Communication Services

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS) options and signal

Figures as of 28 Sep 2026

MSGS is Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., a Communication Services name the model ranks every trading day. The options figures are from the close on 28 Sep 2026. The model's figures are from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind the latest, as the Free plan shows them. Every model figure is paper trading.

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At a glance

FigureValueDate
IV rank73 of 10028 Sep
At the money IV29.1%28 Sep
Priced move to 16 Oct7.1% down, 6.0% up28 Sep
Call wall and put wall430 and 35028 Sep
Signal and the desk's viewNo signal, view bearish25 Sep
Last close416.3428 Sep
Next report30 Oct 202628 Sep

Options Snapshot

MSGS's IV rank is 73 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
IV rank73 of 100
At the money IV29.1%, near month, 18 days
Put/call ratio, open interest0.63
Call open interest, strikes captured near the price8,430 contracts
Put open interest, strikes captured near the price5,300 contracts
Cost to trade at the moneyFair, 22.8% of the option's mid price

IV rank is where the at the money IV sits among MSGS's own weekly readings, 0 the lowest and 100 the highest.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Priced Range

On 28 Sep 2026, MSGS options priced a move of 7.1 percent down and 6.0 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.

ExpiryDaysDownUpRange
16 Oct 2026187.1%6.0%386.94 to 441.24
20 Nov 20265311.6%12.0%368.24 to 466.44
19 Feb 202714416.8%19.4%346.44 to 497.14

The range is one standard deviation either side of the close of 416.34, as the option prices imply it.

A priced move restates option prices at the close and says nothing certain about where the price goes.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Gamma Map

On 28 Sep 2026, MSGS's call wall is the 430 strike and its put wall is the 350 strike.

FigureValue
Call wall, most open call gamma430
Put wall, most open put gamma350
Net dollar gamma, calls minus puts$7.92 million
Total dollar gamma, both sides$15.47 million
Close416.34

Dollar gamma is stated for a one percent move in the price.

Net is calls minus puts under the standard convention, not a record of who holds the contracts.

Net gamma changes sign at 3 strikes, so no single flip strike is named.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility History

On 28 Sep 2026, MSGS's at the money IV is 29.1 percent against 20 day realized volatility of 17.6 percent.

FigureValue
At the money IV29.1%
Realized volatility, 20 trading days17.6%
Realized volatility, 60 trading days22.9%
IV against its own weekly recordIn the middle
Weekly readings on record310, from 1 May 2020
Weeks the price moved more than the one week priced move27.1% of 236 weeks

Realized volatility is worked out from the daily closes the desk holds, not from the option chain.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Weather

On 28 Sep 2026, MSGS's at the money IV runs from 29.1 percent at 18 days to 30.4 percent at 144 days.

Days to expiryAt the money IV
1829.1%
5330.2%
14430.4%

Far expiries price more volatility than near ones, an upward sloping term structure.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Smile

On 28 Sep 2026, at the 53 day expiry, MSGS's IV ten percent below the price sits 5.0 points above at the money IV.

Strike areaImplied volatilityAgainst at the money
10% below the price35.2%+5.0 points
At the money30.2%0.0 points
10% above the price41.2%+11.0 points

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Volatility Surface

On 28 Sep 2026, MSGS's surface spans 3 expiries out to 144 days, with IV from 27.0 to 51.1 percent near the price.

FigureValue
Expiries captured3
Nearest expiry16 Oct 2026, 18 days
Farthest expiry19 Feb 2027, 144 days
Points within 10% of the price, 7 days out or more24
Lowest IV among them27.0%
Highest IV among them51.1%

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Expiry Ladder

On 28 Sep 2026, MSGS has 3 captured expiries, from 16 Oct 2026 to 19 Feb 2027.

ExpiryDaysAt the money IVCall open interestPut open interest
16 Oct 20261829.1%1,369643
20 Nov 20265330.2%6,4421,646
19 Feb 202714430.4%6163,008

Open interest is summed over the strikes captured near the price on each expiry.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Strike Table

On 28 Sep 2026, MSGS's largest open interest sits at the 430 strike, with 4,070 contracts across the captured expiries.

StrikeCall open interestPut open interestTotal
4304,06374,070
350491,8561,905
36001,1571,157
420734149883
400412332744
4506755680

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Since Yesterday

From 25 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, MSGS's at the money IV moved from 27.9 percent to 29.1 percent.

Figure25 Sep28 SepChange
At the money IV27.9%29.1%+1.3 points
Open interest, strikes captured near the price15,74013,724-2,016
Put/call ratio, open interest0.860.63-0.24

Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Changed Hands

On 28 Sep 2026, 1,731 MSGS option contracts traded, 2.3 times its own recent average.

