Information Technology

NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

NXPI is NXP Semiconductors NV, an Information Technology name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
Trade CardBull put spread, 18 Dec25 Sep
IV rank76 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV46.8%28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct9.9% down, 11.2% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall300 and 23028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bullish25 Sep
Last close236.3228 Sep
Next report26 Oct 202628 Sep

Trade Cards

On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for NXPI was a bull put spread expiring 18 Dec 2026, paper trading.

FigureValue
SignalNeutral
StrategyBull put spread, credit
LegsSell the 220 put, Buy the 190 put
Expiry18 Dec 2026, 84 days to expiry
LimitA credit of at least $7.40
Probability of profit66%, the option market's odds at expiry, from delta
Max loss$2,260 per contract
Max profit$740 per contract
Breakeven212.60
IV rank at that expiry77 of 100

Probability of profit is the option market's own odds from delta, not the model's.

Priced on the option chain at the close on 25 Sep 2026.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Options Snapshot

NXPI's IV rank is 76 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank76 of 100
At the money IV46.8%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.11
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price161,000 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price18,000 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 23.0% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among NXPI's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, NXPI options priced a move of 9.9 percent down and 11.2 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 2026189.9%11.2%212.92 to 262.72
20 Nov 20265318.9%18.5%191.62 to 280.12
18 Dec 20268121.0%22.0%186.72 to 288.32
15 Jan 202710924.6%24.7%178.22 to 294.72
19 Mar 202717229.9%32.8%165.62 to 313.82
16 Apr 202720034.1%36.1%155.62 to 321.62

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 236.32, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, NXPI's call wall is the 300 strike and its put wall is the 230 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma300
Put wall, most open put gamma230
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign221.79
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$29.5 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$41.18 million
Close236.32

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, NXPI's at the money IV is 46.8 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 39.7 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV46.8%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days39.7%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days41.7%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record832, from 20 Aug 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move26.2% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, NXPI's at the money IV runs from 46.8 percent at 18 days to 47.9 percent at 200 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1846.8%
5347.5%
8145.7%
10944.2%
17246.3%
20047.9%

Far expiries price more volatility than near ones, an upward sloping term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, NXPI's IV ten percent below the price sits 1.3 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price48.8%+1.3 points
At the money47.5%0.0 points
10% above the price48.3%+0.8 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, NXPI's surface spans 6 expiries out to 200 days, with IV from 43.3 to 52.4 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured6
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry16 Apr 2027, 200 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more24
Lowest IV among them43.3%
Highest IV among them52.4%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, NXPI has 6 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 16 Apr 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261846.8%7,8505,342
20 Nov 20265347.5%518266
18 Dec 20268145.7%72,6963,734
15 Jan 202710944.2%76,6126,733
19 Mar 202717246.3%3,3081,764
16 Apr 202720047.9%202154

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, NXPI's largest open interest sits at the 350 strike, with 66,207 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
35066,1743366,207
30036,88923937,128
32012,42783213,259
2908,5972548,851
3307,838777,915
3406,338346,372

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, NXPI's at the money IV moved from 44.9 percent to 46.8 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV44.9%46.8%+1.9 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price179,302179,179-123
Put/call ratio, open interest0.110.11-0.00

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 2,148 NXPI option contracts traded, 0.6 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded1,077
Puts traded1,071
Against its recent average0.6 times
Busier than0 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain183,838 contracts
Volume to open interest0.01
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of NXPI's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 2026236.38minus $5.96 million260240
21 Sep 2026232.41$1.8 million240210
28 Sep 2026236.32$29.5 million300230

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of NXPI was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close238.60, the swing high of 11 Sep 2026
Level below the close229.36, the swing low of 24 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyBull put spread (sell a put spread below the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 NXPI sat at the 95th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days76 of 100Neutral
20 trading days96 of 100Bullish
45 trading days95 of 100Bullish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 2 of 3 timeframes put NXPI on the bullish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBullish1 of 2
Long45 dayBullish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 NXPI had carried no signal for 1 trading day, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None95 of 100
24 Sep 2026Bullish99 of 100
23 Sep 2026Bullish96 of 100
22 Sep 2026None78 of 100
21 Sep 2026None82 of 100
18 Sep 2026None88 of 100
17 Sep 2026None93 of 100
16 Sep 2026Bullish95 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 80 of 187 Information Technology names were bullish and 61 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Information Technology187806146

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

NXPI closed at 236.32 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close236.32
Change over 5 trading days+1.7%
Change over 21 trading days+4.6%
Change over 63 trading days-15.1%
Change over 252 trading days+4.2%
52 week high339.95
52 week low183.00
20 day moving average228.71
50 day moving average235.43
200 day moving average245.53
RSI, 14 days54

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

NXPI reports next on 26 Oct 2026, and options priced an earnings move of 14.0 percent through 20 Nov 2026.

FigureValue
Next report26 Oct 2026, after the close
DateConfirmed by the company
Priced earnings move14.0%, a straddle of $33.10 at the 240 strike, expiring 20 Nov 2026
Move after the report of 28 Jul 2026-7.0%
Move after the report of 28 Apr 2026+25.6%
Move after the report of 26 Jan 2026-0.7%
Move after the report of 28 Apr 2025-6.9%

The priced earnings move is the straddle's cost over the share price. It restates option prices and says nothing certain about the report.

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

The filings the desk holds carry 1 recent trade in NXPI shares.

FiledWhoTradeSize
10 Sep 2026. Gilbert Cisneros, member of CongressSold part$1,001 to $15,000

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 46.8 percent of NXPI's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep46.8%
Five day average57.6%
52 week median52.9%
Short interest, share of shares outstanding2.9% at the 15 Sep 2026 settlement
Days to cover2.2

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 16 Septembers on record, NXPI's average change was minus 0.6 percent, and it rose in 43.8 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-0.6%-0.4%43.8%16
October+0.8%-0.3%50.0%16
November+5.7%+1.3%62.5%16

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 5 headlines naming NXPI in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window5
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is NXPI's IV rank?
NXPI's IV rank is 76 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are NXPI options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, NXPI options priced a move of 9.9 percent down and 11.2 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are NXPI's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, NXPI's call wall is the 300 strike and its put wall is the 230 strike.
What was the latest Trade Card for NXPI on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for NXPI was a bull put spread expiring 18 Dec 2026, paper trading.
When does NXPI report earnings next?
NXPI reports next on 26 Oct 2026, and options priced an earnings move of 14.0 percent through 20 Nov 2026.

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