Unclassified

ARCC options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
Priced move to 16 Oct4.0% down, 4.0% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall20 and 1928 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bullish25 Sep

Options Snapshot

ARCC's at the money implied volatility is 17.9 percent on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rankNot stated, 0 weeks of record
At the money IV17.9%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest1.02
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price43,800 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price44,800 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 38.6% of the option's mid price

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, ARCC options priced a move of 4.0 percent down and 4.0 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 2026184.0%4.0%18.37 to 19.89
20 Nov 2026538.1%6.6%17.59 to 20.40
18 Dec 20268113.6%8.2%16.52 to 20.70
15 Jan 202710913.7%8.9%16.51 to 20.84
19 Mar 202717219.5%14.4%15.40 to 21.89

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 19.13, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

Thin quote at that expiry; its neighbours' reading stands in.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, ARCC's call wall is the 20 strike and its put wall is the 19 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma20
Put wall, most open put gamma19
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$854,548
Total dollar gamma, both sides$4.72 million
Close19.13

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 2 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, ARCC's at the money IV runs from 17.9 percent at 18 days to 21.0 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1817.9%
5321.6%
8121.5%
10922.4%
17221.0%

Far expiries price more volatility than near ones, an upward sloping term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, ARCC's IV ten percent below the price sits 4.0 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price25.6%+4.0 points
At the money21.6%0.0 points
10% above the price17.4%-4.2 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, ARCC's surface spans 5 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 17.4 to 50.5 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured5
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more20
Lowest IV among them17.4%
Highest IV among them50.5%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, ARCC has 5 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261817.9%3,4323,227
20 Nov 20265321.6%1,9021,399
18 Dec 20268121.5%11,07511,081
15 Jan 202710922.4%25,15825,682
19 Mar 202717221.0%2,2633,416

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, ARCC's largest open interest sits at the 20 strike, with 24,684 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
2021,7292,95524,684
193,8847,45311,337
2210,06161610,677
15279,7869,813
1618,1828,183
184947,4227,916

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 2,737 ARCC option contracts traded.

FigureValue
Calls traded659
Puts traded2,078
Open interest, whole chain104,585 contracts
Volume to open interest0.03
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of ARCC was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Strategy familyBull call spread (buy a call spread)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 ARCC sat at the 91st percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days54 of 100Neutral
20 trading days83 of 100Bullish
45 trading days91 of 100Bullish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 2 of 3 timeframes put ARCC on the bullish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBullish1 of 2
Long45 dayBullish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 ARCC had carried no signal for 1 trading day, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None91 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

Open Signal History in RingMasterThe Signal History guide

Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 4 of 6 Unclassified names were bullish and 1 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Unclassified6411

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Questions

What is ARCC's IV rank?
ARCC's at the money implied volatility is 17.9 percent on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are ARCC options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, ARCC options priced a move of 4.0 percent down and 4.0 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are ARCC's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, ARCC's call wall is the 20 strike and its put wall is the 19 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of ARCC on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of ARCC was bullish, paper trading.

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