Consumer Discretionary

Home Depot Inc (HD) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

HD is Home Depot Inc, a Consumer Discretionary name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

Figure	Value	Date
IV rank	91 of 100	28 Sep
At the money IV	30.3%	28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct	8.5% down, 8.9% up	28 Sep
Call wall and put wall	310 and 300	28 Sep
Signal and the desk's view	No signal, view neutral	25 Sep
Last close	289.89	28 Sep
Next report	17 Nov 2026	28 Sep

Options Snapshot

HD's IV rank is 91 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
IV rank	91 of 100
At the money IV	30.3%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest	1.12
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price	62,200 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price	69,900 contracts
Cost to trade at the money	Fair, 16.1% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among HD's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, HD options priced a move of 8.5 percent down and 8.9 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

Expiry	Days	Down	Up	Range
2 Oct 2026	4	3.2%	3.3%	280.72 to 299.55
9 Oct 2026	11	5.2%	5.1%	274.79 to 304.69
23 Oct 2026	25	7.6%	7.6%	267.99 to 311.79
30 Oct 2026	32	8.5%	8.9%	265.19 to 315.79
20 Nov 2026	53	11.5%	13.3%	256.59 to 328.59
18 Dec 2026	81	14.3%	14.6%	248.49 to 332.19
19 Feb 2027	144	18.3%	20.4%	236.89 to 348.89

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 289.89, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, HD's call wall is the 310 strike and its put wall is the 300 strike.

Figure	Value
Call wall, most open call gamma	310
Put wall, most open put gamma	300
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts	minus $35.99 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides	$100.43 million
Close	289.89

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 7 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, HD's at the money IV is 30.3 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 21.4 percent.

Figure	Value
At the money IV	30.3%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days	21.4%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days	24.6%
IV against its own weekly record	High, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record	865, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move	32.9% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, HD's at the money IV runs from 29.4 percent at 4 days to 29.8 percent at 144 days.

Days to expiry	At the money IV
4	29.4%
11	31.1%
18	28.5%
25	28.4%
39	32.3%
53	32.0%
81	30.9%
144	29.8%

Near and far expiries price about the same volatility, a flat term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, HD's IV ten percent below the price sits 0.8 points above at the money IV.

Strike area	Implied volatility	Against at the money
10% below the price	31.1%	+0.8 points
At the money	30.3%	0.0 points
10% above the price	27.2%	-3.0 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, HD's surface spans 10 expiries out to 144 days, with IV from 26.8 to 38.5 percent near the price.

Figure	Value
Expiries captured	10
Nearest expiry	2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry	19 Feb 2027, 144 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more	111
Lowest IV among them	26.8%
Highest IV among them	38.5%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, HD has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Feb 2027.

Expiry	Days	At the money IV	Call open interest	Put open interest
2 Oct 2026	4	29.4%	7,358	6,712
9 Oct 2026	11	31.1%	3,062	2,840
16 Oct 2026	18	28.5%	10,413	13,174
23 Oct 2026	25	28.4%	1,536	2,101
30 Oct 2026	32	30.3%	980	1,353
6 Nov 2026	39	32.3%	70	88
20 Nov 2026	53	32.0%	9,915	11,604
18 Dec 2026	81	30.9%	9,684	11,604
15 Jan 2027	109	30.1%	17,777	17,581
19 Feb 2027	144	29.8%	1,399	2,838

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, HD's largest open interest sits at the 320 strike, with 11,264 contracts across the captured expiries.

Strike	Call open interest	Put open interest	Total
320	4,197	7,067	11,264
300	2,579	7,516	10,095
310	4,679	4,896	9,575
340	5,824	1,213	7,037
330	4,550	2,160	6,710
315	3,269	2,543	5,812

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, HD's at the money IV moved from 27.5 percent to 30.3 percent.

