Industrials

Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

JOBY is Joby Aviation, Inc., an Industrials name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
Trade CardBull call spread, 20 Nov25 Sep
IV rank5 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV60.7%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct18.0% down, 17.5% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall6.5 and 628 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewBullish signal, view bullish25 Sep
Last close6.1128 Sep
Next report4 Nov 202628 Sep

Trade Cards

On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for JOBY was a bull call spread expiring 20 Nov 2026, paper trading.

FigureValue
SignalBullish, over 20 trading days
StrategyBull call spread, debit
LegsBuy the 6 call, Sell the 8 call
Expiry20 Nov 2026, 56 days to expiry
LimitA debit of at most $0.63
Probability of profit43%, the option market's odds at expiry, from delta
Max loss$63 per contract
Max profit$137 per contract
Breakeven6.63
IV rank at that expiry14 of 100

Probability of profit is the option market's own odds from delta, not the model's.

Priced on the option chain at the close on 25 Sep 2026.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Options Snapshot

JOBY's IV rank is 5 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank5 of 100
At the money IV60.7%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.53
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price134,000 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price71,200 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 17.8% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among JOBY's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, JOBY options priced a move of 18.0 percent down and 17.5 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202645.9%5.7%5.75 to 6.46
9 Oct 2026119.6%9.4%5.52 to 6.69
23 Oct 20262516.4%15.8%5.11 to 7.08
30 Oct 20263218.0%17.5%5.01 to 7.18
20 Nov 20265326.0%26.0%4.52 to 7.70
15 Jan 202710936.3%36.3%3.89 to 8.33
16 Apr 202720053.0%53.0%2.87 to 9.35

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 6.11, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, JOBY's call wall is the 6.5 strike and its put wall is the 6 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma6.5
Put wall, most open put gamma6
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$216,278
Total dollar gamma, both sides$1.49 million
Close6.11

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 2 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, JOBY's at the money IV is 60.7 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 38.6 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV60.7%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days38.6%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days60.2%
IV against its own weekly recordLow, in the bottom fifth
Weekly readings on record236, from 27 Aug 2021
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move20.9% of 230 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, JOBY's at the money IV runs from 55.9 percent at 4 days to 71.6 percent at 200 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
455.9%
1155.4%
1861.4%
2562.7%
3969.7%
5368.4%
10966.6%
20071.6%

Far expiries price more volatility than near ones, an upward sloping term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, JOBY's IV ten percent below the price sits 5.2 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price65.9%+5.2 points
At the money60.7%0.0 points
10% above the price57.6%-3.0 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, JOBY's surface spans 10 expiries out to 200 days, with IV from 55.7 to 71.2 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry16 Apr 2027, 200 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more18
Lowest IV among them55.7%
Highest IV among them71.2%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, JOBY has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 16 Apr 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026455.9%11,9926,215
9 Oct 20261155.4%3,3611,610
16 Oct 20261861.4%10,68110,796
23 Oct 20262562.7%1,8931,359
30 Oct 20263260.7%8691,028
6 Nov 20263969.7%8119
20 Nov 20265368.4%20,68211,831
15 Jan 202710966.6%66,25032,446
19 Mar 202717269.2%10,9154,502
16 Apr 202720071.6%7,2441,392

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, JOBY's largest open interest sits at the 10 strike, with 48,449 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
1038,8009,64948,449
726,75713,49040,247
815,6675,75321,420
66,14515,23721,382
59,42611,95421,380
129,1315,07014,201

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, JOBY's at the money IV moved from 56.8 percent to 60.7 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV56.8%60.7%+3.9 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price203,892205,166+1,274
Put/call ratio, open interest0.540.53-0.00

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 16,109 JOBY option contracts traded, 0.8 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded11,821
Puts traded4,288
Against its recent average0.8 times
Busier than4 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain331,837 contracts
Volume to open interest0.05
Unusual volume flagYes, 1 contract traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contractThe 6.5 put expiring 9 Oct, 807 traded against 292 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of JOBY's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 20268.42$790,807108
21 Sep 20266.41minus $52,86076
28 Sep 20266.11$216,2786.56

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of JOBY was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 20 trading days, signal on
Level above the close6.57, the swing high of 22 Sep 2026
Level below the close5.93, the swing low of 16 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyBull call spread (buy a call spread)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 JOBY sat at the 99th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days96 of 100Bullish
20 trading days100 of 100Bullish
45 trading days99 of 100Bullish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 3 of 3 timeframes put JOBY on the bullish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBullish2 of 2
Long45 dayBullish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 JOBY's bullish signal had held 2 trading days in a row, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026Bullish99 of 100
24 Sep 2026Bullish98 of 100
23 Sep 2026None92 of 100
22 Sep 2026Bullish96 of 100
21 Sep 2026None89 of 100
18 Sep 2026None95 of 100
17 Sep 2026None94 of 100
16 Sep 2026Bullish99 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 51 of 147 Industrials names were bullish and 37 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Industrials147513759

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

JOBY closed at 6.11 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close6.11
Change over 5 trading days-4.7%
Change over 21 trading days-14.5%
Change over 63 trading days-29.2%
Change over 252 trading days-61.5%
52 week high19.98
52 week low5.93
20 day moving average6.43
50 day moving average7.14
200 day moving average9.76
RSI, 14 days36

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

JOBY reports next on 4 Nov 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

FigureValue
Next report4 Nov 2026, after the close
DateConfirmed by the company
Move after the report of 5 Aug 2026+5.5%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026+0.7%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026-16.7%
Move after the report of 7 May 2025+3.6%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 5 Septembers on record, JOBY's average change was minus 7.6 percent, and it rose in 40.0 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-7.6%-13.4%40.0%5
October-3.6%-4.6%40.0%5
November+11.9%-8.6%40.0%5

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 3 headlines naming JOBY in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window3
Latest26 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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The Desk Analyst

The Free plan shows the first paragraph of The Desk Analyst's column on JOBY for 25 Sep 2026, quoted below.

The share price closed at 6.32.

This is 35.5% below the SMA200 of 9.8, which is the average price over the last 200 days.

Other moving averages are the SMA5 at 6.34, SMA20 at 6.47, SMA50 at 7.16, and SMA100 at 8.43.

Paper trading. Column for 25 Sep 2026, general commentary published the same way to every reader.

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Questions

What is JOBY's IV rank?
JOBY's IV rank is 5 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are JOBY options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, JOBY options priced a move of 18.0 percent down and 17.5 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are JOBY's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, JOBY's call wall is the 6.5 strike and its put wall is the 6 strike.
What was the latest Trade Card for JOBY on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the Trade Card for JOBY was a bull call spread expiring 20 Nov 2026, paper trading.
When does JOBY report earnings next?
JOBY reports next on 4 Nov 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

More Industrials names

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