are LYB options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, LYB options priced a move of 9.3 percent down and 10.4 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are LYB's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, LYB's call wall is the 65 strike and its put wall is the 60 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of LYB on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of LYB was bearish, paper trading.
When does LYB report earnings next?
LYB reports next on 30 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

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