Information Technology

Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

MCHP is Microchip Technology Inc, an Information Technology name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank99 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV61.9%28 Sep
Priced move to 30 Oct18.7% down, 15.3% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall72.5 and 82.528 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bullish25 Sep
Last close77.9728 Sep
Next report5 Nov 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

MCHP's IV rank is 99 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank99 of 100
At the money IV61.9%, near month, 32 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.27
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price296,000 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price80,600 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 28.9% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among MCHP's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, MCHP options priced a move of 18.7 percent down and 15.3 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
2 Oct 202645.4%5.4%73.73 to 82.19
9 Oct 2026118.8%9.0%71.08 to 84.98
23 Oct 20262513.7%13.6%67.27 to 88.57
30 Oct 20263218.7%15.3%63.37 to 89.87
20 Nov 20265320.5%20.3%61.97 to 93.77
18 Dec 20268125.3%25.1%58.27 to 97.57
19 Mar 202717234.9%35.7%50.77 to 105.77

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 77.97, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, MCHP's call wall is the 72.5 strike and its put wall is the 82.5 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma72.5
Put wall, most open put gamma82.5
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$46.95 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$62.5 million
Close77.97

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 3 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, MCHP's at the money IV is 61.9 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 36.7 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV61.9%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days36.7%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days52.5%
IV against its own weekly recordHigh, in the top fifth
Weekly readings on record865, from 8 Jan 2010
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move25.4% of 252 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, MCHP's at the money IV runs from 53.6 percent at 4 days to 52.1 percent at 172 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
453.6%
1157.4%
1850.0%
2551.1%
3951.2%
5353.6%
8152.6%
17252.1%

Near expiries price more volatility than far ones, an inverted term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 32 day expiry, MCHP's IV ten percent below the price sits 11.0 points below at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price50.9%-11.0 points
At the money61.9%0.0 points
10% above the price53.4%-8.5 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, MCHP's surface spans 10 expiries out to 172 days, with IV from 47.9 to 65.1 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured10
Nearest expiry2 Oct 2026, 4 days
Farthest expiry19 Mar 2027, 172 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more91
Lowest IV among them47.9%
Highest IV among them65.1%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, MCHP has 10 captured expiries, from 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
2 Oct 2026453.6%16,1564,415
9 Oct 20261157.4%1,6671,101
16 Oct 20261850.0%175,13022,709
23 Oct 20262551.1%1,547845
30 Oct 20263261.9%279380
6 Nov 20263951.2%10114
20 Nov 20265353.6%2,6301,336
18 Dec 20268152.6%74,30915,988
15 Jan 202710952.4%21,03627,445
19 Mar 202717252.1%3,7096,258

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, MCHP's largest open interest sits at the 72.5 strike, with 168,137 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
72.5162,3325,805168,137
6555,8475,71161,558
6084813,61214,460
758,4223,44211,864
808,6692,90411,573
705,4225,16210,584

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, MCHP's at the money IV moved from 50.6 percent to 61.9 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV50.6%61.9%+11.3 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price371,694377,064+5,370
Put/call ratio, open interest0.260.27+0.01

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 11,966 MCHP option contracts traded, 0.9 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded4,014
Puts traded7,952
Against its recent average0.9 times
Busier than4 of its last 20 trading days
Open interest, whole chain396,007 contracts
Volume to open interest0.03
Unusual volume flagYes, 2 contracts traded well above open interest
Largest flagged contractThe 77.5 put expiring 20 Nov, 2,000 traded against 154 open

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 33 trading days of MCHP's option positioning, from 11 Aug 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
11 Aug 202681.02$20.79 million7577.5
21 Sep 202674.78$43.16 million72.570
28 Sep 202677.97$46.95 million72.582.5

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of MCHP was bullish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBullish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close92.02, the swing high of 30 Jun 2026
Level below the close76.55, the swing low of 22 Sep 2026, a close past it runs against the view
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyCash-secured put (sell a put below the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 MCHP sat at the 77th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days84 of 100Bullish
20 trading days90 of 100Bullish
45 trading days77 of 100Neutral

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 2 of 3 timeframes put MCHP on the bullish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBullish2 of 2
Long45 dayNeutral0 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 MCHP had carried no signal for 1 trading day, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None77 of 100
24 Sep 2026Bullish86 of 100
23 Sep 2026None63 of 100
22 Sep 2026None53 of 100
21 Sep 2026None60 of 100
18 Sep 2026None83 of 100
17 Sep 2026None68 of 100
16 Sep 2026Bullish79 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 80 of 187 Information Technology names were bullish and 61 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Information Technology187806146

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

MCHP closed at 77.97 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close77.97
Change over 5 trading days+4.3%
Change over 21 trading days+3.3%
Change over 63 trading days-12.5%
Change over 252 trading days+20.2%
52 week high105.91
52 week low48.52
20 day moving average73.56
50 day moving average76.07
200 day moving average78.66
RSI, 14 days57

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

MCHP reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

FigureValue
Next report5 Nov 2026, after the close
DateConfirmed by the company
Move after the report of 6 Aug 2026+13.9%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026+1.1%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026-1.1%
Move after the report of 8 May 2025+12.6%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Short Volume

On 25 Sep 2026, 69.2 percent of MCHP's reported volume at the covered venues was marked short.

FigureValue
Short sale share, 25 Sep69.2%
Five day average56.3%
52 week median51.5%
Short interest, share of shares outstanding6.0% at the 15 Sep 2026 settlement
Days to cover4.3

Short sale volume counts trades marked short at the covered venues, mostly off exchange. It is not the same as short interest.

Short volume as of 25 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 23 Septembers on record, MCHP's average change was minus 2.2 percent, and it rose in 30.4 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-2.2%-3.2%30.4%23
October+0.4%+0.1%52.2%23
November+2.9%+3.5%60.9%23

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Headlines

The desk's news feeds carried 2 headlines naming MCHP in the 3 days to 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Headlines in the window2
Latest28 Sep 2026

The titles are in the Headlines window, with the time each was published.

Headlines as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is MCHP's IV rank?
MCHP's IV rank is 99 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are MCHP options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, MCHP options priced a move of 18.7 percent down and 15.3 percent up by 30 Oct 2026.
Where are MCHP's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, MCHP's call wall is the 72.5 strike and its put wall is the 82.5 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of MCHP on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of MCHP was bullish, paper trading.
When does MCHP report earnings next?
MCHP reports next on 5 Nov 2026, a date confirmed by the company.

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