Industrials

Carrier Global Corp (CARR) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

CARR is Carrier Global Corp, an Industrials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank90 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV42.3%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct13.2% down, 13.2% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall57 and 5028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view neutral25 Sep
Last close55.8728 Sep
Next report27 Oct 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

CARR's IV rank is 90 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank90 of 100
At the money IV42.3%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest2.89
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price37,000 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price107,000 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 17.2% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among CARR's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, CARR options priced a move of 13.2 percent down and 13.2 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202644.4%4.1%53.39 to 58.14
9 Oct 2026118.4%6.4%51.19 to 59.45
23 Oct 2026259.1%10.5%50.77 to 61.74
30 Oct 20263213.2%13.2%48.48 to 63.23
20 Nov 20265315.2%14.2%47.37 to 63.83
18 Dec 20268118.3%21.5%45.67 to 67.87
19 Mar 202717226.0%26.8%41.37 to 70.87

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 55.87, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, CARR's call wall is the 57 strike and its put wall is the 50 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma57
Put wall, most open put gamma50
Net dollar gamma, calls minus putsminus $7.32 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$15.32 million
Close55.87

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 4 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, CARR's at the money IV is 42.3 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 25.8 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV42.3%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days25.8%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days32.5%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record325, from 15 May 2020
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move31.0% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, CARR's at the money IV runs from 37.6 percent at 4 days to 39.1 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
437.6%
1137.0%
1835.9%
2541.2%
3946.3%
5339.1%
8139.9%
17239.1%

Far expiries price more volatility than near ones, an upward sloping term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, CARR's IV ten percent below the price sits 7.4 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price49.7%+7.4 points
At the money42.3%0.0 points
10% above the price40.9%-1.4 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, CARR's surface spans 10 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 32.9 to 120.6 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more62
Lowest IV among them32.9%
Highest IV among them120.6%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, CARR has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026437.6%3,782644
9 Oct 20261137.0%117223
16 Oct 20261835.9%9,27212,024
23 Oct 20262541.2%1,28868
30 Oct 20263242.3%7429,284
6 Nov 20263946.3%23
20 Nov 20265339.1%99043,675
18 Dec 20268139.9%5,5376,049
15 Jan 202710937.6%11,43213,191
19 Mar 202717239.1%4,5501,503

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, CARR's largest open interest sits at the 50 strike, with 25,734 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
5040625,32825,734
49317,01917,022
47.5316,81816,821
458714,28314,370
52012,21612,216
52.514911,37811,527

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, CARR's at the money IV moved from 39.2 percent to 42.3 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV39.2%42.3%+3.1 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price140,592143,708+3,116
Put/call ratio, open interest3.112.88-0.23

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 4,946 CARR option contracts traded, 0.9 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded3,426
Puts traded1,520
Against its recent average0.9 times
Busier than5 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain148,512 contracts
Volume to open interest0.03
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of CARR's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202663.62minus $3.11 million7557
21 Sep 202654.62minus $18.11 million6155
28 Sep 202655.87minus $7.32 million5750

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of CARR was neutral, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideNeutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close60.36, the swing high of 8 Sep 2026
Level below the close54.40, the swing low of 24 Sep 2026
Strategy familyIron condor (sell both sides, defined risk)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 CARR sat at the 55th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days50 of 100Neutral
20 trading days31 of 100Neutral
45 trading days55 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 CARR's near timeframes were neutral and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 CARR had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None55 of 100
24 Sep 2026None65 of 100
23 Sep 2026None51 of 100
22 Sep 2026None78 of 100
21 Sep 2026None78 of 100
18 Sep 2026None47 of 100
17 Sep 2026None64 of 100
16 Sep 2026None73 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 51 of 147 Industrials names were bullish and 37 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Industrials147513759

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

CARR closed at 55.87 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close55.87
Change over 5 trading days+2.3%
Change over 21 trading days-5.0%
Change over 63 trading days-23.9%
Change over 252 trading days-4.9%
52 week high76.76
52 week low50.24
20 day moving average56.52
50 day moving average60.50
200 day moving average61.59
RSI, 14 days42

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

CARR reports next on 27 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report27 Oct 2026, before the open
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 28 Jul 2026-8.9%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026+8.8%
Move after the report of 5 Feb 2026-0.7%
Move after the report of 28 Oct 2025+0.8%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

The filings the desk holds carry 1 recent trade in CARR shares.

FiledWhoTradeSize
1 Sep 2026. Kevin Hern, member of CongressSold$1,001 to $15,000

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 51.0 percent of CARR's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep51.0%
Five day average54.9%
52 week median43.7%

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 6 Septembers on record, CARR's average change was minus 3.1 percent, and it rose in 33.3 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-3.1%-6.2%33.3%6
October-0.3%+0.3%50.0%6
November+6.1%+7.7%83.3%6

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is CARR's IV rank?
CARR's IV rank is 90 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are CARR options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, CARR options priced a move of 13.2 percent down and 13.2 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are CARR's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, CARR's call wall is the 57 strike and its put wall is the 50 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of CARR on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of CARR was neutral, paper trading.
When does CARR report earnings next?
CARR reports next on 27 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

More Industrials names

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