FigureValue
Calls traded587
Puts traded1,144
Against its recent average2.3 times
Busier than13 of its last 13 trading days
Open interest, whole chain16,445 contracts
Volume to open interest0.11
Unusual volume flagNo

Traded volume and open interest are shown side by side and never combined. Open interest changes cannot identify buyers or sellers.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Positioning Replay

The replay holds 14 trading days of MSGS's option positioning, from 9 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026.

DateCloseNet dollar gammaTop call strikeTop put strike
9 Sep 2026395.34minus $392,778430390
21 Sep 2026400.09$4.7 million430350
28 Sep 2026416.34$7.92 million430350

Each frame restates one nightly capture. Net is calls minus puts, a convention, not who holds the contracts.

From the option chain at the close on 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Read-out

On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of MSGS was bearish, paper trading.

FigureValue
SideBearish at 45 trading days, no signal
Level above the close438.93, the swing high of 13 Aug 2026, a close past it runs against the view
Level below the close405.99, the swing low of 22 Sep 2026
The chartSits against the view
Strategy familyBear call spread (sell a call spread above the price)
Price targetNone. The desk has no price model.

The levels are prices the shares turned at on the chart, with the date of each.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Rank by Timeframe

On 25 Sep 2026 MSGS sat at the 6th percentile of the model's 45 trading day ranking, paper trading.

TimeframePercentileSide
10 trading days17 of 100Bearish
20 trading days3 of 100Bearish
45 trading days6 of 100Bearish

100 is the top of the ranking. A name in the middle three fifths is neutral.

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Timeframe Agreement

On 25 Sep 2026, 3 of 3 timeframes put MSGS on the bearish side, paper trading.

GroupTimeframesSideOn that side
Near10 day, 20 dayBearish2 of 2
Long45 dayBearish1 of 1

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Signal History

On 25 Sep 2026 MSGS had carried no signal for at least 14 trading days, paper trading.

Trading daySignal45 day percentile
25 Sep 2026None6 of 100
24 Sep 2026None4 of 100
23 Sep 2026None19 of 100
22 Sep 2026None23 of 100
21 Sep 2026None4 of 100
18 Sep 2026None6 of 100
17 Sep 2026None10 of 100
16 Sep 2026None23 of 100

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Sector Split

On 25 Sep 2026, 10 of 37 Communication Services names were bullish and 12 were bearish, paper trading.

SectorNamesBullishBearishNeutral
Communication Services37101215

Paper trading. The model's figures from 25 Sep 2026, one trading day behind, as the Free plan shows them.

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Price Chart

MSGS closed at 416.34 on 28 Sep 2026.

FigureValue
Last close416.34
Change over 5 trading days+4.1%
Change over 21 trading days+5.8%
Change over 63 trading days+3.3%
Change over 252 trading days+87.6%
52 week high438.93
52 week low207.90
20 day moving average394.60
50 day moving average397.01
200 day moving average341.81
RSI, 14 days68

Worked out from the desk's own daily bars, adjusted for share splits.

From the daily bars through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Earnings Radar

MSGS reports next on 30 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

FigureValue
Next report30 Oct 2026, before the open
DateWorked out from past quarters
Move after the report of 29 Jul 2026+1.6%
Move after the report of 30 Apr 2026-0.5%
Move after the report of 28 Jan 2026-0.1%
Move after the report of 2 May 2025-2.9%

Earnings calendar as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Company Events

MSGS filed 1 current report in the 14 days to 28 Sep 2026, the latest on 22 Sep 2026.

FiledReportWhat it covers
22 Sep 2026Current reportDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers

Filings as of 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Seasonality

In the 10 Septembers on record, MSGS's average change was minus 0.3 percent, and it rose in 50.0 percent of them.

MonthAverage changeMiddle changeShare of years upYears
September-0.3%+0.2%50.0%10
October-0.2%-0.5%50.0%10
November+1.9%+3.3%63.6%11

Each figure is a month end to month end change in past years. A past month says nothing certain about the next one.

Monthly history through 28 Sep 2026. Current on every plan.

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Questions

What is MSGS's IV rank?
MSGS's IV rank is 73 of 100 on 28 Sep 2026.
What move are MSGS options pricing?
On 28 Sep 2026, MSGS options priced a move of 7.1 percent down and 6.0 percent up by 16 Oct 2026.
Where are MSGS's call wall and put wall?
On 28 Sep 2026, MSGS's call wall is the 430 strike and its put wall is the 350 strike.
What was the desk's latest view of MSGS on the Free plan?
On 25 Sep 2026 the desk's view of MSGS was bearish, paper trading.
When does MSGS report earnings next?
MSGS reports next on 30 Oct 2026, a date worked out from past quarters.

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