Information Technology

Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

AMBA is Ambarella, Inc., an Information Technology name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank93 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV74.4%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct20.1% down, 22.3% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall70 and 6028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bullish25 Sep
Last close68.6828 Sep
Next report1 Dec 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

AMBA's IV rank is 93 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank93 of 100
At the money IV74.4%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.67
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price37,300 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price24,900 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyWide, 56.8% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among AMBA's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, AMBA options priced a move of 20.1 percent down and 22.3 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202645.9%8.4%64.62 to 74.45
9 Oct 20261110.4%10.8%61.52 to 76.09
23 Oct 20262516.5%17.8%57.38 to 80.88
30 Oct 20263220.1%22.3%54.88 to 83.98
20 Nov 20265323.3%24.9%52.68 to 85.78
18 Dec 20268131.2%33.8%47.28 to 91.88
19 Feb 202714436.5%39.9%43.58 to 96.08

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 68.68, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, AMBA's call wall is the 70 strike and its put wall is the 60 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma70
Put wall, most open put gamma60
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$1.86 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$7.07 million
Close68.68

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 7 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, AMBA's at the money IV is 74.4 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 60.4 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV74.4%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days60.4%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days70.1%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record678, from 19 Apr 2013
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move28.4% of 236 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, AMBA's at the money IV runs from 64.2 percent at 4 days to 61.7 percent at 144 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
464.2%
1161.0%
1863.5%
2567.6%
3971.8%
5368.9%
8169.2%
14461.7%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, AMBA's IV ten percent below the price sits 6.1 points below at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price68.3%-6.1 points
At the money74.4%0.0 points
10% above the price74.1%-0.3 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, AMBA's surface spans 10 expiries out to 144 days, with IV from 58.5 to 75.4 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Feb 2027, 144 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more82
Lowest IV among them58.5%
Highest IV among them75.4%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, AMBA has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Feb 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026464.2%6,5803,212
9 Oct 20261161.0%6881,052
16 Oct 20261863.5%8,4454,694
23 Oct 20262567.6%286451
30 Oct 20263274.4%135106
6 Nov 20263971.8%38
20 Nov 20265368.9%7,4032,689
18 Dec 20268169.2%6,84110,619
15 Jan 202710963.2%5,4531,663
19 Feb 202714461.7%1,458390

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, AMBA's largest open interest sits at the 70 strike, with 11,482 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
705,9935,48911,482
908,157668,223
603687,2177,585
754,0081804,188
803,766553,821
651,1671,6212,788

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, AMBA's at the money IV moved from 74.7 percent to 74.4 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV74.7%74.4%-0.3 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price60,54762,176+1,629
Put/call ratio, open interest0.660.67+0.00

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 7,687 AMBA option contracts traded, 0.9 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded5,309
Puts traded2,378
Against its recent average0.9 times
Open interest, whole chain65,175 contracts
Volume to open interest0.12
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 17 trading days of AMBA's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202682.89$1.09 million9080
27 Aug 202671.16minus $799,5148569
28 Sep 202668.68$1.86 million7060

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of AMBA was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close71.24, the swing high of 9 Sep 2026
Level below the close63.65, the swing low of 23 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyCash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 AMBA sat at the 78th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days43 of 100Neutral
20 trading days45 of 100Neutral
45 trading days78 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Rank by Timeframe in RingMasterThe Rank by Timeframe guide

Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 AMBA's near timeframes were neutral and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Timeframe Agreement in RingMasterThe Timeframe Agreement guide

Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 AMBA had carried no signal for at least 5 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None78 of 100
24 Sep 2026None53 of 100
23 Sep 2026None26 of 100
22 Sep 2026None18 of 100
21 Sep 2026None40 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Signal History in RingMasterThe Signal History guide

Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 80 of 187 Information Technology names were bullish and 61 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Information Technology187806146

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

AMBA closed at 68.68 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close68.68
Change over 5 trading days-0.2%
Change over 21 trading days-3.5%
Change over 63 trading days+2.5%
Change over 252 trading days-17.6%
52 week high96.69
52 week low48.30
20 day moving average66.88
50 day moving average72.09
200 day moving average68.27
RSI, 14 days49

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

AMBA reports next on 1 Dec 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report1 Dec 2026
DateWorked out from past quarters

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 13 Septembers on record, AMBA's average change was plus 3.2 percent, and it rose in 53.8 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+3.2%+0.1%53.8%13
October-2.0%-0.4%46.2%13
November+15.9%+20.7%76.9%13

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is AMBA's IV rank?
AMBA's IV rank is 93 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are AMBA options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, AMBA options priced a move of 20.1 percent down and 22.3 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are AMBA's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, AMBA's call wall is the 70 strike and its put wall is the 60 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of AMBA on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of AMBA was bullish, paper trading.
When does AMBA report earnings next?
AMBA reports next on 1 Dec 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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