Energy

PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

PBF is PBF Energy Inc., an Energy name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

Figure	Value	Date
IV rank	79 of 100	28 Sep
At the money IV	72.9%	28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct	16.1% down, 15.2% up	28 Sep
Call wall and put wall	80 and 75	28 Sep
Signal and the desk's view	No signal, view neutral	25 Sep
Last close	74.39	28 Sep
Next report	29 Oct 2026	28 Sep

Options Snapshot

PBF's IV rank is 79 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
IV rank	79 of 100
At the money IV	72.9%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest	0.74
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price	22,800 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price	16,800 contracts
Cost to trade at the money	Tight, 10.2% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among PBF's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, PBF options priced a move of 16.1 percent down and 15.2 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

Expiry	Days	Down	Up	Range
16 Oct 2026	18	16.1%	15.2%	62.39 to 85.69
20 Nov 2026	53	27.8%	28.5%	53.69 to 95.59
18 Dec 2026	81	33.7%	34.8%	49.29 to 100.29
15 Jan 2027	109	37.1%	41.9%	46.79 to 105.59
19 Mar 2027	172	47.3%	50.5%	39.19 to 111.99

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 74.39, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, PBF's call wall is the 80 strike and its put wall is the 75 strike.

Figure	Value
Call wall, most open call gamma	80
Put wall, most open put gamma	75
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts	$842,125
Total dollar gamma, both sides	$4.56 million
Close	74.39

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 5 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, PBF's at the money IV is 72.9 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 56.0 percent.

Figure	Value
At the money IV	72.9%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days	56.0%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days	68.2%
IV against its own weekly record	In the middle
Weekly readings on record	688, from 1 Feb 2013
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move	35.6% of 236 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, PBF's at the money IV runs from 72.9 percent at 18 days to 71.3 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiry	At the money IV
18	72.9%
53	74.6%
81	72.6%
109	71.3%
172	71.3%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, PBF's IV ten percent below the price sits 1.7 points above at the money IV.

Strike area	Implied volatility	Against at the money
10% below the price	76.3%	+1.7 points
At the money	74.6%	0.0 points
10% above the price	74.4%	-0.2 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, PBF's surface spans 5 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 3.1 to 77.4 percent near the price.

Figure	Value
Expiries captured	5
Nearest expiry	16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry	19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more	24
Lowest IV among them	3.1%
Highest IV among them	77.4%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, PBF has 5 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

Expiry	Days	At the money IV	Call open interest	Put open interest
16 Oct 2026	18	72.9%	13,221	11,767
20 Nov 2026	53	74.6%	958	1,270
18 Dec 2026	81	72.6%	2,483	1,029
15 Jan 2027	109	71.3%	5,724	2,008
19 Mar 2027	172	71.3%	440	722

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, PBF's largest open interest sits at the 80 strike, with 8,493 contracts across the captured expiries.

Strike	Call open interest	Put open interest	Total
80	7,834	659	8,493
75	2,104	4,091	6,195
65	1,133	4,011	5,144
60	546	2,749	3,295
77.5	2,092	83	2,175
70	672	1,032	1,704

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, PBF's at the money IV moved from 72.7 percent to 72.9 percent.

Figure	25 Sep	28 Sep	Change
At the money IV	72.7%	72.9%	+0.2 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price	39,309	39,622	+313
Put/call ratio, open interest	0.73	0.74	+0.01

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 3,152 PBF option contracts traded, 0.6 times its own recent average.

Figure	Value
Calls traded	1,720
Puts traded	1,432
Against its recent average	0.6 times
Busier than	0 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain	45,118 contracts
Volume to open interest	0.07
Unusual volume flag	No

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of PBF's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

Date	Close	Net dollar gamma	Top call strike	Top put strike
11 Aug 2026	69.35	$5.08 million	65	60
21 Sep 2026	72.48	$145,798	80	75
28 Sep 2026	74.39	$842,125	80	75

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of PBF was neutral, paper trading.

Figure	Value
Side	Neutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close	78.48, the swing high of 21 Sep 2026
Level below the close	69.03, the swing low of 15 Sep 2026
Strategy family	Iron condor (sell both sides, defined risk)
Price target	None. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 PBF sat at the 63rd percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

Timeframe	Percentile	Side
10 trading days	77 of 100	Neutral
20 trading days	78 of 100	Neutral
45 trading days	63 of 100	Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 PBF's near timeframes were neutral and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

Group	Timeframes	Side	On that side
Near	10 day, 20 day	Neutral	0 of 2
Long	45 day	Neutral	0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 PBF had carried no signal for 6 trading days, paper trading.

Trading day	Signal	45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026	None	63 of 100
24 Sep 2026	None	70 of 100
23 Sep 2026	None	81 of 100
22 Sep 2026	None	64 of 100
21 Sep 2026	None	8 of 100
18 Sep 2026	None	5 of 100
17 Sep 2026	Bearish	4 of 100
16 Sep 2026	None	23 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 17 of 56 Energy names were bullish and 33 were bearish, paper trading.

Sector	Names	Bullish	Bearish	Neutral
Energy	56	17	33	6

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

PBF closed at 74.39 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Last close	74.39
Change over 5 trading days	+2.6%
Change over 21 trading days	+8.5%
Change over 63 trading days	+60.2%
Change over 252 trading days	+121.7%
52 week high	82.61
52 week low	25.62
20 day moving average	74.58
50 day moving average	70.50
200 day moving average	47.29
RSI, 14 days	54

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

PBF reports next on 29 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

Figure	Value
Next report	29 Oct 2026, before the open
Date	Worked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 30 Jul 2026	+15.4%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026	-0.8%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026	+1.1%
Move after the report of 1 May 2025	-3.0%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Company Events

PBF filed 3 current reports in the 14 days to 28 Sep 2026, the latest on 17 Sep 2026.

Filed	Report	What it covers
17 Sep 2026	Current report	Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement; Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant; Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities
15 Sep 2026	Current report	Other Events
14 Sep 2026	Current report	Regulation FD Disclosure; Other Events

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 13 Septembers on record, PBF's average change was plus 1.6 percent, and it rose in 61.5 percent of them.

Month	Average change	Middle change	Share of years up	Years
September	+1.6%	+2.9%	61.5%	13
October	+5.0%	+8.6%	61.5%	13
November	+6.5%	+8.4%	61.5%	13

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 3 headlines naming PBF in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Headlines in the window	3
Latest	28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is PBF's IV rank?: PBF's IV rank is 79 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are PBF options pricing?: On 28 Sep 2026, PBF options priced a move of 16.1 percent down and 15.2 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are PBF's call wall and put wall?: On 28 Sep 2026, PBF's call wall is the 80 strike and its put wall is the 75 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of PBF on the Free plan?: On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of PBF was neutral, paper trading.
When does PBF report earnings next?: PBF reports next on 29 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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