Consumer Staples

British American Tobacco p.l.c. (BTI) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

BTI is British American Tobacco p.l.c., a Consumer Staples name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank75 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV26.6%28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct5.9% down, 5.7% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall60 and 5528 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close56.0528 Sep

Options Snapshot

BTI's IV rank is 75 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank75 of 100
At the money IV26.6%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.52
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price33,300 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price17,200 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 21.1% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among BTI's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, BTI options priced a move of 5.9 percent down and 5.7 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 2026185.9%5.7%52.74 to 59.22
20 Nov 2026539.0%8.5%50.98 to 60.80
18 Dec 20268111.7%11.5%49.50 to 62.49
15 Jan 202710913.5%12.5%48.46 to 63.06
19 Mar 202717217.3%16.4%46.38 to 65.24

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 56.05, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, BTI's call wall is the 60 strike and its put wall is the 55 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma60
Put wall, most open put gamma55
Flip strike, where net gamma changes sign48.23
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$2.08 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$5.89 million
Close56.05

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, BTI's at the money IV is 26.6 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 17.8 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV26.6%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days17.8%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days27.0%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record826, from 19 Mar 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move27.5% of 236 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, BTI's at the money IV runs from 26.6 percent at 18 days to 25.1 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1826.6%
5323.8%
8124.8%
10924.8%
17225.1%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, BTI's IV ten percent below the price sits 5.9 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price29.6%+5.9 points
At the money23.8%0.0 points
10% above the price22.2%-1.5 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, BTI's surface spans 5 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 22.2 to 35.8 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured5
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more10
Lowest IV among them22.2%
Highest IV among them35.8%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, BTI has 5 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261826.6%2,9212,141
20 Nov 20265323.8%490314
18 Dec 20268124.8%10,3274,686
15 Jan 202710924.8%16,9678,614
19 Mar 202717225.1%2,5511,401

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, BTI's largest open interest sits at the 55 strike, with 9,874 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
555,3784,4969,874
607,3671,7209,087
656,7021,1197,821
504,2832,6746,957
755,46605,466
703,1301333,263

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, BTI's at the money IV moved from 25.2 percent to 26.6 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV25.2%26.6%+1.4 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price49,17350,412+1,239
Put/call ratio, open interest0.530.52-0.01

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 5,287 BTI option contracts traded, 0.8 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded4,328
Puts traded959
Against its recent average0.8 times
Busier than1 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain66,318 contracts
Volume to open interest0.08
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of BTI's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202656.81$1.64 million6055
21 Sep 202655.75$1.38 million6055
28 Sep 202656.05$2.08 million6055

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of BTI was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close56.52, the swing high of 24 Sep 2026
Level below the close55.18, the swing low of 23 Sep 2026
Strategy familyIron condor (sell both sides, defined risk)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 BTI sat at the 46th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days65 of 100Neutral
20 trading days54 of 100Neutral
45 trading days46 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 BTI's near timeframes were neutral and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 BTI had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None46 of 100
24 Sep 2026None49 of 100
23 Sep 2026None71 of 100
22 Sep 2026None74 of 100
21 Sep 2026None43 of 100
18 Sep 2026None42 of 100
17 Sep 2026None27 of 100
16 Sep 2026None56 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 9 of 50 Consumer Staples names were bullish and 22 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Consumer Staples5092219

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

BTI closed at 56.05 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close56.05
Change over 5 trading days+0.5%
Change over 21 trading days-0.4%
Change over 63 trading days-10.7%
Change over 252 trading days+7.1%
52 week high67.30
52 week low49.88
20 day moving average55.74
50 day moving average57.49
200 day moving average59.07
RSI, 14 days48

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 36 Septembers on record, BTI's average change was minus 0.3 percent, and it rose in 58.3 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-0.3%+0.8%58.3%36
October+0.1%+0.5%55.6%36
November+1.5%+2.2%58.3%36

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is BTI's IV rank?
BTI's IV rank is 75 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are BTI options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, BTI options priced a move of 5.9 percent down and 5.7 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are BTI's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, BTI's call wall is the 60 strike and its put wall is the 55 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of BTI on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of BTI was neutral, paper trading.

More Consumer Staples names

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