Materials

Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

PAAS is Pan American Silver Corp., a Materials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank81 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV53.4%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct15.1% down, 15.3% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall55 and 4528 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close45.7728 Sep
Next report16 Nov 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

PAAS's IV rank is 81 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank81 of 100
At the money IV53.4%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.49
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price102,000 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price49,500 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 23.4% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among PAAS's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, PAAS options priced a move of 15.1 percent down and 15.3 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202645.7%5.3%43.14 to 48.18
9 Oct 2026119.8%8.8%41.29 to 49.79
23 Oct 20262512.9%13.3%39.86 to 51.86
30 Oct 20263215.1%15.3%38.85 to 52.78
20 Nov 20265320.0%19.9%36.62 to 54.90
15 Jan 202710928.0%28.6%32.97 to 58.87
16 Apr 202720038.5%38.5%28.17 to 63.37

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 45.77, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, PAAS's call wall is the 55 strike and its put wall is the 45 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma55
Put wall, most open put gamma45
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$1.74 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$9.43 million
Close45.77

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 3 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, PAAS's at the money IV is 53.4 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 48.1 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV53.4%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days48.1%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days52.4%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record849, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move29.2% of 236 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, PAAS's at the money IV runs from 53.0 percent at 4 days to 52.1 percent at 200 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
453.0%
1152.2%
1850.7%
2552.0%
3953.5%
5351.6%
10951.9%
20052.1%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, PAAS's IV ten percent below the price sits 1.7 points below at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price51.8%-1.7 points
At the money53.4%0.0 points
10% above the price56.1%+2.7 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, PAAS's surface spans 10 expiries out to 200 days, with IV from 48.2 to 57.5 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry16 Apr 2027, 200 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more81
Lowest IV among them48.2%
Highest IV among them57.5%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, PAAS has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 16 Apr 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026453.0%1,9151,114
9 Oct 20261152.2%649403
16 Oct 20261850.7%19,46811,567
23 Oct 20262552.0%511415
30 Oct 20263253.4%2,049690
6 Nov 20263953.5%1310
20 Nov 20265351.6%10,68616,756
15 Jan 202710951.9%58,92615,547
19 Mar 202717251.9%6,6412,789
16 Apr 202720052.1%1,019187

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, PAAS's largest open interest sits at the 60 strike, with 29,328 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
6026,7362,59229,328
5521,4573,83325,290
5011,2149,71920,933
455,69610,14015,836
405,9664,51310,479
354,3783,4127,790

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, PAAS's at the money IV moved from 48.2 percent to 53.4 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV48.2%53.4%+5.2 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price163,626151,355-12,271
Put/call ratio, open interest0.420.49+0.06

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 7,604 PAAS option contracts traded, 1.0 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded4,395
Puts traded3,209
Against its recent average1.0 times
Busier than10 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain187,985 contracts
Volume to open interest0.04
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of PAAS's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202651.79$3.83 million5550
21 Sep 202648.75$558,5745550
28 Sep 202645.77$1.74 million5545

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of PAAS was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close46.74, the swing high of 16 Sep 2026
Level below the close40.76, the swing low of 17 Jul 2026
Strategy familyIron condor (sell both sides, defined risk)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 PAAS sat at the 58th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days69 of 100Neutral
20 trading days81 of 100Bullish
45 trading days58 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 PAAS's near timeframes were bullish and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBullish1 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 PAAS had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None58 of 100
24 Sep 2026None71 of 100
23 Sep 2026None54 of 100
22 Sep 2026None50 of 100
21 Sep 2026None56 of 100
18 Sep 2026None57 of 100
17 Sep 2026None61 of 100
16 Sep 2026None41 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 35 of 62 Materials names were bullish and 11 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Materials62351116

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

PAAS closed at 45.77 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close45.77
Change over 5 trading days-6.1%
Change over 21 trading days-16.6%
Change over 63 trading days+2.5%
Change over 252 trading days+24.4%
52 week high69.99
52 week low33.08
20 day moving average49.78
50 day moving average48.76
200 day moving average52.86
RSI, 14 days40

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

PAAS reports next on 16 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report16 Nov 2026
DateWorked out from past quarters

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, PAAS's average change was minus 1.6 percent, and it rose in 43.5 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-1.6%-8.4%43.5%23
October-0.1%+0.7%56.5%23
November+5.4%+2.6%60.9%23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 2 headlines naming PAAS in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window2
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is PAAS's IV rank?
PAAS's IV rank is 81 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are PAAS options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, PAAS options priced a move of 15.1 percent down and 15.3 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are PAAS's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, PAAS's call wall is the 55 strike and its put wall is the 45 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of PAAS on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of PAAS was neutral, paper trading.
When does PAAS report earnings next?
PAAS reports next on 16 Nov 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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