Figure	25 Sep	28 Sep	Change
At the money IV	27.5%	30.3%	+2.8 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price	135,540	132,089	-3,451
Put/call ratio, open interest	1.16	1.12	-0.03

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 20,906 HD option contracts traded, 0.8 times its own recent average.

Figure	Value
Calls traded	14,072
Puts traded	6,834
Against its recent average	0.8 times
Busier than	9 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain	198,698 contracts
Volume to open interest	0.11
Unusual volume flag	Yes, 2 contracts traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contract	The 300 call expiring 2 Oct, 1,999 traded against 336 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of HD's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

Date	Close	Net dollar gamma	Top call strike	Top put strike
11 Aug 2026	354.48	$45.95 million	360	330
21 Sep 2026	297.20	minus $40.77 million	330	300
28 Sep 2026	289.89	minus $35.99 million	310	300

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of HD was neutral, paper trading.

Figure	Value
Side	Neutral at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close	295.39, the swing high of 21 Sep 2026
Level below the close	289.31, the swing low of 28 Sep 2026
Strategy family	Iron condor (sell both sides, defined risk)
Price target	None. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 HD sat at the 51st percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

Timeframe	Percentile	Side
10 trading days	18 of 100	Bearish
20 trading days	19 of 100	Bearish
45 trading days	51 of 100	Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026 HD's near timeframes were bearish and its long timeframe was neutral, paper trading.

Group	Timeframes	Side	On that side
Near	10 day, 20 day	Bearish	2 of 2
Long	45 day	Neutral	0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 HD had carried no signal for at least 18 trading days, paper trading.

Trading day	Signal	45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026	None	51 of 100
24 Sep 2026	None	58 of 100
23 Sep 2026	None	42 of 100
22 Sep 2026	None	58 of 100
21 Sep 2026	None	70 of 100
18 Sep 2026	None	76 of 100
17 Sep 2026	None	57 of 100
16 Sep 2026	None	39 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 27 of 106 Consumer Discretionary names were bullish and 33 were bearish, paper trading.

Sector	Names	Bullish	Bearish	Neutral
Consumer Discretionary	106	27	33	46

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

HD closed at 289.89 on 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Last close	289.89
Change over 5 trading days	-2.5%
Change over 21 trading days	-11.8%
Change over 63 trading days	-17.4%
Change over 252 trading days	-28.9%
52 week high	411.41
52 week low	289.10
20 day moving average	306.98
50 day moving average	326.24
200 day moving average	340.49
RSI, 14 days	29

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

HD reports next on 17 Nov 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

Figure	Value
Next report	17 Nov 2026
Date	Confirmed by the company

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Public Filings

The filings the desk holds carry 2 recent trades in HD shares.

Filed	Who	Trade	Size
25 Sep 2026	. Kevin Hern, member of Congress	Sold part	$1,001 to $15,000
25 Sep 2026	. Kevin Hern, member of Congress	Sold	$1,001 to $15,000

Every filing is reproduced as filed, and each one reaches the public days or weeks after the trade.

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 24.4 percent of HD's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

Figure	Value
Short sale share, 25 Sep	24.4%
Five day average	29.7%
52 week median	39.3%

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 36 Septembers on record, HD's average change was minus 0.3 percent, and it rose in 47.2 percent of them.

Month	Average change	Middle change	Share of years up	Years
September	-0.3%	-0.3%	47.2%	36
October	+1.3%	+2.2%	58.3%	36
November	+4.2%	+4.3%	75.0%	36

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 7 headlines naming HD in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

Figure	Value
Headlines in the window	7
Latest	28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is HD's IV rank?: HD's IV rank is 91 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are HD options pricing?: On 28 Sep 2026, HD options priced a move of 8.5 percent down and 8.9 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are HD's call wall and put wall?: On 28 Sep 2026, HD's call wall is the 310 strike and its put wall is the 300 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of HD on the Free plan?: On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of HD was neutral, paper trading.
When does HD report earnings next?: HD reports next on 17 Nov 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

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