Energy

Frontline plc (FRO) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

FRO is Frontline plc, an Energy name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank34 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV53.0%28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct11.5% down, 11.7% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall54.2 and 44.228 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bearish25 Sep
Last close48.1028 Sep

Options Snapshot

FRO's IV rank is 34 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank34 of 100
At the money IV53.0%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest1.05
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price77,500 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price81,100 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 20.9% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among FRO's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, FRO options priced a move of 11.5 percent down and 11.7 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 20261811.5%11.7%42.55 to 53.74
20 Nov 20265319.3%21.0%38.80 to 58.20
15 Jan 202710934.3%33.3%31.60 to 64.10
19 Feb 202714433.3%33.3%32.10 to 64.10

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 48.10, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, FRO's call wall is the 54.2 strike and its put wall is the 44.2 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma54.2
Put wall, most open put gamma44.2
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$958,345
Total dollar gamma, both sides$11.49 million
Close48.10

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 2 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, FRO's at the money IV is 53.0 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 36.0 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV53.0%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days36.0%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days39.4%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record839, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move27.4% of 234 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, FRO's at the money IV runs from 53.0 percent at 18 days to 55.3 percent at 144 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1853.0%
5350.9%
10957.9%
14455.3%

Far expiries price more volatility than near ones, an upward sloping term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, FRO's IV ten percent below the price sits 44.7 points below at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price6.2%-44.7 points
At the money50.9%0.0 points
10% above the price54.1%+3.1 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, FRO's surface spans 4 expiries out to 144 days, with IV from 3.1 to 64.2 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured4
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry19 Feb 2027, 144 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more28
Lowest IV among them3.1%
Highest IV among them64.2%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, FRO has 4 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 19 Feb 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261853.0%21,77531,626
20 Nov 20265350.9%33,11624,694
15 Jan 202710957.9%18,85618,045
19 Feb 202714455.3%3,7146,745

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, FRO's largest open interest sits at the 49.2 strike, with 30,323 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
49.222,1908,13330,323
54.227,2732,52429,797
44.23,75314,42018,173
59.213,0571,27214,329
501,1577,2058,362
39.28876,5657,452

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, FRO's at the money IV moved from 52.9 percent to 53.0 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV52.9%53.0%+0.2 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price175,067158,571-16,496
Put/call ratio, open interest1.021.05+0.03

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 160,742 FRO option contracts traded, 0.8 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded156,523
Puts traded4,219
Against its recent average0.8 times
Busier than6 of its last 13 trading days
Open interest, whole chain179,410 contracts
Volume to open interest0.90
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 13 trading days of FRO's option positioning, from 9 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
9 Sep 202647.21$6.04 million5040
21 Sep 202649.81$3.56 million54.244.2
28 Sep 202648.10$958,34554.244.2

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of FRO was bearish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBearish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close48.97, the swing high of 24 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
Level below the close46.67, the swing low of 23 Sep 2026
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyBear put spread (buy a put spread)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 FRO sat at the 14th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days94 of 100Bullish
20 trading days13 of 100Bearish
45 trading days14 of 100Bearish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 2 of 3 timeframes put FRO on the bearish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayNeutral0 of 2
Long45 dayBearish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 FRO had carried no signal for at least 14 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None14 of 100
24 Sep 2026None19 of 100
23 Sep 2026None26 of 100
22 Sep 2026None42 of 100
21 Sep 2026None35 of 100
18 Sep 2026None36 of 100
17 Sep 2026None13 of 100
16 Sep 2026None30 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 17 of 56 Energy names were bullish and 33 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Energy5617336

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

FRO closed at 48.10 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close48.10
Change over 5 trading days-3.4%
Change over 21 trading days+9.9%
Change over 63 trading days+35.7%
Change over 252 trading days+108.2%
52 week high54.91
52 week low20.47
20 day moving average48.34
50 day moving average43.63
200 day moving average35.51
RSI, 14 days54

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, FRO's average change was plus 0.5 percent, and it rose in 60.9 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September+0.5%+3.3%60.9%23
October+0.6%+0.8%52.2%23
November-0.8%-1.9%47.8%23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is FRO's IV rank?
FRO's IV rank is 34 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are FRO options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, FRO options priced a move of 11.5 percent down and 11.7 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are FRO's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, FRO's call wall is the 54.2 strike and its put wall is the 44.2 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of FRO on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of FRO was bearish, paper trading.

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