Industrials

Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

NOC is Northrop Grumman Corp, an Industrials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank96 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV33.9%28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct7.2% down, 6.8% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall520 and 53028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close505.8028 Sep
Next report20 Oct 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

NOC's IV rank is 96 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank96 of 100
At the money IV33.9%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest1.42
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price7,110 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price10,100 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 38.8% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among NOC's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, NOC options priced a move of 7.2 percent down and 6.8 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 2026187.2%6.8%469.50 to 540.40
20 Nov 20265312.8%14.3%441.20 to 578.30
18 Dec 20268114.1%14.9%434.60 to 581.30
15 Jan 202710916.7%18.1%421.10 to 597.50
19 Feb 202714418.9%33.4%410.00 to 674.80
19 Mar 202717220.8%22.7%400.80 to 620.80

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 505.80, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, NOC's call wall is the 520 strike and its put wall is the 530 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma520
Put wall, most open put gamma530
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $5.28 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$20.9 million
Close505.80

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 3 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, NOC's at the money IV is 33.9 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 19.9 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV33.9%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days19.9%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days23.2%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record865, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move27.8% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, NOC's at the money IV runs from 33.9 percent at 18 days to 32.6 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1833.9%
5337.1%
8132.5%
10930.0%
14429.6%
17232.6%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, NOC's IV ten percent below the price sits 2.4 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price39.6%+2.4 points
At the money37.1%0.0 points
10% above the price37.4%+0.2 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, NOC's surface spans 6 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 3.1 to 76.7 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured6
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more99
Lowest IV among them3.1%
Highest IV among them76.7%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, NOC has 6 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261833.9%1,9542,120
20 Nov 20265337.1%1,0591,795
18 Dec 20268132.5%7971,430
15 Jan 202710930.0%2,2863,661
19 Feb 202714429.6%156279
19 Mar 202717232.6%862819

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, NOC's largest open interest sits at the 530 strike, with 2,172 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
5302641,9082,172
5001151,0211,136
5206024971,099
40057870927
550353329682
515132547679

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, NOC's at the money IV moved from 31.8 percent to 33.9 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV31.8%33.9%+2.2 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price16,95617,218+262
Put/call ratio, open interest1.421.42+0.00

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 3,690 NOC option contracts traded, 0.9 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded1,645
Puts traded2,045
Against its recent average0.9 times
Busier than1 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain22,542 contracts
Volume to open interest0.16
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of NOC's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026575.69$9.73 million600500
21 Sep 2026526.66minus $3.89 million520530
28 Sep 2026505.80minus $5.28 million520530

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of NOC was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close515.25, the swing high of 11 Sep 2026
Level below the close505.75, the swing low of 22 Sep 2026
Strategy familyIron condor (sell both sides, defined risk)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 NOC sat at the 27th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days14 of 100Bearish
20 trading days19 of 100Bearish
45 trading days27 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 NOC's near timeframes were bearish and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBearish2 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 NOC had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None27 of 100
24 Sep 2026None21 of 100
23 Sep 2026None12 of 100
22 Sep 2026None15 of 100
21 Sep 2026None10 of 100
18 Sep 2026None9 of 100
17 Sep 2026None22 of 100
16 Sep 2026None14 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Signal History in RingMasterThe Signal History guide

Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 51 of 147 Industrials names were bullish and 37 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Industrials147513759

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

NOC closed at 505.80 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close505.80
Change over 5 trading days-4.0%
Change over 21 trading days-7.2%
Change over 63 trading days+2.0%
Change over 252 trading days-13.7%
52 week high774.00
52 week low479.02
20 day moving average521.44
50 day moving average541.06
200 day moving average599.89
RSI, 14 days35

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

NOC reports next on 20 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

FigureValue
Next report20 Oct 2026, before the open
DateConfirmed by the company
Move after the report of 21 Jul 2026-2.2%
Move after the report of 22 Apr 2026-0.3%
Move after the report of 20 Jan 2026+1.0%
Move after the report of 22 Apr 2025-12.7%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 40.3 percent of NOC's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep40.3%
Five day average38.2%
52 week median46.0%

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, NOC's average change was plus 0.4 percent, and it rose in 60.9 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+0.4%+1.4%60.9%23
October+0.9%+2.7%52.2%23
November+0.7%-0.2%47.8%23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 4 headlines naming NOC in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window4
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is NOC's IV rank?
NOC's IV rank is 96 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are NOC options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, NOC options priced a move of 7.2 percent down and 6.8 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are NOC's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, NOC's call wall is the 520 strike and its put wall is the 530 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of NOC on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of NOC was neutral, paper trading.
When does NOC report earnings next?
NOC reports next on 20 Oct 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

More Industrials names

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